{"id":84542,"date":"2024-09-07T01:00:47","date_gmt":"2024-09-07T08:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=84542"},"modified":"2024-09-11T14:07:10","modified_gmt":"2024-09-11T21:07:10","slug":"black-coffee-battle-stations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id84542-black-coffee-battle-stations.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Battle Stations!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-51224 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"251\" height=\"240\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 251px) 100vw, 251px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve got another busy weekend ahead of me, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Damn the torpedoes; full speed ahead!<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; David Farragut<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Change is the essential process of all existence.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Mr. Spock, <em>Star Trek<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? The typical down payment for US homebuyers hit <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/us\/homebuyers-down-payment-hits-record-high-surging-nearly-15-percent-in-a-year-5715922\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a record high<\/a> of $67,500 in June &#8211; that\u2019s almost 15% higher than the same time last year, when the average down payment was just under $59,000. Sadly, even <em><strong>that<\/strong><\/em> amount was still too high. What America needs is a very sharp housing market correction; think a minimum of 50% lower from here. The trouble is, as long as the Fed keeps the currency spigots wide open, the chances of that type of downturn occurring are slim and none.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_84550\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-84550\" class=\"wp-image-84550\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/PTI-RATIO-Source-Harvard.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"222\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/PTI-RATIO-Source-Harvard.png 1612w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/PTI-RATIO-Source-Harvard-300x124.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/PTI-RATIO-Source-Harvard-1024x422.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/PTI-RATIO-Source-Harvard-768x316.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/PTI-RATIO-Source-Harvard-1536x633.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-84550\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Twas a time when a homebuyer was considered to be stretching their financial situation when their price-to-income ratio was higher than 3. <em>(Source: Harvard Univ.)<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84551\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"359\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6.png 1214w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6-1024x682.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6-768x511.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84552\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6A.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6A.png 1214w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6A-300x116.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6A-1024x396.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-6A-768x297.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84573\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FED-AND-ECONOMY.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"610\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FED-AND-ECONOMY.png 908w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FED-AND-ECONOMY-265x300.png 265w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FED-AND-ECONOMY-906x1024.png 906w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FED-AND-ECONOMY-768x868.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, the rising cost of living &#8211; despite government claims to the contrary &#8211; is a big reason why a growing number of Americans are <a href=\"https:\/\/dailycallernewsfoundation.org\/2024\/08\/28\/further-away-than-its-ever-been-americans-are-losing-hope-in-achieving-the-american-dream-poll-finds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">struggling to makes ends meet<\/a> in the current economy. And now a new survey has found that two-thirds of us believe that the American Dream is unattainable. Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84553\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"473\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-1.png 1218w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-1-300x263.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-1-1024x898.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-1-768x673.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84571\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SECOND-JOB.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"359\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SECOND-JOB.png 1022w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SECOND-JOB-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SECOND-JOB-768x511.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, another survey found that the average family needs more than $150,000 to live &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/graphics\/2024\/08\/27\/inflation-rate-american-dream-prices-higher\/74833577007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the American Dream<\/a>.&#8221; For example, on the high end it takes an annual income of $261,000 for a family of four in Hawaii, while on the low end that same family needs \u201conly&#8221; $110,000 in Mississippi to live the American Dream. The good news is the government has finally developed a plan to stop inflation in its tracks &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84554\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"498\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-4.png 1222w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-4-300x276.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-4-1024x944.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-4-768x708.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84576\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/XPENSIVE-VEHICLE.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"546\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/XPENSIVE-VEHICLE.png 1026w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/XPENSIVE-VEHICLE-297x300.png 297w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/XPENSIVE-VEHICLE-1012x1024.png 1012w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/XPENSIVE-VEHICLE-768x777.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> On a related note, a new survey has found that 46% of Americans said they view credit-card balances as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/low-income-consumers-are-still-struggling-now-the-cracks-are-starting-to-show-for-higher-income-ones-survey-finds-82fecf17\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">higher than usual<\/a>. Ironically, that percentage was even higher (68%) among those with an annual household income of more than $150,000. Not to mention people like this &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84580\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled.png 1098w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1024x679.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-768x509.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84555\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"285\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-3.png 1220w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-3-300x158.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-3-1024x541.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-3-768x405.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Ironically, Dollar General reported <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/08\/29\/dollar-general-shares-crater-20percent-as-retailer-cuts-outlook-blaming-financially-constrained-customers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a catastrophic earnings drop<\/a> last quarter, blaming a &#8220;financially constrained core consumer\u201d for their sales woes. The losses were so bad that by the end of the day its stock fell more than 32% on the news. Meanwhile, back at company headquarters &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/adhkEVCgs4k?&amp;controls=0&amp;start=60&amp;end=89\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Curiously, on the same day that Dollar General reported their dismal earnings for last quarter, the government reported that US GDP &#8220;beat expectations,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/business\/economy\/us-economy-grew-3-second-quarter-faster-initially-thought-rcna168758\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">growing 3%<\/a> in the second quarter. Hooray! Now for the punchline: Ironically, officials admitted that the GDP figure was revised upward solely due to an increase in &#8220;personal consumption.\u201d In other words: something doesn&#8217;t add up.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84556\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"195\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0.png 1226w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0-300x108.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0-1024x369.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0-768x277.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84557\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0A.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"573\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0A.png 1226w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0A-283x300.png 283w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0A-966x1024.png 966w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-0A-768x814.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84558\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DOLLAR-GEN-FERRARI.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"488\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DOLLAR-GEN-FERRARI.png 1146w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DOLLAR-GEN-FERRARI-300x271.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DOLLAR-GEN-FERRARI-1024x926.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DOLLAR-GEN-FERRARI-768x694.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84578\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/MARKET-CRASH-REAL-PEOPLE.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"712\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/MARKET-CRASH-REAL-PEOPLE.png 786w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/MARKET-CRASH-REAL-PEOPLE-228x300.png 228w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/MARKET-CRASH-REAL-PEOPLE-777x1024.png 777w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/MARKET-CRASH-REAL-PEOPLE-768x1012.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news, wealth manager, Dr. Robert McHugh, observed last week that, since the Fed\u2019s inception in 1913 there have been 20 rising interest rate cycles &#8211; and <em><strong>every single one<\/strong><\/em> eventually triggered an economic recession. &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.technicalindicatorindex.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Not once<\/a>,&#8221; says the good doctor, &#8220;did a soft landing follow. The Fed has never been able to pull off a soft landing. Never. So, why should we expect them to do that now?\u201d <em>(h\/t: <a href=\"https:\/\/the-moneychanger.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Moneychanger<\/a>)<\/em> Hmm. That <strong><em>is<\/em><\/strong> a good question &#8211; assuming you believe that assertion. Although, when it comes to questions, it&#8217;s not quite as good as this:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84560\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOOD-QUESTION-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"704\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOOD-QUESTION-2.png 788w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOOD-QUESTION-2-230x300.png 230w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOOD-QUESTION-2-785x1024.png 785w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOOD-QUESTION-2-768x1002.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84582\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"690\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1.png 1216w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1-235x300.png 235w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1-801x1024.png 801w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1-768x981.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-1-1202x1536.png 1202w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84584\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SOFT-LANDING.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"242\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SOFT-LANDING.png 1506w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SOFT-LANDING-300x135.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SOFT-LANDING-1024x460.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/SOFT-LANDING-768x345.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, the US Treasury is expected to issue more than $3 trillion in new Treasury bonds over the next two years, which means Wall Street is going to have to find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-08-26\/banks-likely-end-game-for-repo-market-as-treasury-supply-grows\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">additional investors<\/a> willing to take on as much as $400 billion in new debt issuance. The problem is that if that <em><strong>isn\u2019t<\/strong><\/em> possible &#8211; which is becoming increasingly likely &#8211; then some of the biggest banks in the US will be on the hook to pick up the slack. Never mind that those so-called &#8220;primary dealers&#8221; are already stuffed with more Treasuries than they can handle. Yes &#8230; that&#8217;s a problem. Let&#8217;s just hope the Fed is able to step up their game &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/JKRu-xH58E8?controls=0&amp;start=12;end=87\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Needless to say, the cracks in the global financial system are growing rapidly. In fact, it seems like nearly every facet of it is leaking oil &#8211; but which one is most likely to fail first? For his part, macro analyst Alasdair Macleod believes that &#8220;of all the dangers that threaten the global financial system, the one most likely to topple it is the <a href=\"https:\/\/alasdairmacleod.substack.com\/p\/fudging-the-figures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">US Government\u2019s debt trap<\/a>.\u201d More alarmingly, Macleod says a global financial system collapse is a situation that is &#8220;becoming inevitable.\u201d Frankly, it&#8217;s hard to argue with him. Although many believe the derivatives bubble &#8211; rather than the debt &#8211; will be the proverbial straw that breaks the camel&#8217;s back &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84561\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-2.png 1216w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-2-214x300.png 214w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-2-730x1024.png 730w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-2-768x1077.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-2-1095x1536.png 1095w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_84562\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-84562\" class=\"wp-image-84562\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/UREALIZED-GAINS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"680\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/UREALIZED-GAINS.png 818w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/UREALIZED-GAINS-238x300.png 238w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/UREALIZED-GAINS-813x1024.png 813w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/UREALIZED-GAINS-768x967.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-84562\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(h\/t: @bringmecheese)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In the meantime, we see that the <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/greyerz-1-million-gold-exchange-controls-and-a-world-of-lies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">price for a 400-ounce gold bar<\/a> is now $1 million. It reached $1 million on August 16, 2024 \u2013 53 years and 1 day after the US government broke the US dollar\u2019s (USD) utility as a reliable store of value by decoupling the USD&#8217;s anchor to the yellow metal. For the record, back then a 400-ounce bar could be had for just $14,000. And while we know many people blame the Fed for this, the real culprits are the ones who have worked tirelessly to pass laws that interfere with the free market and ensure the unfettered expansion of the federal government. In other words:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_84564\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-84564\" class=\"wp-image-84564\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOLDEN-GOOSE.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"669\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOLDEN-GOOSE.png 836w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOLDEN-GOOSE-242x300.png 242w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOLDEN-GOOSE-826x1024.png 826w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/GOLDEN-GOOSE-768x952.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-84564\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(h\/t: @duediligenceguy)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_84565\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-84565\" class=\"wp-image-84565\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/400-OZ-GOLD-BAR-ht-Egon-VonGreyerz.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"396\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/400-OZ-GOLD-BAR-ht-Egon-VonGreyerz.png 1518w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/400-OZ-GOLD-BAR-ht-Egon-VonGreyerz-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/400-OZ-GOLD-BAR-ht-Egon-VonGreyerz-1024x751.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/400-OZ-GOLD-BAR-ht-Egon-VonGreyerz-768x564.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-84565\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(h\/t: Egon VonGreyerz)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84566\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-7.png 1214w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-7-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-7-1024x563.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-7-768x423.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Here&#8217;s a fun fact: Prior to the pandemic, the price of gold was strongly correlated to the inflation-adjusted interest rate set by the Fed. However, these days the yellow metal is marching to the beat of its own drummer. In fact, even <em>Bloomberg<\/em> was forced to admit this week that the current <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/newsletters\/2024-09-02\/gold-is-rising-because-of-demand-for-fallback-money\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gold bull market<\/a> is a result of a growing number of people recognizing the precious metal as \u201cfallback money\u201d in a time of ever-increasing monetary system distress. Indeed they are &#8211; and that includes the ever-growing BRICS economic bloc led by Russia and China.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84567\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5.png 1224w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5-300x64.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5-1024x219.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5-768x164.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-84568\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5A.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"248\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5A.png 1224w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5A-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5A-1024x470.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/TWEET-5A-768x353.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_84589\" style=\"width: 550px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-84589\" class=\"wp-image-84589\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"408\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-2.png 1044w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-2-300x226.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-2-1024x773.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Untitled-2-768x580.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-84589\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(h\/t: @MrBradleyFink)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Not coincidentally, macro analyst Chris Marcus reported this week that, &#8220;As we approach this year&#8217;s BRICS meeting next month in Kazan &#8211; with reports of a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ArcadiaEconomic\/status\/1831679197749625257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">40% gold-backed<\/a> &#8216;Unit&#8217; payment settlement currency continuing to emerge &#8211; Russia just announced that they&#8217;re allocating <a href=\"https:\/\/tass.com\/economy\/1838101\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1.9 billion<\/a> for gold and foreign currency purchases over the next month.&#8221; That means, like it or not, it appears that the world is methodically returning toward a global monetary system based upon gold. If true, the prognosis for the USD&#8217;s continuing role as the premier world reserve currency can be summed up thusly:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/3at_Ev2kOoI?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A new study reveals that low-income Americans are still struggling &#8211; but now the cracks are starting to show for higher-income ones too:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>80%<\/strong><\/span> &#8230; of all surveyed households say they&#8217;ve cut their spending this year.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>50%<\/strong><\/span> &#8230; of surveyed households with incomes up to $150,000 report that they&#8217;ve been spending cautiously this year.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>46%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> &#8230; of all surveyed households say their credit card balances are &#8220;higher than usual.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: x-large; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>68%<\/strong><\/span> &#8230; of surveyed households making more than $150,000 say their credit card balances are &#8220;higher than usual.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>60%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> &#8230; say they reduced restaurant spending compared with six months ago.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>36%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> &#8230; plan on increasing the number of store-brand groceries over the next six months.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>24%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> &#8230;of consumers said they&#8217;ve depleted their savings account.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/low-income-consumers-are-still-struggling-now-the-cracks-are-starting-to-show-for-higher-income-ones-survey-finds-82fecf17\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MarketWatch<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"552\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Which asset class has provided your highest investment returns?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Stocks (44%)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Real Estate (24%)<\/li>\n<li>Precious Metals (13%)<\/li>\n<li>Bonds (9%)<\/li>\n<li>Something Else (7%)<\/li>\n<li>Cryptocurrency (3%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 2000 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that, not surprisingly, a strong plurality of you have relied on the stock market to build most of your wealth. Somewhat curiously, 9% of you actually say bonds have been your ticket to prosperity. Very interesting indeed. If so, I have to assume it was due to active trading, rather than holding those bonds to maturity. Either that or junk bonds? Maybe some of you who voted for bonds can share the actual avenue.<\/p>\n<p>This week&#8217;s question was once again submitted by reader <strong>Frank<\/strong>. Thanks again, Frank! If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: Fore!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Three golf clubs went into a bar.<\/p>\n<p>The putter asked for a beer.<\/p>\n<p>The wedge ordered tequila.<\/p>\n<p>And the third?<\/p>\n<p>The third said, nothing for me, thanks. I\u2019m the driver.<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: JohnAZ)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Buy Me a Coffee? Thank You!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For the best reading experience, I present all of my fresh Black Coffee posts without ads. If you enjoyed this week&#8217;s column, buy me a coffee! (Dunkin&#8217; Donuts; <em><strong>not<\/strong><\/em> Starbucks.) Thank you so much!<\/p>\n<form action=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/donate\" method=\"post\" target=\"_top\"><input name=\"hosted_button_id\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"BAMGWUPS3YK7G\" \/><br \/>\n<input title=\"PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!\" alt=\"Donate with PayPal button\" name=\"submit\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypalobjects.com\/en_US\/i\/btn\/btn_donateCC_LG.gif\" type=\"image\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/en_US\/i\/scr\/pixel.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" border=\"0\" \/><\/form>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><strong>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>More Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hey, while you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Subscribe to my weekly <strong>Len Penzo dot Com Newsletter!<\/strong> (It&#8217;s easy! See the big green box in the sidebar at the top of the page.)<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you follow me on my new favorite quick-chat site, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/gab.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gab<\/a><\/strong>! Of course, you can also <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a> too!And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by checking out my sponsors&#8217; ads! <\/strong><\/em>Thank you!!!! &#x1f60a;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">(The Best of)<\/span> Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The other day I found this note in my inbox from <strong>Carroll<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Thanks for the advice! I think your blog deserves more attention than it&#8217;s getting. I&#8217;ll probably be back again to read more.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Aww, thank you so much, Carroll! Hey &#8230; wait a minute. What do you mean, &#8220;probably&#8221;?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>If you enjoyed this edition of Black Coffee and found it to be informative, please forward it to your friends and family. Thank you!<\/strong> &#x1f600;<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: public domain<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I&#8217;ve got another busy weekend ahead of me, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230; Damn [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-84542","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Battle Stations!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id84542-black-coffee-battle-stations.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Battle Stations!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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