{"id":62369,"date":"2020-08-08T02:15:50","date_gmt":"2020-08-08T09:15:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=62369"},"modified":"2021-08-01T17:54:38","modified_gmt":"2021-08-02T00:54:38","slug":"black-coffee-8-aug-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id62369-black-coffee-8-aug-2020.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: The Road to Perdition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Summer is here, but for most people on Main Street, the financial crisis rages on. Meanwhile, for the suits on Wall Street, there&#8217;s still plenty of money being made &#8212; whether it&#8217;s legitimate or not.<\/p>\n<p>And with that, let&#8217;s get to this week&#8217;s financial commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>The man who promises everything is sure to fulfill nothing. And anyone who promises too much is in danger of using evil means to carry out his promises &#8212; and already on the road to perdition.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Carl Jung<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? The latest government data shows shows just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2020\/07\/31\/personal-income-and-spending-june-2020.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">how reliant many Americans have become<\/a> on the government. It shows that government-sourced income such as unemployment benefits and welfare checks is still responsible for the income of more than a quarter of all Americans. No, really.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, If you&#8217;re holding your pension with the Bank of Ireland, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irishexaminer.com\/business\/arid-40025060.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">you&#8217;re now officially being charged<\/a> to keep it there; the bank is now imposing negative interest rates on all pension cash. In fact, the bank is currently charging <em><strong>minus<\/strong><\/em> 0.65% on all pension pots. By the way, if you think this will never happen in the US, then you probably think this is real too:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/TQzLKb-LSgM?controls=0&amp;start=529;end=599\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of oppressive interest rates, the rates on &#8220;high-yield&#8221; savings accounts are <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/people-fear-ve-got-too-091502928.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">near all-time lows<\/a>. Popular brands such as Ally and Marcus offered rates in July of 1% and 1.05%, respectively. Oh &#8230; and in case you&#8217;re wondering, that&#8217;s fully <em><strong>one-half<\/strong><\/em> the rate that was being offered a little over a year ago, when the Fed cut rates for the first time since 2008.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> You can bet those small returns being offered for high-yield savings accounts is why Bloomberg is reporting that a growing number of people are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloombergquint.com\/business\/americans-look-for-alternatives-to-high-yield-savings-accounts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">raiding their savings accounts<\/a> to load up on assets that have been showing higher returns such as bitcoin, stocks and &#8212; wait for it &#8230; precious metals. If the world wasn&#8217;t already upside down, it certainly is now.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> You&#8217;d think returns on savings accounts would be higher considering that last Friday &#8212; with bond yields at record lows &#8212; Fitch Ratings <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fitchratings.com\/research\/sovereigns\/fitch-revises-united-states-outlook-to-negative-affirms-at-aaa-31-07-2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">revised its US credit outlook<\/a> from &#8220;stable to negative,&#8221; citing &#8220;ongoing deterioration in US public finances and the absence of a credible fiscal consolidation plan.&#8221; Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Needless to say, Fitch lowered America&#8217;s credit outlook because the US borrowed $2 trillion last quarter &#8212; and intends to borrow <em><strong>another<\/strong><\/em> $1 trillion this quarter, which will push the deficit to <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/news\/press-releases\/sm1077\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">more than $4 trillion<\/a> for the fiscal year ending on September 30. And if that&#8217;s not bad enough, those deficits have continued to grow at a noticeably increasing pace for more than two decades. See for yourself:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-62384\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Defiicts-US-2000-2020-1024x654.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"532\" height=\"340\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Defiicts-US-2000-2020-1024x654.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Defiicts-US-2000-2020-300x192.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Defiicts-US-2000-2020-768x490.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Defiicts-US-2000-2020.png 1428w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 532px) 100vw, 532px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Peter Schiff, who is among the most knowledgeable macroeconomists around, isn&#8217;t surprised by Fitch&#8217;s credit outlook. In fact, he believes the US financial situation is so dire that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=EsxxtZtffgA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">US Treasuries are essentially junk bonds<\/a> &#8212; but with lower yields. Never mind that the returns on today&#8217;s higher-yielding corporate junk bonds are already far too low relative to their risk.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, CNBC is reporting that the Fed is on the verge of formerly announcing that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/amp\/2020\/08\/04\/the-fed-is-expected-to-make-a-major-commitment-to-ramping-up-inflation-soon.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">they plan to ramp up inflation<\/a> soon. Heh. The reality is: After decades of gross mismanagement, the dying debt-based monetary system is calling the shots now. The Fed &#8212; along with their chicken entrails and tea leaves &#8212; have utterly failed. And, yes, they know that. But they certainly aren&#8217;t going to admit it.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">When this all blows up be sure to join me and blame these guys. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/z2y3g94Zbk\">pic.twitter.com\/z2y3g94Zbk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/1291455519593570304?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 6, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> This week, Schiff said the Fed&#8217;s coming commitment to higher inflation is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=M5nFJOm2NyQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a &#8220;direct threat&#8221; to the American public<\/a>. &#8220;What they&#8217;re saying is: &#8216;We&#8217;re going to wipe out the value of your savings, and we&#8217;re going to increase the cost of living.&#8221; He&#8217;s right, you know. As usual.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/D0OUdpIteJM?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> I know what you&#8217;re thinking:<em> If the Fed is unwilling or unable to discourage the government&#8217;s growing reliance on deficit spending, then where is this headed?<\/em> Well &#8230; the answer should be obvious. In fact, it&#8217;s <em><strong>so<\/strong><\/em> obvious, metals analyst Craig Hemke notes that even the Cartoon Network figured it out:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">It appears the The Cartoon Network understands things far better than the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WSJ?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@WSJ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@business<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FT?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@FT<\/a> and the rest of the &#8220;mainstream&#8221; financial media.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MqsVBktlAu\">pic.twitter.com\/MqsVBktlAu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>TF Metals Report (@TFMetals) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TFMetals\/status\/1289734979166048260?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 2, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Clearly, the current monetary experiment, which began after the dollar&#8217;s anchor to gold was broken in 1971, is starting to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.strategic-culture.org\/news\/2020\/08\/03\/the-dollar-standard-slipping-out-of-control\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">spin out of control<\/a>. Eventually, the amount of currency debasement required to keep the system on life support is going to end with a sharp reduction in the dollar&#8217;s purchasing power and &#8212; sadly &#8212; a significantly-lower living standard for most middle- and lower-class Americans.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> So, will the world <em><strong>really<\/strong><\/em> return to some form of gold standard? Well &#8230; asset manager Bill Blaine sums it up this way: &#8220;Who knows where it all eventually leads; but if you&#8217;re trying to <a href=\"https:\/\/tweakyourbiz.com\/business\/press-release\/atom-finance-review-check-out-this-review-before-trading\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">understand where today&#8217;s markets are headed<\/a>, then understand the reality: <a href=\"https:\/\/morningporridge.com\/the-morning-porridge\/f\/blain%E2%80%99s-morning-porridge-august-3-2020-time-for-flashy-thing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Massive consequences are coming<\/a>. Desperate distortion will remain as central banks keep playing whatever cards are left to stay in the game. But at some point &#8230; the dam will burst.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are some year-to-date performance numbers for select assets through the month of July:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-7.4%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Dow Industrials<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>1.2%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> S&amp;P 500<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>22.7%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Nasdaq<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\">24.3%<\/span><\/span><\/strong> Jr. Silver Miners<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>29.2%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> gold<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>35.7%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> silver<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>43.3%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Jr. Gold Miners<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>43.8%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Gold Miners<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>44.8%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Silver Miners<\/p>\n<p><em>Contributing Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/the-moneychanger.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Moneychanger<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>What is the current return on your overall investment portfolio this year?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Positive (49%)<\/li>\n<li>About even (37%)<\/li>\n<li>Negative (14%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 2000 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that slightly more than half of them say their portfolio performance this year is underwater or, at best, about even. As for yours truly, I&#8217;m happy to say I am solidly in the black this year, thanks largely to the performance of precious metals and precious metal mining stocks.<\/p>\n<p>If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[poll id=&#8221;333&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: Traffic Stop<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A senior citizen drove his brand new Corvette convertible out of the dealership. Taking off down the road, he pushed it to 80 mph, enjoying the wind blowing through what little gray hair he had left. <em>Amazing<\/em>, he thought as he flew down the highway, pushing the pedal even more.<\/p>\n<p>Looking in his rear view mirror, he saw a state trooper behind him, lights flashing and siren blaring. He floored it to 100 mph, then 110, then 120. Suddenly he thought: <em>What am I doing? I&#8217;m too old for this<\/em>. So he pulled over to await the trooper&#8217;s arrival.<\/p>\n<p>Pulling in behind him, the trooper walked up to the Corvette, looked at his watch, and said, &#8220;Sir, my shift ends in 30 minutes. Today is Friday. If you can give me a reason for speeding that I&#8217;ve never heard before, I&#8217;ll let you go.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The old gentleman paused. Then he said, &#8220;Years ago, my ex wife ran off with a state trooper. I thought you were bringing her back.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Have a good day, sir,&#8221; replied the trooper.<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Dr. J)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. Hawaii (2.10 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. Arkansas (1.95)<br \/>\n3. West Virginia (1.83)<br \/>\n4. California (1.81)<br \/>\n5. Iowa (1.68)<\/p>\n<p>46. Connecticut (1.23)<br \/>\n47. Rhode Island (1.21)<br \/>\n48. Vermont (1.15)<br \/>\n49. Alaska (1.07)<br \/>\n50. Illinois (1.05)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like my friends living in Hawaii, brah) &#8212; or not (ahem, Illinois) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">follow me on Twitter<\/a> &#8212; oh, <a href=\"https:\/\/parler.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">and Parler too<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by patronizing my sponsors!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#128522;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading my recently-updated Star Wars themed article on the <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id259-how-to-become-a-millionaire-in-28-days-2.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">power of compounding growth<\/a>, <strong>Ray<\/strong> added this caveat:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>The way interest is at banks today, you&#8217;ve got to have the lifespan of Methuselah to double your money.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Actually, when you consider that today&#8217;s <em><strong>real<\/strong><\/em> interest rates are negative, then even Methuselah can&#8217;t win.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: public domain<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Summer is here, but for most people on Main Street, the financial crisis rages on. Meanwhile, for the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-62369","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: The Road to Perdition<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id62369-black-coffee-8-aug-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: The Road to Perdition\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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