It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …
Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.
Let’s get right to it …
“The financial markets are rigged by the big banks, the Fed, and the Treasury in the interest of big bank profits and the dollar’s exchange value, which is the basis of US power.”
— Paul Craig Roberts
“Taking money from small businesses, spending it in Washington on favored industries and favored individuals, picking winners and losers in the economy, that’s not pro-growth economics. That’s cronyism. That’s corporate welfare.”
— Paul Ryan
“That ain’t workin’. That’s the way you do it. Get your money for nothing, and your chicks for free.”
— Mark Knopfler
Credits and Debits
Debit: I see the only US employment gains from the past year went to those with a high school diploma — or lower. That wouldn’t be so bad if the bulk of those positions were manufacturing jobs. But they’re not.
Debit: Don’t look now, but the madness is back — homeowners are taking out mortgages to buy bitcoin, cars and fine wine. The Financial Times is reporting that British homeowners looking to make a quick profit are once again borrowing against their property to invest in stocks, bonds, property and other investment alternatives. Uh huh. I think I’ve seen this movie before.
Debit: Speaking of fast money, has the stock market bull market finally reached the euphoria phase? Well, it has if the most recent Yale Survey is any indication: 100% (!) of institutional investors, and 99% (!) of individual stock buyers, expect higher stock prices a year from now. Nope … no irrational exuberance there.
Debit: Frankly, it’s really no wonder everybody is so bullish on stocks: As Zero Hedge points out, since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, the world’s central banks have bought $10.8 trillion in assets. I know. And you thought rising stock, bond and property prices were value-driven.
Debit: To be fair, some stocks have been struggling lately. For example, Starbucks shares have plunged more than 17% since June. Hey … Do you think the fact that most Starbucks stores have four additional stores within one mile of their own location has something to do with that? If it doesn’t, it probably should.
Debit: Meanwhile, thanks to daily intervention by the European Central Bank, European junk bond yields are now equivalent — and in some cases, lower than — 10-year Treasuries, which further affirms the insanity currently going on in the bond market.
Credit: As Wolf Richter notes: “When no one can price risk anymore, when there’s no apparent difference anymore between Euro junk bonds and US Treasuries, then all kinds of bad economic decisions are made and capital gets misallocated.” Well … yeah. But, Wolf, the bond bulls on Wall Street insist that you’re just howling at the moon.
Credit: Of course, almost everybody agrees that Euro junk bond yields being equivalent or lower than 10-year US Treasuries is utterly inconceivable, but there is one possible explanation that nobody other than me seems to be considering: This all makes perfect sense if the bond market is actually signaling that US Treasuries are now junk too. Think about it. Am I crazy? Or crazy like a fox.
Credit: The sad reality is, with corporate profits and commercial bank solvency almost completely dependent now on a tight correlation between asset prices and central bank liquidity, the entire global financial system is more reliant than ever on the world’s central banks to hold the markets together — with monetary baling wire, duct tape and string.
Debit: Unfortunately, all of that dastardly central bank liquidity from the Fed’s printing press also facilitates an American scourge that runs rampant today: crony capitalism. Then again, I’m quite certain there are at least some people out there who don’t think crony capitalism is such a bad thing. (Psst. And it’s not a coincidence that they’re also very rich people.)
Debit: After all, if you don’t own a sustainable business that earns regular profits, you can still become filthy rich as long as you’re connected to pols in Washington and the state capitals. Just ask Tesla and SpaceX CEO, Elon Musk; nearly half of his estimated $11 billion net worth — yes, that’s billion, with a ‘B’ — is due to government subsidies taken from the taxpayers’ pockets. Is this a great country, or what?
By the Numbers
As E! Online notes, “Nothing could be further from the reality of the public at large than a star-studded getaway.” Very true … as evidenced by some recent celebrity R&R bills:
$137,720 Cost of Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie’s family trip to Thailand, including $126,000 for one week at the Amanpuri Beach Resort.
$196,470 Cost of Jennifer Lopez and Alex Rodriguez’s trip to France, including $185,000 for private jets between Los Angeles, Nice and Paris.
$230,000 Cost of Beyonce and Jay Z’s babymoon in Bora Bora.
$443,000 Cost of Kim Kardashian and Kanye West’s vacation in the Bahamas, including $176,000 for a house rental on a private island.
$475,000 Cost of Julianne Hough and Brooks Laich’s honeymoon in the Seychelles and Kenya, including $21,000 for a one-week safari.
Source: E! Online
The Question of the Week
[poll id=”176″]
Last Week’s Poll Result
On average, how many times do you withdraw money from an ATM each month?
- Never (38%)
- 1 (31%)
- 2 (15%)
- 4 or more (9%)
- 3 (6%)
More than 1100 people responded to last week’s question and it turns out that roughly two in five Len Penzo dot Com readers never use an ATM. Neither do I; in fact, I can’t remember the last time I pulled cash from one. For many people, the ATM is a significant reason why they have trouble keeping their finances on an even keel.
Useless News: Big Brother Cometh
Seen on an Internet comment board this week … Big Brother is finally here, which is why it won’t be long before future telephone conversations resemble something like this:
“Hello! Gordon’s pizza?”
“No, sir; it’s Google Pizza.”
“So I have a wrong number?”
“No, sir. Google bought it.”
“OK. Then take my order please …”
“Well, sir, do you want the usual?”
“The usual? Do you know me?”
“According to caller ID, the last 12 times you ordered a thick crust pizza with sausage and extra cheese.”
“Yes! That’s it!”
“May I recommend ricotta, arugula with sun dried tomato instead?”
“No, I hate vegetables.”
“But your cholesterol is 274.”
“And how do you know that?”
“Through the subscriber’s guide. We have your blood tests for the last seven years.”
“Okay, but I don’t want an arugula pizza; I already take medicine.”
“You haven’t taken the medicine regularly. Four months ago, you only purchased 30 tablets at Drugs Online.”
“I bought more from another pharmacy.”
“It’s not showing on your credit card.”
“I paid in cash.”
“But you didn’t withdraw that much cash according to your bank statement.”
“I have another source of cash.”
“This is not showing on your last tax form … unless you got it from an undeclared income source.”
“Bloody hell? Stuff Google, Facebook, Twitter, and WhatsApp. I’m off to an island without the Internet.”
“I understand, sir, but you’ll need to renew your passport first; it expired five weeks ago …”
Other Useless News
Here are the top — and bottom — five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:
1. North Dakota (2.13 pages/visit)
2. South Dakota (2.08)
3. Iowa (1.87)
4. Arkansas (1.75)
5. New Hampshire (1.66)
46. Montana (1.23)
47. New Mexico (1.21)
48. Vermont (1.20)
49. Rhode Island (1.19)
50. Missouri (1.11)
Whether you happen to enjoy what you’re reading (like my friends in North Dakota …) — or not (ahem, Missouri … for the third month in a row.) — please don’t forget to:
1. Click on that Like button in the sidebar to your right and become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook!
2. Make sure you follow me on Twitter!
3. Subscribe via email too!
And last, but not least …
4. Consider becoming a Len Penzo dot Com Insider! Thank you.
(The Best of) Letters, I Get Letters
Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment — assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it’s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: Len@LenPenzo.com
Tara had something she wanted to get off her chest:
“Yeah, you’re full of hot air. Another blogger who thinks he’s a big shot and is going to tell the world how it is.”
The only big shot around here is the Honeybee, and she reminds me of how full of it I am every day.
I’m Len Penzo and I approved this message.
Photo Credit: brendan-c
RD Blakeslee says
Re “Useless News”:
Whenever I go someplace to place a fragmentation bomb, I use my 1995 Dodge pickup truck because it doesn’t have a computer somewhere in its guts.
Len Penzo says
Good idea … but you better make sure to leave your cell phone at home too, Dave.
RD Blakeslee says
…and the GPS.
Sara King says
Starbucks? Who cares about Starbucks! I’m a Dunkin Donuts girl myself.
Have a great weekend Len!
Sara
Len Penzo says
I prefer DD too, Sara. Unfortunately, there aren’t a lot of them here in the People’s Socialist Paradise of California.
TD says
You forgot to mention the bitcoin explosion to $3500.
Scooter says
Thats old news. Its over 3800 now.
Len Penzo says
I didn’t forget, TD. It just didn’t fit in my storyline this week.
Bitcoin could be headed to the moon, and I am very happy for those who bought in early and are seeing a nice profit. However … I am now absolutely convinced that in a dollar currency crisis, bitcoin will return to its intrinsic value: zero.
TD says
Correction. Now its over $4000!
Paul says
When everything is perceived as being risk free then everything is actually at maximum risk. Instead of allowing capitalism to rectify this mess back in 2008 during the initial crisis, TPTB started socializing the mess and trying to postpone the day of reckoning.
The road to Hell is paved with good intentions. And on we go.
Len Penzo says
If the powers that be had allowed the banks to go under that needed to go under at the start of the Great Financial Crisis, the world would have endured a couple years of economic pain, but then we would have experienced a real recovery — not this fraudulent 9-year imitation of a recovery that has done nothing for anybody not in the top 5% of incomes. It would have also extended the life of the dollar-based monetary system.
Now, we are left waiting for other shoe to drop; that will happen when the financial shenanigans keeping these markets afloat finally fail.
John says
Give me a free billion or 2 and I think I could come up with a business that would allow me to live like a king too. Musk is guilty of this, but there are lots of other unprofitable businesses out there that are only surviving because they are firmly locked on the government teet. Mostly green energy companies.
Len Penzo says
I can’t argue with you, John.
Ngan says
I spent $4000 on my Jamaica vacation.
Len Penzo says
That is probably the daily bar and restaurant tab for most of these celebrities.
Mike says
Is that Yale Study for real? Looking at the article in the link provided, it seems as if the study has always skewed to a high level of confidence, but 100% and 99% are insane. When this all comes crashing down it is going to be spectacular.
Len Penzo says
Yeah, those numbers are almost impossible to believe, Mike. With the world’s central banks backstopping all of the markets, investors don’t seem to have any fear at the moment.
Paul I says
I spent $6K on my one month vacation to Europe with first class there and back for two people.
RD Blakeslee says
New wife and I spent about $6 (1964 dollars) on a tent and spent our Honeymoon camping out a Wolf Lake, Michigan.
Money well spent, you young whippersnappers!
Len Penzo says
Wow … that is quite a deal, Paul!
Special Ed says
Kim Kardashian? Poster child for the “Money for Nothing” crowd.
Len Penzo says
She has certainly lived a charmed life, hasn’t she?
mp2c says
US Junk Bond yields are stupidly low as well; probably best avoided for a while because I can’t imagine the spread won’t increase.
Karen Kinnane says
Len, If a person manages to save up a few thousand extra dollars despite high prices and the avarice of our government for taxpayer money to lavish on the non working, and the profligates like Musk, where would you suggest it be best spent / invested? House is paid off, rental property paid off, well running cars paid for, no debt. But where to put a little extra to get the best value / safety / growth?
Len Penzo says
Karen, I am not a good person to ask about where one should invest their money. Whatever you decide to invest in, all I can say is my motto is now “be concerned about return OF your investment, rather than return ON your investment.”
Jack says
HI Len,
My wife and I go to the ATM once a week. We don’t buy anything we can’t pay cash for, we are debt free, our credit scores are just shy of perfect and we are dreading a cashless society. Enjoy your site. We lived most of our lives in North Dakota but moved to MN to be with all the kids and grandkids.
Len Penzo says
Good for you, Jack! I avoid the ATM mainly because I rely on the Honeybee for all my cash needs. LOL She’ll look in my wallet and when it is empty she’ll fill it with about $60. I think she usually gets cash back at the grocery store.
I’m especially glad you enjoy the site and I hope you’ll tell your friends about it.