{"id":62497,"date":"2020-08-15T02:15:51","date_gmt":"2020-08-15T09:15:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=62497"},"modified":"2023-03-25T14:30:45","modified_gmt":"2023-03-25T21:30:45","slug":"black-coffee-15-aug-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id62497-black-coffee-15-aug-2020.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Empty Coffers and Sticky Fingers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"240\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe<\/em> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the continuing economic slowdown, I hope all of you have a thoroughly enjoyable weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Okay, let&#8217;s get right to it &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>It&#8217;s easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Mark Twain<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Governments lie; bankers lie; even auditors sometimes lie. Gold tells the truth.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Lord Rees Mogg<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? America&#8217;s coin shortage is still raging from sea to shining sea. It certainly isn&#8217;t helping that pennies minted between 1909 and 1982 &#8212; which are 95% copper &#8212; currently have a melt value of 1.85 cents. In other words: Why spend those pennies at a business, or take them to a bank and get face value, when you can almost <a href=\"http:\/\/www.coinflation.com\/coins\/1909-1982-Lincoln-Cent-Penny-Value.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">double your money<\/a> by toting them to a metals recycler?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news, the <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/jobless-claims-coronavirus-unemployment-week-ended-august-8-2020-171744189.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">latest unemployment data<\/a> shows that the workforce is continuing to claw back the millions of jobs on Main Street that were lost due to the coronavirus shutdowns &#8212; but there&#8217;s still a long way to go. As for Wall Street, well &#8230; the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq are continuing to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whio.com\/news\/stocks-end-mixed\/MR3XPJL72UMEAIMBATSKLRYW2I\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">hover near all-time highs<\/a>. So there&#8217;s that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> But, as Charles Hugh Smith correctly observes, &#8220;Markets that never go down aren&#8217;t markets; they&#8217;re signaling mechanisms of the &#8216;Powers That Be.&#8217; The reliance on &#8216;good news&#8217; narratives dooms our financial system and economy to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oftwominds.com\/blogaug20\/market-doom8-20.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a death spiral<\/a> once reality breaks.&#8221; Yes &#8212; but it sure looks as if the current Wall Street party isn&#8217;t going to end until the Fed takes the punch bowl away.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">When bulls are blindly buying into the highest valuations in history..<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ku5zRcvtRB\">pic.twitter.com\/ku5zRcvtRB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/1293899557517099008?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 13, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Folks, the dollar is the world&#8217;s reserve currency for three reasons: 1) its perceived value stability; 2) the sheer size of the American economy; and 3) deep, liquid and open markets. In theory, that won&#8217;t change until a rival foreign currency can challenge it in all three areas. Then again, gold acts as a currency too, and its rapidly-rising price suggests that the dollar&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/business\/markets\/gold-just-hit-2-000-ounce-s-not-necessarily-good-n1235911\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">safe haven status is in jeopardy<\/a> anyway. If true, so are most Americans&#8217; standard of living.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> However, Harvard economist Jeffery Frankel, believes the dollar&#8217;s position is secure for now. But he also says &#8220;spiraling debts and an overly aggressive sanctions policy could <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/Politics\/International-relations\/China-and-Russia-ditch-dollar-in-move-toward-financial-alliance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">erode its supremacy<\/a> in the long run.&#8221; Hmm. If he considers a 100-yard dash to be a &#8220;long run,&#8221; then I heartily agree. On a related note &#8230; if you&#8217;re looking for the guy representing the US dollar, he&#8217;s the one in green:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/vWa9iYYPYF4?controls=0&amp;mute=1;start=0;end=17\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Unfortunately for the world&#8217;s central banks, the only way to alleviate the current debt crisis without imploding their fraudulent debt-based monetary system is to pile on ever <em><strong>more<\/strong><\/em> debt. But that game is almost over, which is why this week BoA credit strategist, Hans Mikkelsen, said, &#8220;There&#8217;s no escape without tremendous economic growth to offset it. There&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/technocodex.com\/central-bankers-are-caught-in-a-leverage-trap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">nothing central banks can do<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Taking all forms of business debt into consideration, US companies currently owe an astounding $17 trillion. With that in mind, if there&#8217;s a second shutdown later this year, it&#8217;s possible that hundreds of companies could default on the interest payments, thereby increasing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/coronavirus-corporate-debt-covid-19-bonds-federal-reserve-1521219\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the possibility of additional bailouts<\/a> that would be tacked on to the Fed&#8217;s already-bloated balance sheet. I know <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> know how this ends, but here&#8217;s a refresher for the late arrivals &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/vTeUvnGWZbA?controls=0&amp;start=26;end=51\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Keep in mind that central banks have already injected $24 trillion &#8212; or about a quarter of global GDP &#8212; into the market to keep it afloat. Now for the punchline: Bank of America says that figure is expected to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/central-bank-balance-sheets-hit-28-trillion-next-year\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">hit $28 trillion<\/a> within the next year. Heh. That sounds like an extremely conservative estimate to me. Regardless, the amount of currency debauchery is staggering &#8212; think of it as government&#8217;s version of the five-finger discount.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> According to economic researcher, Chris Martenson, the US Treasury is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/martenson-its-time-position-endgame\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">officially broke<\/a>. In fact, he says, &#8220;It has no gold. It has a net worth of approximately negative $200 trillion. So what&#8217;s left to loot? The purchasing power of every dollar in circulation.&#8221; I&#8217;m not convinced America&#8217;s gold is all gone, but I do agree the US will technically remain broke until the dollar-price of gold is <em><strong>at least<\/strong><\/em> an order of magnitude higher.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Interesting hearing people say Gold and Silver are overvalued or overbought yet are quiet on the Nasdaq and FAANG<\/p>\n<p>Stalingrad &amp; Poorski (@Stalingrad_Poor) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Stalingrad_Poor\/status\/1291756174736384001?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 7, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, gold is the barometer of any currency&#8217;s health; and with our debt-based monetary system on its death bed, significantly higher gold prices are inevitable from here. Macroeconomist Alasdair Macleod believes that, &#8220;We&#8217;re witnessing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmoney.com\/research\/goldmoney-insights\/gold-at-2k-so-why-the-fuss\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the cataclysmic end<\/a> of the Keynesian fallacy. As the collapse progresses, fiat currency loses purchasing power, while gold gains it <em><strong>disproportionately<\/strong><\/em>.&#8221; Think about that; to help you out, the emphasis is mine.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> There are still plenty of people on Wall Street and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.modestmoney.com\/mindful-trader-review\/\">brokerage companies<\/a> with a vested interest in the current monetary system &#8212; which is why they <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/a-golden-rule-from-a-golden-fool-11595599207\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">refuse to acknowledge<\/a> its impending demise. But, as Macleod notes, &#8220;If you bind the fate of financial assets to your fiat currency, as the Fed is now, when the bubble pops the currency goes pop as well. It&#8217;s an outcome so obvious that the smart money is now getting out of fiat and into physical gold and silver.&#8221; Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The economic impacts of the pandemic continue to be staggering, with some data pointing to another economic stall-out after the initial re-opening upsurge:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>30,000,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Total US unemployment attributed to pandemic-related business shut-downs.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>72.5<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index rating for July &#8212; that&#8217;s down from 78.1 in June.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-27%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> July&#8217;s month-over-month decline in the Baltic Dry Index, a measure of the movement of goods in the world.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-29%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Reduction in consumers&#8217; usage of credit for the 18-week period that ended last week.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>150<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Bankruptcies of publicly-traded US companies so far this year &#8212; this translates into an annual rate that is almost double that of 2019.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2020\/08\/04\/the-economy-navigating-scylla--charybdis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Forbes<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"334\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Are you a proponent of retiring a mortgage as early as possible?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Yes (85%)<\/li>\n<li>No (15%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1900 Len Penzo dot Com readers answered last week&#8217;s poll question and it turns out that roughly 7 in 8 of them are in favor of retiring a home loan before its scheduled payoff date. I used to be in that camp too; between 1997 and 2010 I made two or three extra payments every year. But that changed after I noticed that the Fed was aggressively debauching the dollar via its quantitative easing programs (i.e., QE1, QE2, Operation Twist, QE3 &#8212; and now QE Infinity). But since 2010, with the greenback&#8217;s purchasing power being cut by half approximately every seven years &#8212; a time period that is getting shorter as time marches on &#8212; I&#8217;ve preferred to pay down my fixed-rate mortgage as slowly as possible using dollars that are guaranteed to get significantly cheaper over time.<\/p>\n<p>If <em><strong>you<\/strong><\/em> have a question you&#8217;d like to see featured here, please send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: The Evolution of Education<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-62500\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Evolution-of-Education.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"532\" height=\"688\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Evolution-of-Education.jpg 552w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Evolution-of-Education-232x300.jpg 232w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 532px) 100vw, 532px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: J Siefert)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five Canadian provinces and territories in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. Manitoba (2.25 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. Ontario (1.97)<br \/>\n3. Northwest Territories (1.67)<br \/>\n4. Saskatchewan (1.62)<br \/>\n5. Alberta (1.61)<\/p>\n<p>9. British Columbia (1.42)<br \/>\n10. Yukon (1.33)<br \/>\n11. Quebec (1.29)<br \/>\n12. Newfoundland &amp; Labrador (1.13)<br \/>\n13. Nunavut (1.00)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like those crazy canucks in Manitoba, eh) &#8212; or not (ahem, all you hosers living on the frozen Nunavut tundra) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a> &#8212; oh yeah, <a href=\"https:\/\/parler.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">and Parler<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by patronizing my sponsors!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#x1f60a;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading my article highlighting 34 tricks for achieving early retirement, <strong>JD<\/strong> had this to say regarding my repeated references to the high cost of kids:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Kids aren&#8217;t cheap, Len. But neither is my darn dog.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">No kidding, JD &#8212; just be glad we don&#8217;t send pooches to college.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: stock photo<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Despite the continuing economic slowdown, I hope all of you have a thoroughly enjoyable weekend. Okay, let&#8217;s get [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-62497","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Empty Coffers and Sticky Fingers<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id62497-black-coffee-15-aug-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Empty Coffers and Sticky Fingers\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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