{"id":82406,"date":"2024-03-09T01:15:28","date_gmt":"2024-03-09T09:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=82406"},"modified":"2024-03-12T13:37:41","modified_gmt":"2024-03-12T20:37:41","slug":"black-coffee-9-mar-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id82406-black-coffee-9-mar-2024.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: The Miracle Worker"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>I hope everybody had an enjoyable week. Without further ado, let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Ingenuity, plus courage, plus work, equals miracles.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8211; Bob Richards<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? New car prices in January were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coxautoinc.com\/market-insights\/kbb-atp-january-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">down 3.5%<\/a> compared with the same month one year ago; still, the average new car sells for an eye-raising $47,401. It turns out that prices have been trending downward since last September because inventories have climbed 49% over the same period. Wake us up when car insurance premiums, which have risen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/car-insurance-rates-2024-inflation-climate-change-bankrate-report\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">more than 25%<\/a> in the past year, start falling. Oh &#8230; and while you&#8217;re at it, wake us up when housing prices begin falling appreciably too\u00a0 &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82449\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-5-1024x482.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"254\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-5-1024x482.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-5-300x141.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-5-768x361.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-5.png 1220w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82414\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/CAR-PRICE-1024x619.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/CAR-PRICE-1024x619.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/CAR-PRICE-300x181.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/CAR-PRICE-768x464.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/CAR-PRICE-1536x928.png 1536w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/CAR-PRICE-2048x1238.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82457\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-11-756x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"732\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-11-756x1024.png 756w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-11-221x300.png 221w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-11-768x1041.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-11-1133x1536.png 1133w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-11.png 1374w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Despite the falling prices, US car buyers now need an annual income of $100,000 to comfortably purchase car. The trouble is, the average income of an American household is far less than that. As a result, a new study has found that more than 60% of American households say <a href=\"https:\/\/carbuzz.com\/news\/most-americans-cant-afford-a-new-car-anymore\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">they can&#8217;t afford<\/a> to purchase a new car, including cheaper models like the Toyota Corolla and Nissan Versa. Apparently, that\u2019s because they\u2019re not <em><strong>this<\/strong><\/em> guy:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rZpD8WHnGqQ?si=tYomPzyq7vdB83F-&amp;controls=0&amp;start=724&amp;end=742&amp;autoplay=0 title=\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> On a related note, the average American now has an all-time high credit card balance of $6501 &#8211; that&#8217;s up from $5910 in 2022. In fact, more consumers are finding themselves dependent on credit these days, leading to <em><strong>another<\/strong><\/em> concerning trend: A new survey by Bankrate found that nearly half of all cardholders (49%) are now <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankrate.com\/finance\/credit-cards\/credit-card-debt-survey\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">caught in the cycle<\/a> of carrying balances from one month to the next. Yes; that is disturbing news. Then again, Bankrate also found that 99% of all Americans are also guilty of this:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82415\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OOPS.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"655\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OOPS.png 830w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OOPS-248x300.png 248w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/OOPS-768x931.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82462\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-13-676x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"818\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-13-676x1024.png 676w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-13-198x300.png 198w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-13-768x1164.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-13-1013x1536.png 1013w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-13.png 1222w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news &#8230; If anybody knows the state of America\u2019s manufacturing base, can you let us know? The two biggest monthly surveys for February were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/personal-finance\/wtf-going-us-manufacturing-pmi-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">released this week<\/a>, and while the one conducted by S&amp;P Global says US manufacturing expanded at the strongest pace since June 2022, the competing ISM survey insists it has been contracting for the last 15 months. Heh. As usual nothing seems to be adding up &#8211; which means these guys should probably get a job with the federal government. Or maybe we can all just agree to disagree &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82454\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-9.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-9.png 870w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-9-267x300.png 267w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-9-768x863.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82416\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MANUFACTURING-1024x543.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"286\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MANUFACTURING-1024x543.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MANUFACTURING-300x159.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MANUFACTURING-768x407.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MANUFACTURING-1536x814.png 1536w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MANUFACTURING.png 1924w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82434\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4-1024x736.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"388\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4-1024x736.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4-300x216.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4-768x552.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4.png 1224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82435\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4A-1024x335.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"176\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4A-1024x335.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4A-300x98.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4A-768x251.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-4A.png 1224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, down in South America, Argentina&#8217;s Javier Milei has achieved the country&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/catalyst.independent.org\/2024\/02\/27\/javier-milei-argentina-surplus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">first monthly budget surplus<\/a> since 2012. How did he do it? Well &#8230; despite what many people seem to believe, the key to fiscal discipline <em><strong>isn&#8217;t<\/strong><\/em> rocket science. Milei simply froze the government budget, while simultaneously cutting the funding of many government agencies by more than 50%. Easy peasy! Even so, while generating a budget surplus <em><strong>is<\/strong><\/em> a significant achievement, it&#8217;ll be a miracle if Milei can just as quickly end the hyperinflation that was unleashed after decades of unrestrained government spending. And on a related note &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82451\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MIRACLE-683x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"809\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MIRACLE-683x1024.png 683w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MIRACLE-200x300.png 200w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MIRACLE-768x1151.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MIRACLE-1025x1536.png 1025w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/MIRACLE.png 1252w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82459\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-12-773x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"715\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-12-773x1024.png 773w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-12-227x300.png 227w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-12-768x1017.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-12-1160x1536.png 1160w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-12.png 1222w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Back in America, the Fed not only announced that it is going to begin slowing the pace at which it shrinks its balance sheet, it also hinted an &#8216;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/gold-bonds-soar-feds-waller-hints-qe-reverse-twist\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Operation Reverse-Twist<\/a>\u2019 is coming, which will lower short-term yields and steepen the yield curve. In essence, they&#8217;ll be running the printers even <em><strong>faster<\/strong><\/em> &#8211; via quantitative easing (QE) &#8211; than they are now. Why? Two reasons: 1) the reverse repo account that the US Treasury has been tapping since 2022 will be completely drained this month, and 2) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/financial-stability\/bank-term-funding-program.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Fed&#8217;s BTFP facility<\/a> for struggling banks is set to expire next week. In other words: trouble is definitely brewing.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82417\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/QE-1024x702.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/QE-1024x702.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/QE-300x206.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/QE-768x527.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/QE.png 1286w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82467\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-A-3-1024x887.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"468\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-A-3-1024x887.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-A-3-300x260.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-A-3-768x665.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-A-3.png 1226w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82469\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-B-4-1024x543.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"286\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-B-4-1024x543.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-B-4-300x159.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-B-4-768x407.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-B-4.png 1226w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> What the Fed seems to be ignoring is the fact that there is no \u201clong term\u201d because the long-end doesn&#8217;t matter anymore; the USD is in its endgame. This will become more apparent some time after the reverse repo account balance is near or at zero. Why? Because that account has been masking the full effects of the Fed\u2019s quantitative tightening (QT) program that has been in effect the past several years, as <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/why-economists-are-warning-of-another-us-banking-crisis-224092\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">banks will be incentivized<\/a> to raise rates and restrict lending. If that sounds confusing, you&#8217;re not alone. But you can rest assured that we&#8217;ve got an army of highly-paid officials at the Fed who have everything under control. Or not.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82418\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3-1-1024x368.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"194\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3-1-1024x368.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3-1-300x108.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3-1-768x276.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3-1.png 1224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82419\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3A-1024x281.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"148\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3A-1024x281.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3A-300x82.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3A-768x211.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-3A.png 1224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82420\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2-WOLVES-1024x882.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"465\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2-WOLVES-1024x882.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2-WOLVES-300x258.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2-WOLVES-768x662.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2-WOLVES.png 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of the National Debt, anyone with any shred of common sense should be able to look at what\u2019s going on and realize that very little of it is getting paid back. In fact, those dreaded interest payments are only there to sustain the illusion for as long as possible. This is easy to see once you realize that almost <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalreview.com\/corner\/10-trillion-in-u-s-government-bonds-for-sale-in-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">one-third of all US Treasury bonds<\/a> &#8211; approximately <em><strong>$10 trillion<\/strong><\/em> worth &#8211; come due <em><strong>this year<\/strong><\/em>. The good news is, the stock market is stronger than ever &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0akBdQa55b4?si=u7eHzdqEdK1v0xzc&amp;controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> For what it\u2019s worth, the US Treasury&#8217;s portfolio is heavily weighted to the short end. As a result, there is $10 Trillion of existing debt due to be refinanced in 2024, <em><strong>plus<\/strong><\/em> an estimated $3 trillion in new borrowing &#8211; which means the US needs <em><strong>somebody<\/strong><\/em> to extend $13 trillion in credit to the federal government <em><strong>this<\/strong><\/em> year. Of course, there&#8217;s no way that&#8217;ll happen, as China prefers gold over American IOUs these days &#8211; so the Fed will be forced to buy those IOUs via naked debt monetization. And <em><strong>that<\/strong><\/em>, in turn, will most likely lead to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.supermoney.com\/encyclopedia\/crack-up-boom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a crack-up boom<\/a> &#8211; assuming we&#8217;re not in the early phases of one already &#8211; followed by a once-unthinkable US debt and currency crisis.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82421\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-0-1-874x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"632\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-0-1-874x1024.png 874w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-0-1-256x300.png 256w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-0-1-768x899.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-0-1.png 1216w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82430\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"461\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-7.png 1000w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-7-300x256.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-7-768x656.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> So &#8230; just how dire IS America\u2019s financial situation? Well &#8230; though the first eight years of this century, the federal government\u2019s deficits hovered around $220 billion per year. By the time the pandemic appeared, those deficits climbed to $1 trillion per year. Three years later, the US is burning through $1 trillion ever 100 <em><strong>days<\/strong><\/em>. This is what the business end of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theburningplatform.com\/2024\/03\/03\/why-they-are-creating-1-trillion-of-debt-every-100-days\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an exponential debt curve<\/a> looks like. And so anybody with a pulse should be able to deduce that there is very little time left before the entire system goes tits up. In the meantime, market absurdities will continue &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82423\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-2-1-780x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"709\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-2-1-780x1024.png 780w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-2-1-229x300.png 229w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-2-1-768x1008.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-2-1-1171x1536.png 1171w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-2-1.png 1224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82424\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/NATIONAL-DEBT-1024x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"540\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/NATIONAL-DEBT-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/NATIONAL-DEBT-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/NATIONAL-DEBT-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/NATIONAL-DEBT-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/NATIONAL-DEBT.png 1048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82432\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-8-1024x573.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"302\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-8-1024x573.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-8-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-8-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Untitled-8.png 1026w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Believe it or not, if we extrapolate the current trend, the US National Debt will reach <a href=\"https:\/\/vongreyerz.gold\/gold-we-have-liftoff\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$100 trillion no later than 2036<\/a> &#8211; but probably much sooner. Oh &#8230; and that <strong><em>doesn\u2019t<\/em><\/strong> included unfunded liabilities, which are already pushing $200 trillion. With that in mind &#8211; and we\u2019re just thinking out loud here &#8211; but it makes us wonder if the entire federal government disappeared tomorrow, what would happen in the short term? And would we eventually be better off? Regardless, there\u2019s still time to buy wealth insurance. Just make sure that, when you do, you buy the real thing &#8211; not some unproven imitator &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82426\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-1-5-745x1024.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"742\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-1-5-745x1024.png 745w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-1-5-218x300.png 218w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-1-5-768x1055.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-1-5-1118x1536.png 1118w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/TWEET-1-5.png 1224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-82422\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BURNING-USD.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"570\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BURNING-USD.png 970w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BURNING-USD-284x300.png 284w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BURNING-USD-768x811.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> While adding $1 trillion in new debt every 100 days is impressive for all the wrong reasons, as one comment board poster observed, &#8220;It&#8217;ll be a trillion a month soon, then a trillion a week, then we&#8217;ll be wiping our ass with trillion dollar bills.\u201d The USD is certainly on that trajectory. Will it remain on that trajectory until its demise? The history of fiat currencies strongly suggests that it&#8217;s quite possible. With that in mind, prudent individuals should strongly consider <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id31147-the-collapse-your-wealth-insurance-and-when-to-use-it-2.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">protecting their nest egg<\/a> and financial future with a little wealth insurance in the form of physical gold.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW236865133 BCX0\">A new study used <em>Indeed<\/em>\u2019s resume search function to find the most <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW236865133 BCX0\">common words<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW236865133 BCX0\"> featured in resumes that were updated in the last six months. Here are the ten most common words, along with the number of times those words came up in a resume search<\/span>:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>206,471<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Fast-paced<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">208,143<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Exceptional<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>218,960<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Leader<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">237,227<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Proficient<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">247,572<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Motivated<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>286,627<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Trained<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">298,985<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Social<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>329,685 <\/strong><\/span><\/span> Bilingual<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>470,113<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Organized<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>514,287<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Responsible<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:qrfy.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">QRFY.com<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[poll id=&#8221;527&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Are you planting or expanding a food garden this year?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>No\u00a0(52%)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Yes (48%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1700 Len Penzo dot Com readers answered last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that slightly more than half of you are not going to have a vegetable garden this year. Even so, that comports pretty closely with a survey by <em>GardenPals<\/em> that found <a href=\"https:\/\/gardenpals.com\/gardening-statistics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">52%<\/a> of Americans grow at least some food on their property each year.<\/p>\n<p>If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: Quicky Divorce<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two newlyweds quickly realized their marriage wasn\u2019t working and so they filed for a divorce.<\/p>\n<p>On the day of the hearing, the judge asked the husband what the problem was. The man replied, \u201cIn the five short weeks that we\u2019ve been together, we haven\u2019t been able to agree on a single thing. Not one!\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The judge nodded his head somberly. He then turned to the man\u2019s wife. \u201cOkay, ma\u2019am,\u201d the judge said. \u201cNow it\u2019s your turn. Do you have anything else you\u2019d like to add?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI certainly do, your honor,\u201d she answered. \u201cIt\u2019s been six weeks, not five.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Susan)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Buy me a coffee? Thank you so much!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For the best reading experience, I present all of my fresh Black Coffee posts without ads. If you enjoyed this week&#8217;s column, buy me a coffee! (Dunkin&#8217; Donuts; <em><strong>not<\/strong><\/em> Starbucks.) Thank you so much!<\/p>\n<form action=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/donate\" method=\"post\" target=\"_top\"><input name=\"hosted_button_id\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"BAMGWUPS3YK7G\" \/><br \/>\n<input title=\"PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!\" alt=\"Donate with PayPal button\" name=\"submit\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypalobjects.com\/en_US\/i\/btn\/btn_donateCC_LG.gif\" type=\"image\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.paypal.com\/en_US\/i\/scr\/pixel.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" border=\"0\" \/><\/form>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><strong>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>More Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. New Hampshire (2.41 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. North Dakota (2.17)<br \/>\n3. South Carolina (2.13)<br \/>\n4. Kentucky (2.12)<br \/>\n5. Indiana (2.07)<\/p>\n<p>46. Oregon (1.61)<br \/>\n47. Hawaii (1.57)<br \/>\n48. Missouri (1.52)<br \/>\n49. Arkansas (1.51)<br \/>\n50. Wyoming (1.50)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like my friends in New Hampshire) &#8212; or not (ahem, Wyoming &#8230;) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Subscribe to my weekly <strong>Len Penzo dot Com Newsletter!<\/strong> (It&#8217;s easy! See the big green box in the sidebar at the top of the page.)<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you follow me on my new favorite quick-chat site, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/gab.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gab<\/a><\/strong>! Of course, you can always <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>. Just be careful what you say there.<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by checking out my sponsors&#8217; ads!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#x1f60a;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reviewing my article highlighting <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id51711-what-you-need-to-know-before-hiring-a-concrete-contractor.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">tips to consider before hiring a concrete contractor<\/a>, <strong> Mrs. Wilson<\/strong> wrote:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>You rock, Len!<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Heh. I see what you did there, Mrs. Wilson &#8230; but thanks for the sediments.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>If you enjoyed this edition of Black Coffee and found it to be informative, please forward it to your friends and family. Thank you!<\/strong> &#x1f600;<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everybody had an enjoyable week. Without further ado, let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-82406","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: The Miracle Worker<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id82406-black-coffee-9-mar-2024.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: The Miracle Worker\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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Without further ado, let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230; [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id82406-black-coffee-9-mar-2024.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-03-09T09:15:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-03-12T20:37:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"404\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"387\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" 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