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Len Penzo dot Com

The offbeat personal finance blog for responsible people.

Black Coffee: The Real Consequences of Fake Money and Cheap Credit

By Len Penzo

It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …

Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.

I hope everybody is having a great weekend! Okay, away we go …

We stand today at a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness; the other leads to total extinction. Let us hope we have the wisdom to make the right choice.

— Woody Allen

Credits and Debits

Credit: Hey! In case you missed it, the market party on Wall Street is back, as stawks continued their miraculous recovery from December’s panic attack. For the week, the Dow gained 3%, the S&P 500 advanced 2.9%, the Nasdaq finished 2.7% higher. As for the Russell 2000, it’s up 9.3% since January 1st; that’s its best start to a year since 1987. Hooray!

Debit: So, what’s driving the sudden surge in stocks? Two words: central banks. Their balance sheets began expanding (yet again) at the height of the December market downturn — and this week China injected $170 billion of freshly-printed yuan into the market. It all has to go somewhere, and most of it is going into stocks — both here and abroad. Enjoy the illusion, because it’s all smoke and mirrors. #FakeMarkets

Credit: Despite the recovering stock market, American consumers this month are the most downbeat on the economy since November 2016. The public’s sour mood comes after expectations reached a 16-year high just three months earlier. What was going on just three short months ago? Oh yeah, the Plunge Protection Team was on vacation because major stock market indices were still near their all-time highs.

Debit: The legal minimum wage for New York City employers climbed to $15 per hour from $13 on January 1st — and $11 per hour in 2017 — giving fast-food, retail and other employees a bump in pay. But some restaurant owners in the Big Apple say the latest minimum wage hike is forcing them to cut workers’ hours just to stay afloat. Huh. Well … Nobody could have ever seen that coming. Or this …

Credit: Speaking of restaurants, new research suggests soaring restaurant prices are signaling that inflation is higher than what the government claims; diners have seen their bills grow 8% annually since 2009 — meaning prices are doubling every 8.5 years. Researchers say dubious government inflation data could explain the rapid rise in consumer debt, and the disconnect between perceived versus reported quality of life. Unfortunately, what it can’t explain, is this:

Debit: Meanwhile, the Fed’s biggest proponent for further rate hikes has now reversed course, saying after raising its benchmark rate to 2.25% last month, the Fed can pause further rate increases for the foreseeable future. That’s odd. A booming economy should easily be able to handle interest rates twice that high. Hey … you don’t think the economy is actually weaker than we’re being told, do you? Nahhhh.

Credit: As Zero Hedge notes, “One can say that a decade of record liquidity injections and (0% interest rates) means the Fed is years behind the normalization process. But since they can barely weather a 20% drop in the S&P before halting rate hikes at 2.25%, it’s painfully clear that Ben Bernanke was spot on when he said that there will be ‘no rate normalization in my lifetime‘.” At least not if the Fed can help it.

Debit: Did you see this? A new study has found that most millennials expect to die in debt — and student debt is the main reason. Over 60% of Americans aged 18 to 37 are unsure when — or if — they’ll ever be able to retire their debt. Among those who say they’re uncertain about their ability to eliminate the red ink, 20% expect to die in debt. Sad. And just more proof that credit is financial crack. On steroids.

Credit: Of course, you can blame government loans for driving up college costs to the insane levels we have today. And as economist Ryan McMaken notes, “Were it not for subsidized (education) loans and tuition, the number of students able to afford degrees would shrink considerably.” He’s correct. If we eliminated the loans, then colleges would have to slash prices — and become much leaner — to prevent empty classrooms.

Debit: Needless to say, the student loan woes are just a subset of the larger issue: a global debt-based financial system that’s quickly approaching its mathematical limit. The time is coming when central banks will only be able to keep their fraudulent fiat system from imploding by distributing enormous sums of cash directly to consumers and governments. Ironically, that “antidote” will turn out to be fiat’s fatal poison.

Debit: In some places the banksters have performed small-scale trial runs of their “antidote” in the form of universal basic income. And this week, Sikkim, a small Indian state in the Himalayas announced an ambitious plan to implement the largest universal basic income program to date — they’ll be dispensing “free” cash to every one of its 610,577 citizens. No, really.

Credit: Then again, the coming collapse is about more than wanton debt; there are other fathers. As MN Gordon notes, “Economies mirror the veracity of the money and credit that flow through them. An economy with sound money and tight credit is industrious, thrifty, and honest. Whereas an economy with fake money and cheap credit is slothful, gluttonous, and deceitful.” Indeed, it is — and monetary karma is coming.

By the Numbers

Here are the tax rates for the 10 highest income tax states in 2018:

13.3% California

11.0% Hawaii

9.9% Oregon

9.85% Minnesota

8.98% Iowa

8.97% New Jersey

8.95% Vermont

8.95% District of Columbia

8.82% New York

7.65% Wisconsin

Source: TurboTax

The Question of the Week

Would you accept $10 million to leave your country and never return?

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Last Week’s Poll Result

What do you need the most?

  • Time (44%)
  • Love (31%)
  • Money (23%)
  • Power (2%)

More than 1600 Len Penzo dot Com readers answered this week’s survey question and it turns out that, in the pantheon of wants and needs, a strong plurality (4 in 9) say they want more time above all else. For those with plenty of time, love was the predominant need. I’m happy to see that just 1 in 50 readers craved power more than time, love or money.

If you have a question you’d like to see featured here, please send it to me at Len@LenPenzo.com and be sure to put “Question of the Week” in the subject line.

Useless News: A Bargain in the Garden

Adam was hanging around the Garden of Eden feeling very lonely.

So, God asked him, “What’s wrong with you?”

Adam said he didn’t have anyone to talk to.

God said that He was going to make Adam a companion and that it would be a woman. He said, “She will gather food for you, she will cook for you, and when you discover clothing, she will wash it for you.

“She will always agree with every decision you make and she will not nag you, and will always be the first to admit she was wrong when you’ve had a disagreement.

“She will praise you!

“She will bear your children, and never ask you to get up in the middle of the night to take care of them.

“And she will never have a headache.”

So Adam asked God, “What will a woman like this cost?”

God replied, “An arm and a leg.”

Then Adam asked, “What can I get for just a rib?”

Of course the rest is history!!!!

(Editor’s note: Ladies, please address your complaints to our resident grandfather, RD Blakeslee.)

Other Useless News

Here are the top — and bottom — five Canadian provinces and territories in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:

1. Manitoba (1.68 pages/visit)
2. Quebec (1.62)
3. British Columbia (1.59)
4. Ontario (1.58)
5. Saskatchewan (1.52)

9. Newfoundland and Labrador (1.36)
10. New Brunswick (1.34)
11. Yukon Territory (1.33)
12. Northwest Territories (1.20)
13. Nunavut (1.13)

Whether you happen to enjoy what you’re reading (like those crazy canucks in Manitoba, eh …) — or not (ahem, you hosers living on the frozen Nunavut tundra) — please don’t forget to:

1. Click on that Like button in the sidebar to your right and become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook!

2. Make sure you follow me on Twitter!

3. Subscribe via email too!

And last, but not least …

4. Consider becoming a Len Penzo dot Com Insider! Thank you.

Letters, I Get Letters

Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment — assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it’s interesting or not! You can reach me at: Len@LenPenzo.com

After reading a recent guest post here from Len Penzo dot Com reader, Gayle Tate, on the high cost of being poor, Pierrette Brousseau left this comment:

Great post — candid and refreshing! Anybody who thinks owning a business and being poor is “glamorous” is a space cadet.

I agree — frankly, they should Apollo-gize for even thinking that way.

If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I’m Len Penzo and I approved this message.

Photo Credit: (coffee) brendan-c

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24 Comments January 19, 2019

Comments

  1. 1

    Sara King says

    Hi Len,

    My nephew has over $100,000 in student loan debt and a bachelors degree and is earning $13 an hour! Maybe I should tell him to move to NYC and get a job as a waiter.

    Thanks for another great read.

    Sara

    Reply
    • 2

      The Dark Knight says

      Let me guess. Your nephew has a degree in cultural studies. Practical degrees will provide a decent ROI. The same can’t be said for liberal arts and other useless degrees.

      Reply
      • 3

        Sara King says

        Note quite Dark Knight! It’s in psychology.

        Sara

        Reply
        • 4

          roddy6667 says

          You need at least a master’s degree in psychology to work in the field. He has wasted his money so far.

  2. 5

    Dumb Dumb says

    I got a history degree in 2003. Not worth it in my opinion. I would have been better off financially by going into some kind of trade like plumbing or an electrician.

    Reply
    • 6

      Stan says

      A lot of people overlook medical trades. EMT, lab tech, MRI tech, ultrasound tech, CT scan tech, and X-ray tech are good examples of this. Being a physician assistant or nurse practitioner is another low-cost option (compared to med school).

      Reply
      • 7

        roddy6667 says

        The average RN in CT makes over $66,000 a year. This is possible in 5 years. If you are a shift supervisor or something like that, you make 6 figures.

        Reply
    • 8

      Len Penzo says

      If you aren’t getting a STEM degree, then the trades are the way to go. Thanks, everyone, for the great suggestions and comments on this.

      Reply
      • 9

        TechQn says

        Absolutely….STEM is the future.

        Instead of looking for a degree, I chose instead to take the time to invest in “Certifications” when I first started out in IT. Then each year, or so, added to them as my knowledge and skills grew. I also chose a field I really love so that made it easier to want to study LOL…..and luckily my new place is healthcare…..so that’s two stable fields I get to hang my work hat from (IT and Healthcare) 🙂

        Now my youngest is 20 and I offered to help pay for community college, but he wanted to do Welding.
        Which he not only loves, but is a great trade and skill.
        He has literally been working since he graduated and makes good money while he attends his “Certification” courses.
        So his trade pays well and he has no student loan debt.
        So major plus on both!

        PS….Thanks for the great blog, been waiting for your coffee one.
        Been paying lots of attn to the various news on slow downs, debts, markets, etc……and I totally agree with you….it’s coming, best to be prepared. 😉

        Reply
  3. 10

    RD Blakeslee says

    Editors note: Ladies, please address your complaints to our resident grandfather, RD Blakeslee.)

    The devil made me do it.

    Reply
    • 11

      Catherine says

      I forgive you RD. It was pretty funny.

      Reply
      • 12

        RD Blakeslee says

        Thank you Catherine.

        Knowing the devil as well as I do, I expect he’ll tempt a Lady to lay one on me …

        Reply
  4. 13

    Catherine says

    If everybody in that Indian state is going to get a check that pays the bills every month why would anyone bother working? How will their society function? Seems everywhere you look the world has gone totally insane whether it’s universal income, sanctuary cities, etc, etc. Does anybody out there ever think about the impacts of these decisions?

    Reply
    • 14

      Len Penzo says

      If we had a monetary system based upon real money, none of these ridiculous ideas would ever see the light of day, Catherine — including so-called sanctuary cities.

      Reply
  5. 15

    Wide Awake says

    UBI works – at making people dependent on the state. If you want a population that is self reliant then UBI is the LAST thing you want to see. Politicians who prefer socialism like UBI because the more dependent upon a system you become, the more likely you’ll support it (even if it is a dictatorship).

    Reply
    • 16

      RD Blakeslee says

      “The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people’s money.” — Margaret Thatcher

      “The philosophy of envy and siphoning from the rich appeals to a large segment of the population that does not realize that the definition of rich is a spiral of devolution that eventually will reach every business and every individual who works for a living.”

      https://thehill.com/opinion/ampaign/425970-america-the-new-socialist-frontier

      Reply
  6. 17

    Chris says

    In the past when currencies have collapsed, there’s always been another currency to cushion the negative economic impact and maintain some level of stability. Think back as far as the Weimar hyperinflation or any other hyperinflation event since the early 1900’s. People could fall back on the dollar or another functioning currency so trade could continue without the need for barter.

    If the dollar collapses, there is nothing to fall back on.

    Reply
    • 18

      Jared says

      Arghhhh, there be Gold and Silver mate!!!!

      Reply
      • 19

        Len Penzo says

        ^^^ This. Thank you, Jared.

        Chris: Look up Exter’s pyramid.

        Reply
        • 20

          RD Blakeslee says

          I did not know about Exter’s pyramid. Accidental enlightenment – Thanks, Len!

          BTW, the site below nicely explains it AND illuminates how undervalued silver is!

          https://steemit.com/knowledge/@vgholdingsllc/6jw3df-spreading-death-and-debt

        • 21

          Len Penzo says

          Thanks for the link, Dave! Excellent summary.

    • 22

      TechQn says

      People will always find a way to trade and barter…you can bet your bottom fiat dollar. Be it silver, gold or ammunition.
      But….
      You’d be surprised to see how hard it is now getting to find even small amounts of the “junk silver’ (pre 1965 90% silver) from bullion places.
      I checked yesterday and most of the choices that I normally pick (rolls of dimes, quarters, half dollars) are gone, or “sold out” “out of stock” etc….
      I checked 5 sites and the only items they had in those were the giant bags.
      Personally I’ve never seen that happen like that in all the time I’ve been buying PMs.

      So…..somebody out there is also thinking about holding these items. And since it’s older circulated money, not the shiny new silver, you can probably bet these are being purchased most likely as fall back bartering money….as opposed to “wealth preservation” money.
      Cheers!

      Reply
      • 23

        Len Penzo says

        I highly recommend junk silver as the jump-off point for anyone who is just starting to stack precious metals. Junk silver has a low risk of counterfeit and is perfect for barter: one silver dime is a loaf of bread, one silver quarter is a gallon of gas, etc.

        Reply
  7. 24

    RD Blakeslee says

    “While the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank has attempted to keep gold prices low in an effort to preserve world dominance of the U.S. dollar, other countries have taken advantage by accumulating more precious metal at bargain prices.”

    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-24/countries-are-beginning-stockpile-gold

    Reply

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