{"id":63740,"date":"2020-11-14T02:15:42","date_gmt":"2020-11-14T10:15:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=63740"},"modified":"2023-05-24T12:14:15","modified_gmt":"2023-05-24T19:14:15","slug":"black-coffee-14-nov-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id63740-black-coffee-14-nov-2020.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Birds on a Wire"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>I hope everybody had a good week. Although I will say it is more than a bit strange watching the Masters golf tournament in the middle of November. Oh, well. Let&#8217;s get to this week&#8217;s financial commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>You can&#8217;t borrow your way out of debt.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Daniel Hannan<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Debts are like children: begot with pleasure, but brought forth in pain.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Moliere<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Modern slaves aren&#8217;t in chains &#8212; they&#8217;re in debt.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Anonymous<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? This week Deutsche Bank proposed that people who work from home <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/deutsche-bank-proposes-5-work-home-tax\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">should be taxed 5%<\/a> in order to smooth the transition process for those who have been suddenly displaced &#8220;and fund subsidies for the lowest-paid workers who usually cannot work from home.&#8221; The bank calculates that such a tax could raise $49 billion per year in the US alone. No, really.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Fiscal deficit just made another fresh 70-year low.<\/p>\n<p>Someone&#8217;s gotta pay for this.<\/p>\n<p>Warm up the printing press. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DaGz74hg9K\">pic.twitter.com\/DaGz74hg9K<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TaviCosta\/status\/1326521119369670657?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 11, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> One thing is certain: The US definitely lacks the income required to accommodate its massive spending appetite. Just how out of whack are the US Treasury&#8217;s tax receipts when compared to the national expenditures? Well &#8230; as macroeconomist Bill Holter notes, &#8220;Let the following chart of the US debt situation sink in and you&#8217;ll understand <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsmineset.com\/2020\/11\/08\/jims-mailbox-2599\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">just how dire<\/a> the situation is.&#8221; Indeed:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-63752\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/US-expenditures-to-tax-receipts.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"532\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/US-expenditures-to-tax-receipts.jpg 644w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/US-expenditures-to-tax-receipts-300x190.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 532px) 100vw, 532px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, low interest rates are required to service America&#8217;s ever-increasing disparity between income and outgo. So it shouldn&#8217;t be surprising that investment guru, Scott Minerd, is predicting that the 10-year Treasury note yield, which is currently in the neighborhood of 0.8%, <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/negative-yields-may-be-coming-to-us-guggenheim-cio-scott-minerd-143230546.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">could flip<\/a> to <em><strong>negative<\/strong><\/em> 0.5% by 2022. Yes, negative. That means so-called &#8220;investors&#8221; would be paying the government to hold their cash. As if that makes any sense.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> If negative yields finally do get here &#8212; or even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/usa-bonds\/treasuries-u-s-bond-yields-fall-as-election-count-points-to-washington-gridlock-idUSL1N2HR0BK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">remain near the zero-bound<\/a> &#8212; what are the odds that fixed-income investors such as retirees, life-insurance companies, and pension funds will continue to find assets with yields that are high enough to keep them solvent? My guess is about the same odds as <em><strong>this<\/strong><\/em> happening &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gleTOh-_Kc0?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, a growing number of nations &#8212; led by the Eurasian geopolitical economic bloc of countries led by China and Russia &#8212; have been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/504681-economic-union-replace-currencies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">reducing their use of dollars<\/a> to settle trade. In fact, between January and March of this year, just 46% of the bilateral trade between Russia and China was settled in US dollars. That&#8217;s an all-time low. It&#8217;s also down from 75% just two years ago.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Financial analyst Dave Kranzler warns that <a href=\"https:\/\/investmentresearchdynamics.com\/end-of-days-for-the-u-s-dollar-reserve-currency-status\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the dollar&#8217;s diminishing role<\/a> in global trade is because it&#8217;s &#8220;backed by the &#8216;full faith and credit&#8217; of a government that&#8217;s technically insolvent, other than its ability to print currency to fund its enormous spending deficit &#8212; a deficit that will climb rapidly over the next 12 months.&#8221; Uh huh. And I&#8217;m sure I&#8217;m not the <em><strong>only<\/strong><\/em> one who can see what&#8217;s wrong with this picture. The truth is &#8230; there&#8217;s always someone:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zJs9p-VNORw?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Indeed, as MN Gordon observes, these &#8220;currency debasement policies that prop up big government and zombie corporations are bullish for stocks &#8212; for now. But in practice, the policies are turning the dollar &#8212; the dollars you own &#8212; into <a href=\"https:\/\/economicprism.com\/americas-recline-and-flail-goes-on\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bird cage liner<\/a>.&#8221; Which I guess ain&#8217;t all bad &#8230; if you own a bunch of parakeets. So it helps to <a href=\"https:\/\/tweakyourbiz.com\/business\/press-release\/trade-ideas-review-read-this-review-before-investing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">do your financial research<\/a> first.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, many people believe <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmoney.com\/research\/goldmoney-insights\/the-destruction-of-the-euro\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the euro is even worse off than the dollar<\/a>. As macroeconomist Alasdair Macleod noted last month, &#8220;The Eurozone&#8217;s banking system is a heartbeat from collapse.&#8221; Of course, if that happens, the euro will almost certainly be dragged down with it. On second thought, maybe these banks are invincible after all &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">The truth about <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/banks?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#banks<\/a> finally.. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lmxfpGmIj9\">pic.twitter.com\/lmxfpGmIj9<\/a><\/p>\n<p>intolerant cat (@intolerant_cat) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intolerant_cat\/status\/1326469037870735361?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 11, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Asset manager, Jon Case, had a waning of his own this week: &#8220;We know from 900 years of fiat currency history <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/jon-case-just-issued-this-dire-warning-about-the-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">what&#8217;s going to happen next<\/a> &#8212; the most iconic example being the money printing during Germany&#8217;s Weimar Republic. And there are lots of parallels today to what happened 100 years ago.&#8221; Psst. And for the shy kids in the back who actually <em><strong>aren&#8217;t<\/strong><\/em> sure how that turned out, it looked like this:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-63751\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/German-Marks-vs-Gold-Weimar-1919-23-860x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"533\" height=\"635\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/German-Marks-vs-Gold-Weimar-1919-23-860x1024.jpg 860w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/German-Marks-vs-Gold-Weimar-1919-23-252x300.jpg 252w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/German-Marks-vs-Gold-Weimar-1919-23-768x915.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/German-Marks-vs-Gold-Weimar-1919-23.jpg 1184w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 533px) 100vw, 533px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> As Macleod notes, <a href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/end-game-hyperinflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the end game<\/a> is not going to be pretty. He says, &#8220;There will be acute hardship as the rotten system collapses, but so be it.&#8221; Amen. Unfortunately, Macleod also notes that &#8220;the civil conflicts and evolution to a sound monetary system depend on how long events take to evict the looters in government.&#8221; That it does. Let&#8217;s all hope the required purge will be swift and decisive.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the ten cities in 2020 with the lowest cost of living expenses:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>10<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Omaha, NB<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>9<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Louisville, KY<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>8<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Mesa, AZ<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">7<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Corpus Christi, TX<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>6<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Albuquerque, NM<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>5<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Lexington, KY<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>4<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Tucson, AZ<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>3<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Lincoln, NB<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">2<\/span><\/strong><\/span> Wichita, KS<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>1<\/strong><\/span><\/span> El Paso, TX<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.move.org\/lowest-cost-of-living-2020\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Move.org<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[poll id=&#8221;346&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Which of these is responsible for most of your net worth?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Stocks (45%)<\/li>\n<li>Something else (25%)<\/li>\n<li>Home equity (22%)<\/li>\n<li>Other real estate (9%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1900 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that slightly more than 4 in 9 have used stocks to build the bulk of their wealth. Interestingly, 1 in 4 can thank something other than stocks or real estate for the bulk of their net worth; if I had to guess, I suspect a large majority of those people attribute the majority of their wealth to a business or businesses they own. What do you think?<\/p>\n<p>If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: GI Insurance<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Airman Jones was assigned to the induction center where he was to advise new recruits about their government benefits, especially their GI insurance.<\/p>\n<p>It wasn&#8217;t long before Captain Smith noticed that Airman Jones had almost a 100% record for insurance sales, which had never happened before. Rather than ask about this, the Captain stood in the back of the room and listened to Jones&#8217;s sales pitch.<\/p>\n<p>During the pitch, Jones explained the basics of the GI Insurance to the new recruits, and then said: &#8220;If you have GI Insurance and get killed in battle, then the government has to pay $200,000 to your beneficiaries. However, if you <strong><em>don&#8217;t<\/em><\/strong> have GI insurance, and you go into battle and get killed, then the government only has to pay a maximum of $6000.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;With that in mind,&#8221; he concluded,&#8221;which bunch do you think they&#8217;re going to send into battle first?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Cowpoke)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. South Dakota (2.04 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. Oklahoma (2.00)<br \/>\n3. Arkansas (1.81)<br \/>\n4. Kentucky (1.77)<br \/>\n5. New Mexico (1.69)<\/p>\n<p>46. Maryland (1.25)<br \/>\n47. Iowa (1.24)<br \/>\n48. Connecticut (1.21)<br \/>\n49. Montana (1.08)<br \/>\n50. Rhode Island (1.03)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like my friends living in South Dakota) &#8212; or not (ahem, Rhode Island) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">follow me on Twitter<\/a> &#8212; oh, <a href=\"https:\/\/parler.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">and Parler too<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by patronizing my sponsors!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#x1f60a;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">(The Best of)<\/span> Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading an article here explaining why people <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id31260-6-reasons-why-you-shouldnt-be-embarrassed-about-being-frugal-3.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">shouldn&#8217;t be embarrassed about being frugal<\/a>, <strong>Les Conyers<\/strong> added this:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>I&#8217;ve chosen to be frugal and I&#8217;m proud of it. The Joneses are broke, busted and disgusting!<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">And yet, Les, so many people insist on keeping up with them anyway.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: public domain<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everybody had a good week. Although I will say it is more than a bit strange [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-63740","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Birds on a Wire<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id63740-black-coffee-14-nov-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Birds on a Wire\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everybody had a good week. 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