It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …
Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.
I hope everybody had an enjoyable week. Without further ado, let’s get right to this week’s commentary …
Money is not the most important thing in the world. Love is. Fortunately, I love money.
– Jackie Mason
Try paying the bills with love.
– T. Harv Eker
Credits and Debits
Debit: Did you see this? It turns out that 43% of all lovebirds who are going to take on Valentine’s Day debt don’t plan to tell their significant others. We bet that’s most likely because 67% of Americans who are in a relationship say they would be upset to learn their partner went into debt for their gift. Oh … and if you’re partner doesn’t get you a Valentine’s gift this year, perhaps it’s because 61% of those polled say that inflation is making it harder for them to afford Valentine’s gifts this year. We have to admit, they have a point …
Debit: Speaking of inflation, the latest reading of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – known as the “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index – showed that inflation remained above the central bank’s 2% target. The PCE, which strips out food and energy costs and is closely watched by the central bank, “officially” rose 0.2% – that was double the rate from the prior month. And on a year-over-year basis, core prices rose 2.8%. Then again, that seems low to us. Er … regardless of who you may think is to blame …
Debit: Despite a substantial drop in the rate of inflation from its 2022 highs, the Wall Street Journal correctly points out that a steady annual inflation of nearly 3% – assuming one believes the government’s CPI data – is still not acceptable. Why? Because the USD’s purchasing power is cut in half every 23 years with annual inflation at 3%. From that perspective, it’s much easier to see how that seemingly-modest degree of currency debauchery makes saving for the long-term an extremely iffy proposition. That being said, if actual inflation is running closer to 8%, then purchasing power is being halved every 9 years. How’s that for a reality check?
Debit: Hey … here’s something else that should make your head spin: After the US Treasury reluctantly gave access to the US government’s payment system used to disburse trillions of US dollars (USD) every year by the US Treasury to the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the newly formed agency announced last week that it discovered, among other things, that payment approval officers at Treasury were instructed always to approve payments. Yes; always. Even those to known fraudulent or terrorist groups. Heh. Why are we not surprised?
![](http://cdn-0.lenpenzo.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Untitled-18-923x1024.png)
h/t: @SallyMayweather
Debit: Those Treasury bureaucrat’s pathetic “management” performance is among a long line of reasons why it now takes $3.90 of federal debt to generate $1 in domestic growth. This is an inevitable result of how our fraudulent debt-based monetary system operates. It also means that the US can only grow from here by issuing more debt at an ever-increasing pace. Now for the punchline: Any meaningful move by the DOGE to cut the federal deficit will be met with a deep recession – if not a devastating depression. It also illustrates why the government has become a boat anchor around the neck of the private sector – if not why this headline is almost believable …
Credit: In other news, tariffs of 25% took effect last weekend on Mexican and Canadian imports – and 10% on Chinese goods. With the Fed holding rates steady and inflation concerns growing, markets are on edge. By Monday, however, negotiations with Mexico and Canada resulted in the delay of those 25% duties on America’s southern and northern neighbors by a month. Imagine that.
Credit: Meanwhile, the mere threat of tariffs to begin roiling the precious metal markets, spurring massive shipments of gold from London – which is the world’s most important gold trading hub – to New York ahead of higher prices that might result if the yellow metal remained in the UK. Curiously, there is now a 4 to 8 week delay for London to deliver gold, versus the usual three day wait. That begs the question: Are the delays really due to the threat of tariffs – or, more likely, due to a lack of bullion in the London vaults. Needless to say, officials insist there is a perfectly good explanation for those suddenly-extended delivery times …
![](http://cdn-0.lenpenzo.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Untitled-21-1024x768.png)
Seriously … this week a Bank of England rep said almost the exact same thing – with a straight face, no less. (h/t: @JamesDa47116905)
Credit: On a related note, precious metals analyst Chris Powell posits that, “If the fraudulent, derivatives-based Western gold market was breaking down, would it look much different than the situation reported in London (last) week? And if gold were to be revalued by the major central banks, might not revaluation be precipitated by a market shortage? I’ve long thought that a revaluation would have to be accomplished in a flash — that is, on a Sunday night before the Asian markets opened — and that central banks would be participating.” Even more intriguing is that Powell says “there’s evidence of official revaluation preparations.” Ya think?
Credit: For his part, sagacious macro analyst Franklin Sanders marveled this week that, “establishment-icon Goldman Sachs is recommending gold as the best safe haven hedge.” He’s not the only one. He then went on to say that “this helps explain why gold is filling up those basement vaults in New York – (despite) most having not yet caught onto gold elbowing aside the USD and US Treasury bonds as the safe haven investment.” Even so, the choice seems obvious – at least to us …
Credit: By the way, we’d like to thank Mr. Powell for also highlighting this additional bit of wisdom from GoldCore’s Jan Skoyles in his report: “No matter how much governments try to obscure it, gold remains at the center of the world financial system. (Gold) is the serene king of financial assets, and isn’t going away — at least not when you hold the real thing in your own hands … and avoid derivative and fractional-reserve gold.” Oh … and in case you’re wondering, despite the run-up in its USD price over the past several years, the yellow metal is nowhere near over-valued at the moment. Hey … we’re not sayin’. We’re just sayin’.
Credit: Precious metals analyst Jesse Columbo: “Over the past half-century, the rise of financialization and inflating asset bubbles has led to an explosion of paper financial assets: Approximately $135 trillion in bonds, $109 trillion in equities, and a staggering $1 quadrillion in derivatives. This complex web of counterparties creates significant systemic risk. In stark contrast, physical gold and silver stand apart as assets with no counterparty or default risk. This simplicity becomes a tremendous advantage in times of financial turmoil.” Indeed it does – but only if it’s in your possession. In other words: If you don’t hold it, you don’t own it.
By the Numbers
If you’re looking to find a sugar daddy before Valentine’s Day – or even a sugar momma – then you may be interested to know that a new study ranks US states by billionaire tax returns, revealing where the ultra-wealthy choose to live. Here are the states with the most billionaires as of the end of 2023:
186 California
135 New York
78 Florida
73 Texas
23 Illinois
22 Massachusetts
18 Georgia
18 Pennsylvania
17 Nevada
Source: Delia Law
The Question of the Week
Last Week’s Poll Result
How many cars do you currently own?
- Two 38%
- One 28%
- Three 18%
- More than three 11%
- None 5%
More than 1900 Len Penzo dot Com readers answered last week’s question and it turns out that almost 1 in 20 of you don’t own a car – which means it’s also probably safe to assume that 100% of those people don’t live in Southern California.
If you have a question you’d like to ask the readers here, send it to me at Len@LenPenzo.com and be sure to put “Question of the Week” in the subject line.
Useless News: Traffic Stop
A senior citizen drove his brand new Corvette convertible out of the dealership. Taking off down the road, he pushed it to 80 mph, enjoying the wind blowing through what little gray hair he had left. Amazing, he thought as he flew down the highway, pushing the pedal even more.
Looking in his rear view mirror, he saw a state trooper behind him, lights flashing and siren blaring. He floored it to 100 mph, then 110, then 120. Suddenly he thought: What am I doing? I’m too old for this. So he pulled over to await the trooper’s arrival.
Pulling in behind him, the trooper walked up to the Corvette, looked at his watch, and said, “Sir, my shift ends in 30 minutes. It’s Friday. If you can give me a reason for speeding that I’ve never heard before, I’ll let you go.”
The old gentleman paused. Then he said, “Years ago, my ex wife ran off with a state trooper. I thought you were bringing her back.”
“Have a good day, sir,” replied the trooper.
(h/t: Dr. J)
Squirrel Cam
Who let the squirrels out! How many bushy tails can you spot in this clip?
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More Useless News
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5. Minnesota (2.24)
46. Vermont (1.50)
47. New Hampshire (1.32)
48. Iowa (1.30)
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50. Wyoming (1.06)
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Letters, I Get Letters
Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment — assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it’s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: Len@LenPenzo.com
After reading my piece on things people overpay for, Kenny Schneider added this additional pearl of wisdom regarding the high cost of first-class air travel:
Coach gets you there just as fast.
So true, Kenny. Too bad it doesn’t keep the TSA from making air travel, ahem … frisky business.
If you enjoyed this edition of Black Coffee and found it to be informative, please forward it to your friends and family. Thank you! 😀
I’m Len Penzo and I approved this message.
Hi Len,
Thanks for another tasty cuppa!
Just for the record, I don’t care how much they cost at the moment. I will NOT be happy if somebody tries to give me an egg for Valentine’s Day. 🙂
Have a great weekend everybody!
Sara
But egg prices are almost as expensive as diamonds these days, Sara. At least they are here in California.
Nobody wants tariffs, which is why they are an effective negotiating tactic for the country with the upper hand in trade. Notice that Mexico and Canada quickly caved, but China didn’t.
I’m pretty sure Canada and Mexico were not the ones caving. They did provide some face saving material, though. As for the point of no one knowing what Canadian products they buy…here are some interesting facts folks might not be aware of:
Canada supplies 47% of nickel the US uses for stainless steel, etc a key need for their military hardware….plus,
Canada is the primary source of many minerals that the United States imports, including aluminum, nickel, uranium, steel, copper, and niobium.
Canada has large reserves of cobalt, graphite, lithium, and rare earth materials, which are important for clean energy technologies.
Canada’s high purity manganese is vital for the automotive and energy storage industries in North America.
The United States is Canada’s top trading partner for critical minerals.
California Home Building Association said this:
California homebuilders say they have few options but to keep buying Canadian lumber, even if it’s hit with 25 per cent tariffs, as they rebuild thousands of homes destroyed by devastating wildfires in Los Angeles.
Dan Dunmoyer, president of the California Building Industry Association, said Wednesday that “there aren’t really alternatives” to Canadian lumber used for homebuilding in the state because about 80 per cent of Californian land is owned by the federal or state governments and can’t be logged.
Dunmoyer also said California lacks mills, environmental policies and supply chains that would allow a quick switch to local lumber production, and making those changes would likely take years.
“We are very dependent on Canadian lumber,” he said. “We like Canadian lumber. It’s super high-quality, properly harvested for the environment. It’s really quality material.
“I understand from a president or a prime minister’s perspective, it’s all about jobs. It’s all about making sure your people have an income and a lifestyle, the quality of life that’s enjoyable.… But to try to do this over a weekend and say, ‘Hey, we just want to put these big tariffs on any country without creating the economy within your own country,’ [it] just means higher prices, full stop, full period.”
As an aside, our PM currently in Europe for 5 days renewing trade agreement with the Eurozone, and communicating strategy plans for the next irrational decision on tariffs. Plus, Canada in early stages of renewing Energy East Pipeline and Northern Gateway to divert the current 4.5 million barrels of oil currently imported by USA in order to sell to other customers.
No one wins a trade war.
I agree nobody wins in a trade war. Lack of Canadian lumber isn’t the end of the world. I know the U.S. closed lots of mills in Oregon and Washington over the years and not because they ran out of trees. No reason they can’t reopen them if tariffs make Canadian prices more expensive.
I don’t think China can be bullied by the US. We gave away the majority of our industrial base to them. We better hope we don’t get into a protracted war with the Middle Kingdom because we don’t have the capacity to wage one.
Hey, Len! Who do think is going to win the big game on Sunday?
I’m going with the birds, Madison. But I don’t really care as long as my pool numbers hit.
Love the Chick-fil-A person replacing the Federal workforce….now that’s funny!
Glad you enjoyed it. That one made me LOL too, John.
Hi Len, another good cuppa Joe and I like the new format. Got a little worried when there was no question of the week on the other articles, but was glad to see it here!
This column is the 1st time I’ve ever seen the word “quadrillion” used, and I sure hope it doesn’t become the new normal; I’m still worrying about the TRILLIONS, don’t even want to THINK about anything higher than that! But imo things are now headed in the right direction in DC, and that’s good news. 🙂
Hi Lauren! You may have noticed I have gone to a single column blog layout in the hopes of getting back into Google’s good graces. They have been penalizing me for a long time now because the format is not mobile-phone friendly and it has cost me a lot of page views. Anyway … the downside is I am having trouble getting the poll to fit into the new format. If it’s not one thing it’s another!
As for the quadrillion term … I’m afraid we probably should both get used to it. 🙁
Thx Len. I hope we get to see some more clarity on where the billions are being spent. It would be great to see more construction with insulated concrete forms across the country. Where is all the physical gold? 4 week wait is a long time. I look forward to the commercials during the big game. Stay healthy.
Thanks, CO2. I just watched the game … for the first time in a long time, the commercials were better than the game. What a dud!
I love the Democrat activist that lost 25 lbs a week because of Trumps economy.
Well, Ed … it turns out that a month or so ago she was talking on X (Twitter) about how Ozempic allowed her to lose a few dozen pounds in short order. I guess she forgot about that. The truth is always a challenge with these activists.
Kat Williams said that Oprah took so much Ozempic that Gayle lost weight.
Seems like everybody is taking it these days. Not me; I have a new dog that is keeping me thinner because I have to walk it at least three miles every day.
Don’t come to Texas for a billionaire sugar daddy. ANS got the last one about to die off in a nursing home.
What kind of guy do you think I am, Bill? If I was in the market, I’d be looking for a sugar momma!