{"id":90420,"date":"2026-02-07T01:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-07T09:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=90420"},"modified":"2026-02-14T08:14:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-14T16:14:30","slug":"black-coffee-7-feb-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id90420-black-coffee-7-feb-2026.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Best Laid Plans"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-51224 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"251\" height=\"240\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 251px) 100vw, 251px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve got another busy weekend ahead of me, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>The future is already here \u2013 it&#8217;s just not evenly distributed.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>\u2015 <span class=\"authorOrTitle\">William Gibson<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>If you don&#8217;t know where you&#8217;re going, you&#8217;ll end up someplace else.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>\u2015\u00a0<span class=\"authorOrTitle\">Yogi Berra<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? The move to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/world-nation\/story\/2026-02-01\/in-some-states-push-to-end-all-property-taxes-for-homeowners\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">abolish property taxes<\/a> is growing with efforts in states including Florida, Texas, Georgia and North Dakota aiming to reduce homeowner cost burdens. Supporters argue that property taxes undermine true ownership \u2013 particularly when unpaid bills can lead to foreclosure. Even so, critics warn those plans threaten funding for schools and local governments that rely heavily on property taxes. Then again, many of those same critics aren&#8217;t in favor of tax cuts of <em><strong>any<\/strong><\/em> type. Or worse&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90455\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-10.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"806\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-10.jpg 792w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-10-201x300.jpg 201w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-10-686x1024.jpg 686w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-10-768x1146.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90452\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-9.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"394\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-9.jpg 1078w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-9-300x219.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-9-1024x747.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-9-768x560.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90456\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-11.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-11.jpg 1036w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-11-245x300.jpg 245w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-11-838x1024.jpg 838w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-11-768x939.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news, after factoring in projected rates for asset-class returns and inflation, Morningstar analysts say the highest &#8220;safe&#8221; starting withdrawal rate for people retiring in 2026 is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/business\/insights\/research\/the-state-of-retirement-income\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">3.9% of portfolio assets<\/a> \u2013 that&#8217;s up 20 basis points from Morningstar&#8217;s 2025 recommended rate of 3.7%. The rate was just 3.3% in 2021. By &#8220;safe,&#8221; Morningstar means the highest rate that gives people a 90% chance of having some money left at the end of a 30-year retirement. However, depending on subsequent withdrawals schemes, it <em><strong>is<\/strong><\/em> possible to succeed with a higher initial withdrawal rate. But caution is always advised as wealth can drain easily drain away quicker than expected:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Emve2S6gyIY?&amp;controls=0&amp;start=1&amp;end=22\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, you should be aware that, when it comes to retirement withdrawal rates, recent Monte Carlo simulations predict that, while retirees who follow the generic &#8220;4% rule&#8221; would have more to spend now, those retirees would have just a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kiplinger.com\/retirement\/retirement-planning\/does-morningstars-retirement-withdrawal-advice-work-for-investors\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">72% success rate<\/a> over 30 years, compared with a 92% chance of their money lasting for the group that followed Morningstar&#8217;s guidance. Hopefully, most people are smart enough to figure out the implications of those results when planning life in those so-called &#8220;golden years.&#8221; And just to be clear: We said \u201cmost\u201d&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90427\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"706\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-3.jpg 1226w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-3-229x300.jpg 229w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-3-783x1024.jpg 783w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-3-768x1005.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-3-1174x1536.jpg 1174w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_90459\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90459\" class=\"wp-image-90459\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-13.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"635\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-13.jpg 1276w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-13-255x300.jpg 255w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-13-871x1024.jpg 871w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-13-768x903.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-90459\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gary Larson &#8211; The Far Side<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Curiously, despite a growing number of major financial analysts recommending a portfolio of 60% stocks, 20% bonds, and 20% physical gold to replace the previous popular &#8220;60\/40&#8221; stock-bonds paradigm, the Morningstar model <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/investors-are-asking-if-they-need-to-own-gold-and-silver-at-all-d46ac11e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">doesn\u2019t have a gold component<\/a> included in its calculation. If it did, we strongly suspect the recommended \u201csafe\u201d withdrawal rate in retirement would be slightly higher than what they calculated for this year. And although the general public and Wall Street are slow to understand this, we&#8217;re very thankful that the current US Treasury Secretary <em><strong>does<\/strong><\/em> get it.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-90430 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"664\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-244x300.jpg 244w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-833x1024.jpg 833w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-768x944.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90458\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-12.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"557\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-12.jpg 928w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-12-291x300.jpg 291w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-12-768x793.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Sadly, what the general public no longer understands is that, since 1971, the entire debt-based monetary system has been predicated on debt expansion and artificially low interet rates to sustain it. That\u2019s because that was the year authorities at the Fed and US Treasury who were entrusted to protect the long-term purchasing power of the US dollar (USD) decided the benefits of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Nixon_shock\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">breaking its anchor<\/a> to the yellow metal outweighed the consequences. Well\u2026 as we now know, they were wrong. And to think I thought <em><strong>these<\/strong><\/em> guys had cornered the market on bad ideas &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/mGfBEnBw01A?start=1&amp;end=60&amp;autoplay=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> For what it&#8217;s worth, in January the S&amp;P 500 gained 1.4%, the Dow advanced 1.7% and the Nasdaq finished 1% in the green. Many investors focus on the \u201cJanuary barometer\u201d and its associated saying: \u201cAs goes January, so goes the year\u201d \u2013 and <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/january-barometer-stocks-comes-big-143000269.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the January barometer<\/a> has a pretty good track record. Since 1945, whenever the S&amp;P 500 has ended the first month of the new year with gains, the market on average increased 16% that year, versus an average annual advance of 9.3%. Then again&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90438\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"236\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-3.jpg 1220w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-3-300x131.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-3-1024x448.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-3-768x336.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_90439\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90439\" class=\"wp-image-90439\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"673\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-4.jpg 1428w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-4-241x300.jpg 241w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-4-822x1024.jpg 822w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-4-768x957.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-4-1232x1536.jpg 1232w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-90439\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">h\/t: @julz5421980<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_90437\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-90437\" class=\"wp-image-90437\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"528\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-2.jpg 890w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-2-300x293.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-2-768x751.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-90437\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">h\/t: @florintruth<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> On a related note\u2026 remember when all of the markets on Wall Street plunged last week after Kevin Warsh was made the incoming Fed Chair nominee? We sure do. Anyway\u2026 that got sagacious macro analyst Franklin Sanders wondering, &#8220;Why the wild reaction? Harsh is perceived as opposing inflation. This is much the same as appointing <a href=\"https:\/\/the-moneychanger.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a new madam<\/a> to run a bordello because she is tough on fornication. After all, what, pray, is the Fed\u2019s purpose except to inflate?\u201d Indeed. It\u2019s just a pity most people remain blissfully unaware of this fact and believe the Fed works in their best financial interest.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90431\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"752\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-0.jpg 1224w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-0-215x300.jpg 215w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-0-736x1024.jpg 736w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-0-768x1069.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/TWEET-0-1103x1536.jpg 1103w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90463\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"669\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-15.jpg 1002w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-15-242x300.jpg 242w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-15-826x1024.jpg 826w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-15-768x952.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, Mr. Sanders also passed along a little advice that we&#8217;d probably all be wise to heed: &#8220;Stop trying to make sense out of this stuff because you can\u2019t, it\u2019s all <a href=\"https:\/\/no01.substack.com\/p\/the-aftershocks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a tissue of lies<\/a> and legerdemain to make the public believe the Fed will curtail inflation when they not only will not but also, they cannot. To stop inflation would be to stop the US government which can&#8217;t survive without the Fed monetizing its deficits, which <em><strong>is<\/strong><\/em> inflation.\u201d And we all know the US government&#8217;s only interest at this point is in ensuring that it continues to expand with each new annual budget.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90434\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"462\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-1.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-1-300x257.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-1-1024x876.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-1-768x657.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90461\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-14.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"533\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-14.jpg 976w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-14-300x296.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-14-768x759.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of senseless, after the Western paper silver market lost 30% on January 30th, the price for physical silver in China, continued to trade at a 29% premium. What a farce! Macro analyst Matthew Piepenberg admitted that, &#8220;The CME may have <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/making-sense-of-fridays-utterly-rigged-nonsense-in-the-silver-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">won a paper battle<\/a>, but rising demand for physical silver and gold will win the war as the paper system loses credibility, power and options with each tick of the global debt time-bomb because the rising preeminence of physical gold and silver will steadily outpace the increasingly desperate mechanizations of the heavily-leveraged paper exchanges.\u201d Yep. And it appears that, after almost 60 years, time is finally running out.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90435\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/CURRENCY-WAR.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"435\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/CURRENCY-WAR.jpg 1040w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/CURRENCY-WAR-300x242.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/CURRENCY-WAR-1024x825.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/CURRENCY-WAR-768x619.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-90444\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-8.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"1014\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-8.jpg 800w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-8-160x300.jpg 160w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-8-545x1024.jpg 545w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Untitled-8-768x1442.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Indeed, despite the historic silver market decline on January 30th, there were no new discoveries \u2013 or even a single new silver mine that came online to erase the current four-year-old structural supply deficits caused by decades of artificially suppressed prices. Or, as Mr. Piepenberg put it: &#8220;For those who hold physical gold and silver as part of a long game of <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id16252-silver-and-gold-the-superheroes-of-wealth-preservation-2.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">wealth preservation<\/a> against the short game of desperate yet dying paper money, the speed bump on January 30th was nothing more than that: A bump in an otherwise wide-open road forward.&#8221; Got gold?<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The most popular Valentine\u2019s gifts this year are, in order: a greeting card, a box of chocolates, diamond earrings, a dozen roses, and dinner for two, totaling $774 for the full package. That&#8217;s $262 more than the top Valentine&#8217;s gifts of 2016, which were, in order: a box of chocolates, diamond earrings, a dozen roses, dinner for two, and a bottle of champagne. Here are their respective price increases of those same gifts over the past decade:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>31%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Greeting card<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>36%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Diamond earrings<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>66%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Roses<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>127%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Champagne<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>160%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Dinner for two (excluding tax &amp; tip)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>236%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Chocolates<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/investorsobserver.com\/research\/2026-valentines-day-costs-51-more-than-in-2016-even-love-cant-escape-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Investors Observer<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code><div class='bootstrap-yop yop-poll-mc'>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"basic-yop-poll-container\" style=\"background-color:#3f8b43; border:0px; border-style:solid; border-color:#3f8b43; border-radius:7px; padding:10px 10px;\" data-id=\"63\" data-temp=\"basic\" data-skin=\"minimal\" data-cscheme=\"black\" data-cap=\"0\" data-access=\"guest\" data-tid=\"\" data-uid=\"0388ff8d394960136dcc0f54dd77f684\" data-pid=\"90420\" data-resdet=\"percentages\" data-show-results-to=\"guest\" data-show-results-moment=\"after-vote\" data-show-results-only=\"true\" data-show-message=\"true\" data-show-results-as=\"bar\" data-sort-results-by=\"number-of-votes\" data-sort-results-rule=\"desc\"data-is-ended=\"1\" data-gdpr=\"no\" data-gdpr-sol=\"consent\" data-css=\".basic-yop-poll-container[data-uid] .basic-vote { text-align: center; }\" data-counter=\"0\" data-load-with=\"1\" data-notification-section=\"top\"><div class=\"row\"><div class=\"col-md-12\"><div class=\"basic-inner\"><div class=\"basic-message \" style=\"border-left: 10px solid #008000; padding: 0px 10px;\" data-error=\"#ff0000\" data-success=\"#008000\"><p class=\"basic-message-text\" style=\"color:#000000; font-size:14px; font-weight:normal;\">This poll is no longer accepting votes<\/p><\/div><div class=\"basic-overlay hide\"><div class=\"basic-vote-options\"><\/div><div class=\"basic-preloader\"><div class=\"basic-windows8\"><div class=\"basic-wBall basic-wBall_1\"><div class=\"basic-wInnerBall\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"basic-wBall basic-wBall_2\"><div class=\"basic-wInnerBall\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"basic-wBall basic-wBall_3\"><div class=\"basic-wInnerBall\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"basic-wBall basic-wBall_4\"><div class=\"basic-wInnerBall\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"basic-wBall basic-wBall_5\"><div class=\"basic-wInnerBall\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><form class=\"basic-form\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_token\" value=\"6d0a12e55e\" autocomplete=\"off\"><div class=\"basic-elements\"><div class=\"basic-element basic-question basic-question-text-vertical\" data-id=\"63\" data-uid=\"e5d4d790e2f9c3c898c9bdbf0c07ad71\" data-type=\"question\" data-question-type=\"text\" data-allow-multiple=\"no\" data-min=\"1\" data-max=\"1\" data-display=\"vertical\" data-colnum=\"\" data-display-others=\"no\" data-others-color=\"\" data-others=\"\"><div role=\"heading\" aria-level=\"5\" class=\"basic-question-title\" style=\"color:#ffffff; font-size:14px; font-weight:normal; text-align:center;\">How many auto accidents or fender benders have you been involved in?<\/div><ul class=\"basic-answers\"><li class=\"basic-answer\" style=\"padding:0px 0px;\" data-id=\"251\" data-type=\"text\" data-vn=\"23\" data-color=\"#000000\" data-make-link=\"no\" data-link=\"\"><div class=\"basic-answer-content basic-text-vertical\"><label for=\"answer[251]\" class=\"basic-answer-label\"><input type=\"radio\" id=\"answer[251]\" name=\"answer[63]\" value=\"251\"  autocomplete=\"off\"><span class=\"basic-text\" style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal;\" tabindex=\"0\">One<\/span><\/label><\/div><\/li><li class=\"basic-answer\" style=\"padding:0px 0px;\" data-id=\"252\" data-type=\"text\" data-vn=\"20\" data-color=\"#000000\" data-make-link=\"no\" data-link=\"\"><div class=\"basic-answer-content basic-text-vertical\"><label for=\"answer[252]\" class=\"basic-answer-label\"><input type=\"radio\" id=\"answer[252]\" name=\"answer[63]\" value=\"252\"  autocomplete=\"off\"><span class=\"basic-text\" style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal;\" tabindex=\"0\">Two<\/span><\/label><\/div><\/li><li class=\"basic-answer\" style=\"padding:0px 0px;\" data-id=\"254\" data-type=\"text\" data-vn=\"16\" data-color=\"#000000\" data-make-link=\"no\" data-link=\"\"><div class=\"basic-answer-content basic-text-vertical\"><label for=\"answer[254]\" class=\"basic-answer-label\"><input type=\"radio\" id=\"answer[254]\" name=\"answer[63]\" value=\"254\"  autocomplete=\"off\"><span class=\"basic-text\" style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal;\" tabindex=\"0\">More than 3<\/span><\/label><\/div><\/li><li class=\"basic-answer\" style=\"padding:0px 0px;\" data-id=\"253\" data-type=\"text\" data-vn=\"14\" data-color=\"#000000\" data-make-link=\"no\" data-link=\"\"><div class=\"basic-answer-content basic-text-vertical\"><label for=\"answer[253]\" class=\"basic-answer-label\"><input type=\"radio\" id=\"answer[253]\" name=\"answer[63]\" value=\"253\"  autocomplete=\"off\"><span class=\"basic-text\" style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal;\" tabindex=\"0\">Three<\/span><\/label><\/div><\/li><li class=\"basic-answer\" style=\"padding:0px 0px;\" data-id=\"250\" data-type=\"text\" data-vn=\"12\" data-color=\"#000000\" data-make-link=\"no\" data-link=\"\"><div class=\"basic-answer-content basic-text-vertical\"><label for=\"answer[250]\" class=\"basic-answer-label\"><input type=\"radio\" id=\"answer[250]\" name=\"answer[63]\" value=\"250\"  autocomplete=\"off\"><span class=\"basic-text\" style=\"color: #ffffff; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal;\" tabindex=\"0\">None!<\/span><\/label><\/div><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class=\"clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"basic-vote\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"button basic-vote-button\" role=\"button\" style=\"background:#ffffff; border:1px; border-style: solid; border-color:#000000; border-radius:0px; padding:5px 10px; color:#000000; font-size:14px; font-weight:normal;\">Vote<\/a><a href=\"#\" class=\"button basic-results-button\" role=\"button\" style=\"background:#ffffff; border:1px; border-style: solid; border-color:#000000; border-radius:0px; padding:5px 10px; color:#000000; font-size:14px; font-weight:normal;\">Results<\/a><\/div><\/form><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><\/code><\/p>\n<p>Was your last big splurge worth the expense?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Yes \u2013 and I would do it again!\u00a0 71%<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Meh. It was nice but never again.\u00a0 18%<\/li>\n<li>No \u2013 it wasn&#8217;t worth it.\u00a0 11%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 2000 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that, for 3 in 10 of you, your last big splurge was underwhelming \u2013 or worse. On the other hand, that also means that, for a significant majority, breaking the bank for an expensive item or experience <em><strong>was<\/strong><\/em> worth it.<\/p>\n<p>Last week&#8217;s question was once again submitted by reader <strong>Frank<\/strong>. Thank you, sir! If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: Grizzly Bear Warning<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After the rising frequency of conflicts between humans and grizzly bears last year, the Montana Department of Fish &amp; Game is now officially warning all hikers, hunters, and fishermen to take extra precautions and keep alert for bears while in the field this summer. Here is the official public advisory from the state&#8217;s chief game warden in Helena:<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;We advise all hikers to make noise and wear small bells on their clothing, so as not to startle bears that aren&#8217;t expecting them. Furthermore, we advise all outdoorsmen to carry pepper spray with them in case of an unexpected bear encounter. It&#8217;s also a good idea to be aware of fresh signs of bear activity; hunters and hikers alike should be able to recognize the difference between black bear and grizzly bear poop. For example, black bear poop is smaller and contains mainly berries and squirrel fur. In contrast, grizzly bear poop is much larger, smells like pepper and has little bells in it.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Cowpoke)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Squirrel Cam<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s only four seconds long, but when the camera was on, this little fella was ready for his close-up!<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 1280px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-90420-1\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/HAPPY1.mp4?_=1\" \/><a href=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/HAPPY1.mp4\">http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/HAPPY1.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Buy Me a Coffee? Thank You!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For the best reading experience, I present all of my fresh Black Coffee posts without ads. If you enjoyed this week&#8217;s column, buy me a coffee! (Dunkin&#8217; Donuts; <em><strong>not<\/strong><\/em> Starbucks.) Thank you so much!<\/p>\n<form action=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/donate\" method=\"post\" target=\"_top\"><input name=\"hosted_button_id\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"BAMGWUPS3YK7G\" \/><br \/>\n<input title=\"PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!\" alt=\"Donate with PayPal button\" name=\"submit\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypalobjects.com\/en_US\/i\/btn\/btn_donateCC_LG.gif\" type=\"image\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/en_US\/i\/scr\/pixel.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" border=\"0\" \/><\/form>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><strong>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>More Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hey, while you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Subscribe to my weekly <strong>Len Penzo dot Com Newsletter!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you follow me on <a href=\"http:\/\/X.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on X<\/a>. And last, but not least&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>3. <em><strong>Please support this website by <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/4l4zzpr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">purchasing my book<\/a><\/strong><\/em><em><strong>! <\/strong><\/em>Thank you!!!! &#x1f60a;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I found this message in my inbox from <strong>Heather Madison<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>I&#8217;m reaching out to you because I&#8217;m looking for a Bozo who is interested in taking on more clients.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">I&#8217;ll have to pass, Heather &#8212; the clown car is in the shop and my calendar is completely booked.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>If you enjoyed this edition of Black Coffee and found it to be informative, please forward it to your friends and family. Thank you!<\/strong> &#x1f600;<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: public domain<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I&#8217;ve got another busy weekend ahead of me, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230; The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-90420","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Best Laid Plans<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id90420-black-coffee-7-feb-2026.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Best Laid Plans\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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