{"id":60450,"date":"2020-04-11T02:15:07","date_gmt":"2020-04-11T09:15:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=60450"},"modified":"2020-04-13T19:31:42","modified_gmt":"2020-04-14T02:31:42","slug":"black-coffee-11-apr-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id60450-black-coffee-11-apr-2020.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Running on Empty"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-51224\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg 404w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags-300x287.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>And the financial crisis rages on, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is to economics what astrology is to astronomy, alchemy is to chemistry, and quackery is to medicine.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Markus Krall<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>We abandoned free market principles to save the free market system.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; George W. Bush (16 Dec. 2008)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot issued an executive order this week allowing illegal immigrants in the city, regardless of birth country or current citizenship status, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/chicago-mayor-signs-executive-order-allowing-illegal-immigrants-access-to-virus-relief-funds_3303228.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">access to municipal relief funds<\/a> amid the coronavirus pandemic. Unbelievable.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, thanks to all of the sage politicians and government healthcare bureaucrats whose edicts have crippled the economy in response to the coronavirus, 17 million Americans have lost their jobs &#8212; in the past three weeks alone. I know; but it was <strong><em>sooooo<\/em><\/strong> worth it. As of Thursday, only <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/personal-finance\/shocking-17-million-americans-have-filed-unemployment-past-3-weeks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">1132 jobs have been lost<\/a> for every COVID-19 death. (Psst. I hope the dripping sarcasm was obvious.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> What&#8217;s truly frightening is the true economic damage we&#8217;ll <strong><em>all<\/em><\/strong> be facing &#8212; regardless of whether or not we lose our jobs &#8212; is just getting started. For example, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/nearly-a-third-of-u-s-renters-didnt-pay-april-rent-11586340000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">just 69% of US tenants paid any rent<\/a> during the first week in April; compare that to last year when 81% covered their rent for the same week in March and 82% in April 2019. You&#8217;re fooling yourself if you think the effects of those missed payments won&#8217;t eventually affect the broader economy; that pain hasn&#8217;t even <em><strong>started<\/strong><\/em> yet.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> And it&#8217;s not just renters &#8212; as of April 1st, the total number of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/2020-press-releases\/april\/mba-survey-shows-spike-in-loans-in-forbearance-servicer-call-volume\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">US mortgages in forbearance grew to 2.66%<\/a>. To put that in perspective, last month the rate was just 0.25% &#8212; that&#8217;s a 1064% increase. No, no &#8230; I didn&#8217;t forget a decimal point. By the way, this is only going to get worse too &#8212; which is why bankers and mortgage lenders all across the country are shaking in their fancy Italian shoes. As they should. And so should you &#8212; even if you don&#8217;t own a pair.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Have you noticed?<br \/>\nThe skies no longer have jet trails. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xTN1gRiPBm\">pic.twitter.com\/xTN1gRiPBm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/1248621935111495680?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 10, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> In light of all this, it shouldn&#8217;t surprise anyone that this week the Fed announced <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/opinion\/articles\/2020-03-27\/federal-reserve-s-financial-cure-risks-being-worse-than-disease\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a hard-to-understand plan<\/a> to buy $625 billion worth of bonds per week into the foreseeable future (read: permanently). Hey! Here&#8217;s a fun fact: At that rate, the Fed will own two-thirds of the Treasury market in a year. Yeah, just 67% of the deepest and most liquid bond market in the world. So &#8230; who else still believes the United States is a bastion of free and fair markets?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, our dollar-based fiat monetary system requires ever-expanding debt to avoid imploding. Unfortunately, corporate- , student- , mortgage- and household-debt are all at their effective limits &#8212; especially since <a href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/fed-running-out-bubbles-create\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Fed has reached its limit<\/a> in affecting the economy via interest rate manipulation. This means all that&#8217;s left is expansion of government debt &#8212; a limit the Fed will never have to worry about because it can do <em><strong>this<\/strong><\/em>:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/O1hCLBTD5RM?controls=0&amp;start=1;end=20\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> With that in mind, its not surprising that foreign holders of US Treasuries dumped <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2020-04-01\/over-100-billion-of-treasuries-dumped-by-foreign-central-banks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">more than $100 billion<\/a> of the American bonds in the three weeks leading up to March 25th &#8212; that is on course for the biggest monthly exodus on record. Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> As Alexander Deluce notes, &#8220;The continuous fire sale of US Treasuries is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.goldtelegraph.com\/the-federal-reserves-one-last-hail-mary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Fed&#8217;s worst nightmare<\/a> because, if it gets out of control, interest rates would skyrocket and the dollar would completely collapse on foreign exchange markets.&#8221; Well &#8230; the Fed may want to start getting used to scary stories, because a fire sale is not a matter of &#8220;if&#8221; &#8230; rather, it&#8217;s &#8220;when.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> On Thursday, the Fed announced &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/economics\/watch-live-powell-speaks-after-unveiling-new-fed-bailout-program\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">there is no limit to what they can do<\/a>&#8221; &#8212; so they&#8217;re buying any and all junk bonds, dubious corporate and municipal debt, and any other financial garbage that nobody wants. In fact, they&#8217;re buying everything now except stocks &#8212; but even <em><strong>that<\/strong><\/em> day is coming soon. That&#8217;s not capitalism; it&#8217;s socialism for Wall Street. Unfortunately, the mainstream financial media defends it anyway. Here&#8217;s Exhibit A:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">The U.S. shouldnt bail out billionaires and hedge funds during the coronavirus pandemic, Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya says. Who cares? Let them get wiped out. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/dIbizumtqG\">https:\/\/t.co\/dIbizumtqG<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/u8BSVvr0B1\">pic.twitter.com\/u8BSVvr0B1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/1248323677898366978?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 9, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> The Fed&#8217;s latest moves make it easy to see why asset manager Robert L. Rodriguez is warning that, &#8220;The perversion and conversion to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.advisorperspectives.com\/articles\/2020\/03\/24\/preliminary-thoughts-the-new-world-order\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a dystopian economic system<\/a> is complete. With the Fed&#8217;s unlimited QE, multi-trillion stimulus package, and willingness to buy or support almost anything, this is the end of the capital markets as we&#8217;ve known them. We&#8217;ve entered <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/modern-monetary-theory-mmt-4588060\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MMT<\/a>, where there&#8217;s no escape.&#8221; Uh oh.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> For his part, macroeconomist Alasdair Macleod soberly notes that the masses are &#8220;about to learn what <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmoney.com\/research\/goldmoney-insights\/a-primer-for-gold-newbies\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">less sophisticated people never unlearned<\/a>: There&#8217;s a difference between a world that&#8217;s accustomed to ever-increasing public debt to provide for their welfare, and one where the state provides little or no welfare and people must save to provide for their own and their families future.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> The bottom line is that the Fed&#8217;s printing press is stuck in overdrive for a very simple reason: The global debt-based fiat-dollar monetary system has reached <a href=\"https:\/\/mises.org\/wire\/dollar-dilemma-where-here\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the end of its useful life<\/a>, as evidenced by the outright manipulation and corruption now required to keep the system going. So although the &#8220;Almighty Dollar&#8221; is running on empty, that won&#8217;t stop the Fed from running on, well &#8230; MMT for as long as they can:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/TuEdU_lrtZk?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> The sooner we pull the plug on the current system and replace it with <a href=\"https:\/\/economicprism.com\/the-upside-of-the-great-depression-of-the-2020s\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">an honest monetary system<\/a> based on gold, the sooner we can return to a time when the US was flush with high-paying manufacturing jobs, and Americans could support a family on a single income &#8212; even without a college degree. Yes, the transition will be painful &#8212; but if we don&#8217;t, the economic decline will continue until we have no choice anyway. So why prolong the agony?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>What will you do with your stimulus check?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Save it. (56%)<\/li>\n<li>Pay down debt. (21%)<\/li>\n<li>Spend it. (13%)<\/li>\n<li>I&#8217;m not getting a check. (10%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1800 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that, among those who <em><strong>are<\/strong><\/em> getting a check, almost 9 in 10 say they&#8217;re either going to save it, or use it to pay down debt. Ironically, that&#8217;s bad news for the Fed &#8212; who is hoping those checks will be spent to stimulate economic activity and\/or keep asset prices artificially elevated. In fact, if the Fed had its way, they would prefer <strong><em>nobody<\/em><\/strong> use their checks to pay down debt, as doing so actually <strong><em>destroys<\/em><\/strong> dollars &#8212; something the Fed is desperately trying to stave off at the moment. Of course, that&#8217;s because monetary deflation is like kryptonite to our fraudulent debt-based monetary system.<\/p>\n<p>By the way, this week&#8217;s question was suggested by reader <strong>Frank<\/strong>. If you have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[poll id=&#8221;316&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Thanks to the coronavirus panic, toilet paper producers are on a, er &#8230; roll. In fact, US toilet paper sales jumped 60% last month, compared to March 2019. Here&#8217;s how America&#8217;s rise in March TP sales compares to the year-over-year increases of other select countries:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>0%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> China<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>14%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Japan<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>35%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Germany<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>51%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> India<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>80%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> UK<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>82%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Spain<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>98%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Australia<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>140%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Italy<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/chart\/21327\/rise-in-revenue-toilet-paper-selected-countries\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Statista<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: The Easter Dress<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For the Sunday morning children&#8217;s sermon &#8203;all of the kids were invited to come forward.<\/p>\n<p>One little girl was wearing a particularly pretty dress and, as she sat down, the pastor leaned over and said, &#8220;That&#8217;s a very pretty dress. Is it your Easter dress?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The little girl replied, directly into the pastor&#8217;s clip-on microphone, &#8220;Yes, and my mom says it&#8217;s a bitch to iron.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: RD Blakeslee)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>This Week&#8217;s Sponsor: File Taxes Online with H&amp;R Block!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The tax deadline has been pushed back a few months &#8212; but if you&#8217;re expecting a refund, <em><strong>why wait?<\/strong><\/em> Remember, you can file taxes from anywhere with Block by your side. H&amp;R Block is a leading global consumer tax services provider with over 60 years of tax experience. And you can get <strong>25% off<\/strong> when filing online by simply clicking on the banner below.<\/p>\n<p>H&amp;R Block makes filing your taxes easy!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.pubtrack.co\/92QLN22\/66RQ8Q\/?creative_id=425\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-59125\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/HR-Block-2020-Save-25-Pct.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"292\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. Minnesota (1.85 pages\/visit)<br \/>\n2. New Mexico (1.81)<br \/>\n3. Arkansas (1.75)<br \/>\n4. Oklahoma (1.68)<br \/>\n5. Maine (1.66)<\/p>\n<p>46. Rhode Island (1.20)<br \/>\n47. Iowa (1.19)<br \/>\n48. Montana (1.16)<br \/>\n49. Alaska (1.13)<br \/>\n50. Illinois (1.07)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like my friends living in Minnesota, eh) &#8212; or not (ahem, Illinois) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. <em><strong>Please support this website by patronizing my sponsors!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Thank you!!!! &#128522;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading this week&#8217;s article explaining <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id60436-can-i-get-an-atv-loan-with-bad-credit.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">how people with bad credit can get an ATV loan<\/a>, <strong>Frank<\/strong>, had this question:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you have shit credit, then do you really need to be spending your money on a toy?&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Note to self: If I ever have bad credit, but still want a loan to buy an ATV, stay away from the Bank of Frank. <br style=\"color: #0000ff;\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: public domain<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. And the financial crisis rages on, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230; Modern Monetary Theory [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51224,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-60450","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Running on Empty<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id60450-black-coffee-11-apr-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Running on Empty\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. And the financial crisis rages on, so let&#8217;s get right to this week&#8217;s commentary &#8230; Modern Monetary Theory [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id60450-black-coffee-11-apr-2020.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-04-11T09:15:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-04-14T02:31:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/hurricane-flags.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"404\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"387\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" 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