{"id":61435,"date":"2020-06-13T02:15:21","date_gmt":"2020-06-13T09:15:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=61435"},"modified":"2020-06-17T06:50:51","modified_gmt":"2020-06-17T13:50:51","slug":"black-coffee-13-june-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id61435-black-coffee-13-june-2020.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Honest Money &#038; Dishonest Men"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>For most people on Main Street, the financial crisis rages on &#8212; just don&#8217;t tell that to the suits on Wall Street, where everything continues to be lollipops and rainbows. So let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Albert A. Bartlett<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Because gold is honest money, it is disliked by dishonest men.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Anonymous<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? The theme for the 2021 Davos conference is &#8220;The Great Reset.&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thisismoney.co.uk\/money\/markets\/article-8385161\/Prince-Charles-unveils-theme-Davos-2021-event-Great-Reset.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">No, really<\/a>. At least I can say I&#8217;ve been proudly wearing my tin foil hat for the past decade. Now almost <em><strong>everybody<\/strong><\/em> seems to be wearing one &#8212; including the smart money guys.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> You shouldn&#8217;t be surprised. As asset manager Keith Dicker notes, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/icecap-asset-management-effectiveness-keynesian-economic-theory-has-reached-its-end\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the effectiveness of Keynesian economic theory<\/a> is over now that the world&#8217;s central banks have collectively cut interest rates to zero. But because the world&#8217;s policy makers continue to embrace Keynesian economic theory, Dicker says, &#8220;we should expect to see even more deficit spending and bailouts, even lower negative rates, and even more money printing to support credit markets.&#8221; Ya think?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> People who say the Fed has everything under control need to explain how that can be when it took the Fed seven years to add $3.7 trillion to its balance sheet during and after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 but only 10 months to add nearly another $3.7 trillion since the repo market broke last September. Does anybody else see a problem here? Anyone? Anyone?<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/uhiCFdWeQfA?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Considering the Fed has shown that they will never be able to shrink its balance sheet again, it&#8217;s now painfully obvious to anyone who is paying attention that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/economics\/peter-schiff-exposes-feds-mission-impossible\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the law of exponents is beginning to catch up<\/a> with all central banks. If you don&#8217;t believe <em><strong>me<\/strong><\/em>, the following graph should convince anybody &#8212; even those who <em><strong>aren&#8217;t<\/strong><\/em> very good with numbers:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-61454\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Fed-Balance-Sheet-1024x753.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"530\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Fed-Balance-Sheet-1024x753.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Fed-Balance-Sheet-300x220.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Fed-Balance-Sheet-768x564.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Fed-Balance-Sheet.jpg 1298w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 530px) 100vw, 530px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> It&#8217;s not just the Fed that&#8217;s plagued with that dreaded math problem. The US government has math troubles too, with debt-to-GDP at 130% &#8212; and that&#8217;s <em><strong>before<\/strong><\/em> the 55% decline in GDP expected this quarter. In fact, as Peter Schiff notes, US expenditures-to-revenue is so out of whack now that the Treasury just added <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=qnPCLTDD5R0&amp;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$2 trillion to the National Debt<\/a> in a period of 2 months and 2 days. Unfortunately, America&#8217;s debt engine is just getting warmed up.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, the National Bureau of Economic Research finally declared on Monday that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/money\/2020\/06\/08\/recession-begins-us-ending-longest-expansion-history\/5320335002\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the US is officially in a recession<\/a>. Heh. Better late than never I guess.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, the soaring stock market belies <a href=\"http:\/\/themostimportantnews.com\/archives\/as-the-stock-market-soars-the-numbers-say-that-the-real-economy-is-in-the-midst-of-a-historic-crash\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the dismal economic data<\/a> showing that year-over-year, US factory orders are down 22%, heavy truck sales are down 37%, and corporate bankruptcies are up 48%. Yes, investors are clearly displaying a total lack of situational awareness, but one could argue that they&#8217;ve still got nothing on <strong><em>this<\/em><\/strong> guy:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qkVDZwlNIL4?controls=0&amp;start=1466;end=1487\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Despite all of the terrible economic news, the <a href=\"https:\/\/markets.businessinsider.com\/news\/stocks\/nasdaq-hits-10000-first-time-ever-tech-shares-rally-stocks-2020-6-1029294365\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nasdaq hit an all-time<\/a> high this week. I know. By the way, the Dow and S&amp;P have recovered a big chunk of what they lost after their earlier plunge too. But as financial analyst Fred Hickey warns, &#8220;the Fed&#8217;s (printing press) is causing these unimaginable market distortions.&#8221; As a result, he says that &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/this-is-stunning-we-will-all-suffer-from-this-2nd-lowest-in-a-decade-plus-gold-silver-and-mining-stocks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">markets are no longer recognizable<\/a>.&#8221; Well &#8230; that&#8217;s one way to put it.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> The stock market is so manic that, at one point, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/hertzs-stock-rockets-to-erase-all-post-bankruptcy-losses-2020-06-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hertz&#8217; stock was up almost 10-fold<\/a> after hitting a record low of 56 cents on May 26. Yes, that&#8217;s the same Hertz that declared bankruptcy on May 23rd. I guess these investors fail to understand that the owners of common stock shares are last in line for a share of the firm&#8217;s liquidated assets. Then again, the Fed has screwed up markets so badly, maybe that no longer matters.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> For his part, asset manager Sven Henrich says, &#8220;The Fed is setting markets up for <a href=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2020\/06\/08\/crash-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">another crash<\/a>. Why? Because they&#8217;ve set in motion a stock market mania we have not seen since the 2000 tech bubble &#8212; but this time while we&#8217;re still in a recession.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"und\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lhlq7E4T6j\">https:\/\/t.co\/lhlq7E4T6j<\/a><\/p>\n<p>BR478 (@Reutabega) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reutabega\/status\/1268918384181338112?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 5, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> You can bet the absurdity in the financial markets and endless central bank currency printing is why the former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia &#8212; and Yale faculty member &#8212; Stephen Roach, believes that a crash in the dollar is coming and, as a result, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/amp\/opinion\/articles\/2020-06-08\/a-crash-in-the-dollar-is-coming\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">living standards are about to be squeezed<\/a> as never before.&#8221; Too bad most Americans remain completely unaware of what&#8217;s coming.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> I&#8217;ll let market analyst J. Johnson sum things up for this week: &#8220;Nothing can be done for a monetary system created to fail. Those who have prepared by buying physical precious metals are still <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsmineset.com\/2020\/06\/03\/the-plague-of-shorts-in-gold-are-jumping-ship\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">way ahead of the game<\/a>. What other asset can be held in hand and outside the currency makers&#8217; game, that doesn&#8217;t have any counterparty risk?&#8221; Indeed, Mr. Johnson. Indeed. And if you don&#8217;t believe us, just ask a central banker &#8230; or not:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2Dj9v9s9buk?rel=0&amp;controls=0&amp;showinfo=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[poll id=&#8221;325&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you ever filed for a personal or business bankruptcy?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>No (92%)<\/li>\n<li>Yes (8%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1900 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that, roughly 1 in 12 of them have filed for bankruptcy at least once in their lives. I have never filed for bankruptcy &#8212; but I <em><strong>am<\/strong><\/em> married to a former bankruptcy paralegal!<\/p>\n<p>If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bankruptcy is typically a financial remedy of last-resort &#8212; and it affects all walks of life and all income levels. Here are some statistics for the year 2016 that shed a little more light on the topic:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>24,114<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Total number of business filings.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>770,946<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Total number of non-business filings.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>46<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of bankruptcies related to medical debt.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>$30,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Annual income of the average filer.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>45<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The median age of all people who file for bankruptcy.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>19<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of filers under age 34.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>8<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of filers over age 65.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>14<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of filers who earn more than $50,000 per year.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>5<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of filers with a graduate degree.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thebalance.com\/who-files-bankruptcy-316194\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Balance<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: The Daily Special<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A Texan, a Russian, and a New Yorker go into a restaurant in London. The waiter walks up to their table and says, &#8221;Excuse me, gentleman. The chef says if you wanted the steak it&#8217;s not available because there&#8217;s a shortage due to Mad Cow Disease.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Texan says, &#8221;What&#8217;s a shortage?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Russian says, &#8221;What&#8217;s a steak?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The New Yorker says, &#8221;What&#8217;s excuse me?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Cowpoke)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>This Week&#8217;s Sponsor: Get the Best Insurance Rates with Gabi!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-60782\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/gabi-300x168.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/gabi-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/gabi.png 638w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Gabi is a full-service, online advisor who compares all your insurance options to find you the right policy. Best of all, <strong>Gabi gets 7 out of 10 clients lower premiums<\/strong>! So what are you waiting for? <b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pubtrack.co\/92QLN22\/69KHPZ\/?creative_id=91\">Get an instant quote with Gabi<\/a> and save up to $720 annually!<\/b><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. Louisiana (1.78 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. Indiana (1.77)<br \/>\n3. Arkansas (1.71)<br \/>\n4. Delaware (1.65)<br \/>\n5. Idaho (1.64)<\/p>\n<p>46. New Hampshire (1.21)<br \/>\n47. Vermont (1.20)<br \/>\n48. Montana (1.14)<br \/>\n49. Illinois (1.08)<br \/>\n50. Hawaii (1.03)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like my friends living in Louisiana) &#8212; or not (ahem, Hawaii) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by patronizing my sponsors!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#128522;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Tara<\/strong> had something she wanted to get off her chest this week, so she dropped this note into the Len Penzo dot Com Complaint Box:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Yeah, you&#8217;re full of hot air. Another blogger who thinks he&#8217;s a big shot and is going to tell the world how it is.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Let me assure you, Tara; the only big shot around here is the Honeybee, and she reminds me of how full of it I am every day.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: public domain<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. For most people on Main Street, the financial crisis rages on &#8212; just don&#8217;t tell that to the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-61435","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Honest Money &amp; Dishonest Men<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id61435-black-coffee-13-june-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Honest Money &amp; Dishonest Men\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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