It’s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe …
Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what’s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.
Let’s dive right in this week …
The best mind-altering drug is the truth.
— Lily Tomlin
Credits and Debits
Debit: By now I’m sure everyone has seen the video of the United Airlines passenger who refused to be bumped from an overbooked flight and had to be forcibly removed. Just remember, the paper gold (and silver) ETF markets “overbook” their customers too; their “bump day” is coming — and there will be no compensation. Well … at least compensation that’s worth anything.
Debit: In other news, I see the IRS collected record amounts of both individual income and payroll taxes during the last six months. Yep. The tax collector sent more than $1.2 trillion to the federal government — and yet the US Treasury still ran a $527 billion deficit over the same period. Think about that the next time a politician claims we need higher taxes.
Debit: If you think that’s crazy, last year Ford, America’s second largest automaker, sold 6.7 million vehicles. Compare that to Tesla: they delivered fewer than 80,000 cars in 2016 — and many of those were heavily subsidized. So can somebody please explain how Ford’s market value is currently $2.7 billion less than Tesla?
Credit: Then again, stock analyst Piper Jaffray thinks Tesla stock is a screaming deal. As an understandably dumbfounded Dave Kranzler points out, Jaffray says his analysis makes perfect sense — but only as long as investors accept something he calls, “creative valuation methodology.” Heh. I’m no expert in that type of analysis, but I strongly suspect any old chicken bones will do.
Credit: Says Kranzler: “‘Creative valuation methodology’ sounds like something used (by) stock analysts who have taken LSD.” Yes, Dave … and it seems to be much more prevalent during stock market bubbles.
Debit: Maybe the Fed should have loaded up on Tesla stock instead of all of those toxic mortgage backed securities they bought during the last financial crisis. Unfortunately, they didn’t. As a result, the Fed is now technically on the edge of insolvency.
Credit: Speaking of insolvent central banks, a proposed law in Zimbabwe would compel the nation’s banks to accept cattle, television sets, refrigerators and other household appliances as collateral. No, really. Am I the only one wondering if that includes electric can openers?
Credit: Yes, I know. Technically, the Fed can never be insolvent because they own a printing press. However, as Robert Murphy of Mises.org points out, “If the Fed should become insolvent from an accounting standpoint, more of the public would begin to realize just how nihilistic our fiat-currency system really is.” One can only hope.
Debit: On the other hand, pension funds can become insolvent. In fact, gold-plated public pensions in Chicago, Dallas and several other locations around the country are in serious trouble; Chicago’s could implode in as little as four years if the stock market tanks. Uh oh.
Credit: Fortunately, for you government workers in Chicago, Dallas and elsewhere who are worried that you’ll no longer be able to retire at age 50 and pull a six-figure taxpayer-supplied pension for 35 years or more, there’s still hope: I hear that LSD markedly improves your pensions’ longterm outlook.
The Question of the Week
[poll id="159"]
Last Week’s Poll Result
How much cash do you currently have in your wallet?
- $1 to $20 (33%)
- $21 to $50 (20%)
- $51 to $100 (18%)
- More than $100 (17%)
- None (12%)
More than 1400 people answered this week’s survey question and it turns out that roughly 1 in 6 said they had more than $100 in their wallet. On the other hand, almost half said they were carrying less than $20. In fact, 12% said their wallets were completely devoid of cash … I assume those are all married men.
By the Numbers
Here are a few fun facts on Easter:
$152 Amount spent per person this Easter.
$2,580,000,000 Total spent on candy.
$2,940,000,000 Total spent on clothing.
61% People who will visit family on Easter Sunday.
52% Americans who will attend church on Easter.
49% People who will decorate eggs.
35% People who will have an egg hunt.
740 Number of different Easter cards published by Hallmark this year.
52% Americans who say the Easter bunny came before the Easter egg.
Source: The State
Other Useless News
Here are the top — and bottom — five Canadian provinces and territories in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:
1. Alberta (1.86 pages/visit)
2. Yukon Territory (1.75)
3. Newfoundland and Labrador (1.73)
4. Manitoba (1.71)
5. British Columbia (1.69)
9. Quebec (1.60)
10. Saskatchewan (1.55)
11. Ontario (1.47)
12. Northwest Territories (1.33)
13. Nunavut (1.25)
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Letters, I Get Letters
Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment — assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it’s interesting or not! You can reach me at: Len@LenPenzo.com
Tanya Yoder felt compelled to drop some spam in my inbox this week. It started out like this:
Are you secretly repelling women?
Of course not! They instinctively run away from me no matter who is watching.
I’m Len Penzo and I approved this message.
Photo Credit: Teresa Whitaker
Oscar says
TSLA is now worth more than Ford, but it was also more valued than GM on Monday. Almost nobody would buy a Tesla without the tax breaks that come with them. The financial world has gone crazy.
http://www.detroitnews.com/story/business/autos/2017/04/10/tesla-passes-gm/100285550/
Len Penzo says
Hey … I missed that, Oscar! Thanks for sharing that. Who knows how long these absurd valuations will continue, but one thing is certain: when reality reasserts itself, this is going to end in tears.
Sara King says
Keep fighting the good fight Len!
Happy Easter!
Sara
Len Penzo says
Oh I will, Sara. One week at a time.
Happy Easter to you too.
Visitor says
I thought it was a joke but United really is offering red eye and black eye flights!
Len Penzo says
Ha ha. That’s a good one. I also heard they’re changing their theme song from ‘Rhapsody in Blue’ to ‘Rhapsody in Black and Blue.’
The Visitor and I are here all week, folks!
Wide Awake says
The Fed is in all out Ponzi mode. They’ve tasted the power of QE and the sheep bow down to their masters. The Fed has unlimited power to buy anything and everything with printed money. Their new charter is to keep stocks ever rising. There are no checks and balances. They issue debt that they sell to themselves. They can buy stocks and bonds. Bonds that are used to buy back stock at inflated prices and then pay their cronies millions of dollars. This won’t stop until theres a crisis of confidence in the fiat dollar.
Len Penzo says
That is exactly what’s happening, WA. Exactly.
The manipulation in what used to be the two financial system health-barometers — that is, the gold and silver market — has gone off the rails this month. The shenanigans are so nakedly blatant now it is jaw-dropping. Not sure if that is a sign of additional stress on the powers-that-be’s ability to continue the manipulation or not. We will see.
Brian says
Len, every time I read Black Coffee, I picture you on stage delivering the debits and credits like a late-night talk show host…you think you could pull that off for us ONE TIME? Pretty please? We need all the humor we can get to deal with some of this stuff!
Len Penzo says
You mean like a YouTube video? I appreciate the suggestion, Brian, but I think that would be too distracting — I have a face made for radio. lol
Kyron says
The Fed will do what any rational bond holder will do when interest rates go up. They will simply hold the bond to term and receive all their money back which they could theoretically extinguish to take it out of the money supply (quantitative tightening, anyone?).
Fed, unlike any of us, has no immediate obligation or need to sell any of those bonds. The world could freeze over and they couldn’t care less about selling the bond earlier than term.