It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …
Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.
I’ve got another busy weekend ahead of me, so let’s get right to this week’s commentary …
It is only through labor and painful effort, by grim energy and resolute courage, that we move on to better things.
– Theodore Roosevelt
Credits and Debits
Debit: Did you see this? Five months after unionized UPS workers ratified a massive five-year labor deal that included massive pay bumps that gave many drivers six-figure salaries – and total compensation for senior drivers upwards of $170,000 annually – the logistics company announced this week that 12,000 management jobs are going to be eliminated. The reason: Sliding package demand and soaring union labor costs. Huh. Nobody could see that coming. As if management didn’t already have enough problems …
Credit: Speaking of cutbacks, Ford is cutting production of the F-150 Lightning electric pickup after weaker-than-expected electric vehicle sales growth. More to the point, dealers are reporting slower sales and rising inventories on the electric truck, which starts at just under $50,000. And if you think that’s expensive, consider this:
Debit: Maybe truck owners caught wind of the latest MotorTrend test that found the Ford Lightning’s towing range to be “dismal.” How dismal is the EV truck? Well … MotorTrend’s testing revealed that “an F-150 Lightning Platinum saddled with a camper that nearly maxed out its 8500-pound towing capacity couldn’t even cover 100 miles.” Heh. So … who was it again that thought transitioning from cars that run on petrol to EVs was a good idea? Oh, that’s right … the folks who continually worry about this:
Debit: On a related note, according to the Wall Street Journal, “For many Americans, getting insurance for both their cars and homes has gone from a routine, generally manageable expense to a do-or-die ordeal that can strain household budgets.” To illustrate their point, Allstate increased auto insurance rates an average of 17%,15% and 30% in New Jersey, New York and California, respectively, while regulators in California are still mulling Allstate’s request for a 40% increase in Golden State home-insurance rates. With that in mind, it’s not surprising that car owners are thinking of clever ways to keep their rates as affordable as possible …
Debit: According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, US GDP grew in the fourth quarter 3.3%, which obliterated the consensus estimate of 2.0%. It also came in well above the highest Wall Street forecast. Now for the punchline: To generate $1 in growth, the budget deficit had to be increased by $1.55. Even more astounding, it takes more than $2.50 in new debt to generate $1 of GDP growth. For any slow kids that may be hiding in the back, this means every penny of additional debt acts as an additional drag on the economy – not a tailwind. I know what you’re thinking: So, Len, what is Congress going to do about this? Well, folks … here’s your answer:
Debit: Of course, during the last several years GDP, even after being massaged to the upside, was still below the artificially-low rate of inflation as measured by the government’s misleading CPI. In other words: After taking into account the actual inflation rate, the US economy has contracted sharply. But I know – the inflation rate has been falling for more than a year now. Never mind that it’s still rising.
Debit: So, depending on which number you choose to use, new tax revenue generated is barely breakeven with the interest expense. Go ask the CFO at your company if they will borrow money just to cover the cost of the interest… that is a return-on-investment (ROI) of 0%. That’s why the only answer is to keep interest rates near the zero bound. It isn’t a good answer, it is the only answer. Any other answer leads to utter disaster. Just look at Japan — 0% interest rates and slowly decaying standards of living. Then again, those who did their homework already know that. And on a related note …
Debit: It’s no coincidence that America’s transition from a manufacturing-based economy to a financial began soon after the USD’s anchor to gold was broken in 1971. In fact, in 1975 the 20 biggest US companies included consumer goods retailers, oil producers, drug companies, automotive and heavy-equipment manufacturers, and even a manufacturer of bathroom fixtures – and only one financial company, Citicorp at #17, was on the list. Today, there are three financial companies and four more whose business model is based on little more than selling consumer information. See for yourself:
Credit: As financial commentator Franklin Sanders observes, “Notice that for all the Wall Street claims and stocks’ performance in recent years, if you had done nothing more complicated 24 years ago than put your money into gold coins it would be worth 612% more (7.1 times). Silver would be worth 337% more (4.4 times).” Unpossible, you say? Well … the scoreboard doesn’t lie. (Although it appears that most financial advisors still aren’t aware of this.)
Debit: Indeed, the beauty of gold is that it is nobody’s liability. That’s because gold is money – unlike today’s fiat currencies, including the UD dollar (USD), which are born out of debt; fiat currencies are IOUs conjured from private citizens, public corporations and the federal government promises to repay a debt at a later time. In essence, it’s a confidence game. And, unfortunately, it’s going to keep going until the public finally has the courage to say “no.” Behold … Exhibit A:
Credit: The great economist Murray Rothbard concluded that, “On the free market … the monetary unit – the unit of a nation’s accounts – naturally emerges as a unit of weight of the money commodity; for example, the silver ounce or the gold gram.” Despite the USD’s anchor to gold being broken in 1971, another renowned student of monetary history, macro analyst Jim Grant, notes that the resulting monetary system chaos will ensure that “silver and gold will be money again.” At least eventually. Those who are holding it when that time comes will be glad they did. As for those who aren’t, they’ll wish they did.
By the Numbers
Americans have hundreds of billions of dollars in personal loan debt. With that in mind, here are the states with the biggest – and smallest – increases in personal loan debt over the past year.:
50 Alaska (smallest increase in personal debt)
49 Vermont
48 Wisconsin
47 South Dakota
46 Alabama
5 Idaho
4 Maine
3 Delaware
2 Iowa
1 Montana
Source: Wallet Hub
The Question of the Week
[poll id="522"]
Last Week’s Poll Results
Does your primary home’s kitchen cooktop operate on electricity or gas?
- Electricity (53%)
- Natural Gas (47%)
More than 2000 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week’s question and it turns out that just over have of you have an electric cooktop in your primary home. Frankly, I’ve never been able to control the heat very well on that type of stove. I suspect that’s a big reason why almost all restaurants cook their meals using natural gas.
If you have a question you’d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at Len@LenPenzo.com and be sure to put “Question of the Week” in the subject line.
Useless News: Missing Car
A man walked out of a bar, stumbling back and forth with a key in his hand. Unfortunately for him, a cop on the beat saw this and quickly intercepted the guy.
The man was clearly intoxicated, so the cop asked, “Can I help you, sir?”
“You ssshure can, Ossifer!” said the drunk, “Sssshomebody ssshtole my car!”
“Where was your car the last time you saw it?” asked the cop.
“It wasssh at the end of thisssh key!” the drunk replied, logically, if a bit too literally.
About this time the cop noticed that the man’s member was being exhibited for all the world to see. So he asked the man, “Sir, are you aware that you’re exposing yourself?”
The bewildered drunk looked down and without missing a beat moaned, “Oh, Gawd! They got my girlfriend too!”
(h/t: Cowpoke)
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More Useless News
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(The Best of) Letters, I Get Letters
Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment — assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it’s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: Len@LenPenzo.com
After reading my article explaining why only suckers buy whirlpool bathtubs, Mike Smith had a message for all of the Jacuzzi defenders who left comments explaining why I was wrong:
For all the folks here who are supporting the use of these tubs, that’s great and I’m glad for you. But my wife will not sit in a tub of water with chunks of dark crud floating around her.
Have you tried dimming the lights, adding some rose petals, and burning a few candles?
If you enjoyed this edition of Black Coffee and found it to be informative, please forward it to your friends and family. Thank you! 😀
I’m Len Penzo and I approved this message.
Photo Credit: public domain
Madison says
Looks like I’m #1 today. Yay! 🙂
Len, that kid’s pic of her mom at work still has me rolling on the floor! I don’t know where do you find this stuff, but I’m glad you do.
Len Penzo says
Hi, Madison! Glad you enjoyed it.
Hubbard says
Re: Gold vs stock market returns since 2000
Amazing that gold resulted in better returns over that timeframe. How is it that NOBODY seems to know about this? Not surprised stock brokers stay away from gold – no money in it for them. Why doesn’t anybody in the press ever bring this up?
Len Penzo says
As Upton Sinclair said, “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
Isabela says
I hear a lot about how Millennials and Zoomers value experiences over things. They say traveling, fine dining and going to concerts is better than owning possessions. I disagree.
A new gaming PC can give me endless entertainment. A new cell phone gives me endless possibilities. A trip or a concert is just a memory that fades. A house is an investment and allows you to pay less rent and allow you to buy more things.
I traveled a lot with my parents when I was a teenager and I remember almost none of it. 9 times out of 10 when you go to a concerts they play the same music you’ve heard a million time before.
Nicole says
I remember memories – not things. Remembering memories have a bigger impact on my overall outlook on life and mental health – not things.
Sam I Am says
When it comes to experiences or things, you don’t have to choose one or the other, just make sure that you’re doing or buying what brings you the most happiness.
Photo Fred says
A very good Question of the Week this week! Actually, I think the experiences/things choice tends to be a bit oversimplified. When this question is asked, I think almost everyone assumes “experiences” being purchased will be good ones. But sometimes experiences can really be quite vapid or even miserable! At same time, sometimes buying things can end up facilitating an experience that is satisfying or meaningful. Just my $0.02.
It's Joe says
I recently bought a set of golf clubs for $1300. If I had spent those $1300 on a vacation, I would have gotten a week’s worth of fun out of the money. Spending it on golfing instead, which I really enjoy playing, gives me a lifetime of fun.
This holds true for most of the things I buy. Expensive kitchen utensils like knifes turned into an obsession with cooking. After spending my discretionary funds on my hobbies and saving the rest, I don’t really have much left for a vacation. Not that I care.
And no, I don’t have an urge to see the world before I die! I’m not interested staring at buildings and visiting other places. My interest is in my hobbies, golfing, and learning new skills, and honing them. Stuff like cooking, fixing things, and working out.
Vivian says
I love to travel because I learn a lot and see things I could never even expect to see. There are always neat places like museums with info you can’t find anywhere else. And so many interesting places off the beaten path where tourists usually don’t venture. I also enjoy trying new foods while traveling. I especially like learning about new cuisines and flavor profiles that I can look for again.
Cowpoke says
Before the 1900s most people stayed close to home and rarely ventured more than a few miles from where they were born.
Len Penzo says
I’m one of those people who think neither choice is superior. Is that a cop-out? Maybe. I will say I do not have a huge drive to travel these days, so my bias is toward things. But I also know people who travel extensively and love it. To each his own.
InhalingCO2 says
Visa and MC, wow. Thank Len. My goal this week is to work on things I can control. When I find anything, I will share. Working on my mind and attitude has been tough lately. My weekly cup keeps me going.
Lauren P. says
I agree with Madison today, Len; the kid’s drawing of Mom (and Mom’s response) is hilarious!
Given the above Scorecard for 1999-2023, I’m considering putting even more savings into PMs. At this point, I’m not really seeing any downside to that idea.
Last, thanks for reminding me that “Road Warrior” is the best Mad Max movie! 🙂
Len Penzo says
Hi Lauren … finally back on line. Hope all is well with you and your family in beautiful South Dakota!
Paul S says
How are you making out during the current storms, Len? Sounds pretty bad. Haywire when CA has worse weather than the BC wet coast. Sunshine here today saw me spading over some garden beds. Crazy. Two years ago we were digging out from snow for at least two months. We had up to 4′ and I live at sea level. I decided then that if we were going to remain here it meant having a tractor to be able to get out of the driveway. Hah, not this year. This year has been quite dry, in fact we are only at 65% snow pack in the mountains. All the ski hills have shut down. Could be a bad summer for us….again.
Anyway, hope you are well and doing okay in the latest storm.
Len Penzo says
Funny you should ask, Paul. I just got my Internet service restored today after three days of outage. The repeated power outages and restarts ended up frying a circuit board in my provider’s communication box and left us without even a hardline (I live up in hills with spotty service). Other than that, backyard is a bit soggy from almost 72 straight hours of relentless rain. Other than that, all is well!
bill says
Glad you’re back online. I wondered what happened to you. I didn’t know if you were trying to bring back 6 cases of whiskey for Honeybee and the feds caught you.