{"id":61526,"date":"2020-06-20T02:15:08","date_gmt":"2020-06-20T09:15:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=61526"},"modified":"2020-07-11T07:39:37","modified_gmt":"2020-07-11T14:39:37","slug":"black-coffee-20-june-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id61526-black-coffee-20-june-2020.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Okay, Boomer &#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"240\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe<\/em> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the continuing economic slowdown, I hope all you dad&#8217;s out there have a thoroughly enjoyable Father&#8217;s Day weekend. You can bet I&#8217;m planning on it!<\/p>\n<p>Okay, let&#8217;s get started &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Giving money and power to the government is like giving the car keys and whiskey to teenage boys.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; P.J. O&#8217;Rourke<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>There is no means of avoiding a final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Ludwig Von Mises<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? During the past 13 weeks, more than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/personal-finance\/almost-46-million-americans-have-now-filed-unemployment-claims-lockdowns-began\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">twice as many Americans<\/a> have filed for unemployment than the total number of jobs that were created in the 10 years since the the Great Financial Crisis ended. Specifically: 22 million jobs created since 2010, versus 45.7 million jobs lost since mid-March. By the way, that&#8217;s 388 lost jobs for every confirmed US coronavirus death. But I&#8217;m sure the economic shutdown was worth it.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> And while the economy is slowly getting back to normal, don&#8217;t expect pent up demand to save us from what&#8217;s coming. As Harley Dalton notes, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/power-market\/pent-demand-wont-save-us-economic-destruction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Individuals will clearly suffer<\/a> in their quality of life; and this is especially true for society&#8217;s poor (because) an economy which produces less than before will be forced to sacrifice the availability of all kinds of privileges we once enjoyed.&#8221; Uh huh. Oh, and speaking of suffering individuals &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/NLdZ9AhPCEQ?controls=0&amp;start=5;end=121\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> The financial market is already producing less returns too. As market analyst Bill Blaine points out, &#8220;We&#8217;ve reached <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/blain-we-have-reached-curious-limbo-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a curious limbo<\/a> in markets. For 10 years they&#8217;ve been hopelessly dislocated by central bank interventions and regulatory blunder; the unlimited liquidity means all the cash pumped into markets remains invested in financial assets, resulting in massive price inflation.&#8221; Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Now for punchline: Blaine notes that, &#8220;To get the same return from investments you made 10 years ago, <a href=\"https:\/\/morningporridge.com\/the-morning-porridge\/f\/blains-morning-porridge---june-12-2020-worst-day-till-next-one\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">you have to invest 10 times as much today<\/a>, which is why most of us will never ever be able to retire.&#8221; The good news is that won&#8217;t bother the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/06\/27\/how-many-americans-have-nothing-saved-for-retirement.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">15% of Americans who have never invested a penny<\/a> for their retirement.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, the current economic meltdown is precisely why the Fed has been forced to monetize the debt. In fact, US Treasury debt has increased by $2.86 trillion in 2020, which is less than the $3.0 trillion increase in the Fed&#8217;s balance sheet over the same period. For those counting at home, that means <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/fed-has-monetized-all-treasury-issuance-2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Fed has monetized 105% of all Treasury issuance<\/a> this year <em><strong>alone<\/strong><\/em>. Tick tock, Almighty Dollar. Tick tock.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> It&#8217;s no secret that beginning in 1981, the National Debt has, on average, <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/man-who-predicted-the-global-collapse-just-warned-what-is-coming-will-shock-the-world\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">doubled every eight years<\/a>. Most recently, from 2009 to 2016 the National Debt doubled from $10 to $20 trillion. And although it seemed improbable in 2017, recent events suggest that the National Debt will almost certainly reach $40 trillion by the conclusion of the next eight-year cycle in 2025. Then again, it may just surpass that figure &#8212; and by a long margin.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> The current economic turmoil is entirely because our debt-based monetary system has finally reached the end of the line. But, as macroeconomist Alasdair Macleod notes, that isn&#8217;t stopping those who depend on that corrupt system &#8212; mainly government and so-called academics &#8212; from justifying limitless fiat currency expansion via modern monetary theory (MMT) in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmoney.com\/research\/goldmoney-insights\/mmt-it-s-just-neo-keynesian-macroeconomics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a last ditch attempt to save it<\/a>. Sounds like Utopia to me &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/-3wX6J19nqQ?controls=0&amp;start=11\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, markets everywhere remain completely broken &#8212; highlighted by absurdities such as negative nominal interest rates in Europe, negative oil prices, ten-fold gains for stocks of bankrupt corporations, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2020\/06\/09\/investing\/nasdaq-record-10000\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record highs for the Nasdaq<\/a> during a depression. It&#8217;s absolutely crazy. Before you know it, an ephemeral bitcoin will cost five times more than an ounce of real physical gold. Oh, wait &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> As the great Bill Holter observed about the broken markets this week, &#8220;Equities have rallied sharply off the lows while the real economy has bottomed. Stocks were already at record valuations in February before the shutdown; now they&#8217;re priced far beyond perfection, while debt has dangerously ballooned far beyond anything I&#8217;ve ever seen &#8212; at the same time <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsmineset.com\/2020\/06\/16\/only-90-days-late\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the real economy is on life support<\/a>!&#8221; Okay, Boomer &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">I&#8217;m so old I remember when asset prices actually corrected during recessions.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/nevercorrect?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#nevercorrect<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/alwaysbubble?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#alwaysbubble<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RFcCDMhChc\">pic.twitter.com\/RFcCDMhChc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/1273574923408216066?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 18, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Market analyst Dave Kranzler felt like reminiscing too: &#8220;This stock bubble is little more than <a href=\"https:\/\/investmentresearchdynamics.com\/hertz-symbolizes-the-complete-corruption-of-the-stock-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a money transfer mechanism<\/a> from the public to Wall Street. I said 15 years ago the Fed would eventually print enough money to enable the elitists to sweep every last crumb of the public&#8217;s money into their own pockets before allowing the system to collapse. We may be on that final stretch.&#8221; We certainly are. And despite all of the warning signs, most people still don&#8217;t see it coming.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are six high-frequency indicators that can be used to track America&#8217;s progress toward economic recovery:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>441,275<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Total number of US air travelers on June 7th (vs. 2.7 million on the same day last year).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>75<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage decline in total restaurant diners through June 6th (vs. the same period last year).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>11<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Consecutive weeks that gross movie ticket sales have been $0.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>43<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Year-over-year percentage decline in hotel occupancy through the first week of June.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>20<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage decline in gasoline consumption through May 2020 (vs. same time last year).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>41<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Year-over-year percentage decline in US public transit riders through June 6th.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.calculatedriskblog.com\/2020\/06\/six-high-frequency-indicators-for_8.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Calculated Risk<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"326\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>What would you do if you owed significantly more on your mortgage than it was worth?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Keep making payments (52%)<\/li>\n<li>I&#8217;m not sure (37%)<\/li>\n<li>Give the keys to the bank (11%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 2000 Len Penzo dot Com readers answered last week&#8217;s poll question and it turns out that 1 in 9 of them say if they were seriously underwater on their home mortgage, they&#8217;d be sending an envelope full of jingle mail to their lender. Considering that the cash for the loan was created out of thin air, I would too.<\/p>\n<p>This week&#8217;s question was provided by reader <strong>Frank<\/strong>. And if <em><strong>you<\/strong><\/em> have a question you&#8217;d like to see featured here, please send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>This Week&#8217;s Sponsor: Get the Best Insurance Rates with Gabi!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-60782\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/gabi-300x168.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/gabi-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/gabi.png 638w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Gabi is a full-service, online advisor who compares all your insurance options to find you the right policy. Best of all, <strong>Gabi gets 7 out of 10 clients lower premiums<\/strong>! So what are you waiting for? <b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pubtrack.co\/92QLN22\/69KHPZ\/?creative_id=91\">Get an instant quote with Gabi<\/a> and save up to $720 annually!<\/b><\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: New Driver<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After Martin received his brand new driver&#8217;s license, the entire family trooped out to the driveway, and climbed into the car so he could take them on a ride for the first time.<\/p>\n<p>As they got to the car, Dad immediately headed for the back seat, directly behind the newly-minted driver. Spying his dad in the back of the car, the beaming boy said to his father, &#8220;I&#8217;ll bet you&#8217;re back there to get a change of scenery after all those months of sitting in the front passenger seat teaching me how to drive!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Nope,&#8221; replied Dad. &#8220;I&#8217;m gonna sit here and kick the back of your seat as you drive, just like you&#8217;ve been doing to me for all these years.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Jon)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five Canadian provinces and territories in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. Ontario (1.91 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. Alberta (1.87)<br \/>\n3. Saskatchewan (1.83)<br \/>\n4. Yukon (1.81)<br \/>\n5. Nunavut (1.75)<\/p>\n<p>9. British Columbia (1.41)<br \/>\n10. Nova Scotia (1.39)<br \/>\n11. Quebec (1.33)<br \/>\n12. Prince Edward Island (1.30)<br \/>\n13. New Brunswick (1.25)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like those crazy canucks in Ontario, eh) &#8212; or not (ahem, all you hosers living on the frozen New Brunswick tundra) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a> &#8212; oh yeah, <a href=\"https:\/\/parler.com\/LenPenzo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">and Parler<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by patronizing my sponsors!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#128522;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading my article explaining <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id1309-21-reasons-why-corner-lots-are-for-suckers-2.html\">why corner lots are for suckers<\/a>, <strong>Tim Sanders<\/strong> left this on my comment board:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><em>You&#8217;re a f***ing idiot. I can&#8217;t believe I just wasted three minutes of my life reading this.<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Actually, Tim, you wasted <strong><em>four<\/em><\/strong> minutes of your life &#8212; I deleted your comment.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: stock photo<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Despite the continuing economic slowdown, I hope all you dad&#8217;s out there have a thoroughly enjoyable Father&#8217;s Day [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-61526","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Okay, Boomer ...<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id61526-black-coffee-20-june-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Okay, Boomer ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Despite the continuing economic slowdown, I hope all you dad&#8217;s out there have a thoroughly enjoyable Father&#8217;s Day [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id61526-black-coffee-20-june-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-06-20T09:15:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-07-11T14:39:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"404\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"387\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" 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