{"id":56472,"date":"2019-08-24T02:15:40","date_gmt":"2019-08-24T09:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=56472"},"modified":"2024-05-25T10:33:12","modified_gmt":"2024-05-25T17:33:12","slug":"black-coffee-24-aug-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id56472-black-coffee-24-aug-2019.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: It&#8217;s Almost Time to Fish or Cut Bait"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-31075\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"black coffee\" width=\"275\" height=\"206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee-50x38.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 275px) 100vw, 275px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend. I know I am &#8230; so let&#8217;s get this show on the road.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Gold is the currency of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, and barter is the money of peasants &#8212; but debt is the money of slaves. <\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Norm Franz<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>There&#8217;s a fine line between fishing and just standing on the shore looking like an idiot.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Steven Wright<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? Despite a decade-long bull market in stocks, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloombergquint.com\/bq-blue-exclusive\/nervous-retirees-with-money-to-spare-are-sitting-on-their-wealth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">nervous retirees are too scared to spend<\/a> their accumulated wealth. And the sentiment is so pervasive that Bloomberg reports, &#8220;financial advisers say even <strong><em>very<\/em><\/strong> rich clients often have a crippling reluctance to fully enjoy their money.&#8221; Strange, isn&#8217;t it?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Frankly, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sovereignman.com\/trends\/the-latest-sign-that-absolutely-nothing-makes-sense-25472\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">nothing makes sense<\/a> anymore. For instance, consider the financial markets. As Simon Black notes, &#8220;We&#8217;re living in a world now where profits don&#8217;t matter. There&#8217;s more than $17 trillion worth of bonds with negative yields; banks are even loaning money to borrowers at negative rates. And some of the most popular investments in the world lose billions of dollars each year with no end in sight.&#8221; Tesla, anyone?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of not making sense, this week President Trump asked the Fed for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/business\/economy\/trump-attacks-fed-chair-powell-s-horrendous-lack-vision-calls-n1043931\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">more quantitative easing<\/a> (QE) and an immediate 1% interest rate cut &#8212; despite his repeated claims that the current state of the US economy is the best ever. No, really:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">&#8230;..The Fed Rate, over a fairly short period of time, should be reduced by at least 100 basis points, with perhaps some quantitative easing as well. If that happened, our Economy would be even better, and the World Economy would be greatly and quickly enhanced-good for everyone!<\/p>\n<p>Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1163472273388576768?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 19, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> You&#8217;d think the President would know that economic stimulants doled out by central bankers &#8212; such as QE and extended periods of excessively-low interest rates &#8212; are pure financial heroin with rapidly-diminishing marginal utility. Looking back, he clearly did:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">The Fed&#8217;s reckless policies of low interest and flooding the market with dollars needs to be stopped or we will face record inflation.<\/p>\n<p>Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/119492658963025920?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 29, 2011<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Money printing and low interest rates only serve to extract growth from the future via massive debt infusions. As MN Gordon points out, this financial fraud has been going on for decades, and &#8220;hence, future productivity will be spent paying for this <a href=\"https:\/\/economicprism.com\/writing-on-the-wall\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pathological madness<\/a>, condemning future growth to mere stagnation.&#8221; In other words, a reckoning is coming &#8212; but it&#8217;s getting harder to defer with each passing day.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/UcbXCMvpmWo?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, Tom Luongo is warning that central bankers have finally <a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2019\/08\/15\/the-battle-of-the-flations-has-begun\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">run out of room<\/a> to battle deflation: &#8220;QE, ZIRP, NIRP; it&#8217;s all essentially the same thing. How can we stuff fake money onto more fake balance sheets to maintain the illusion of price stability?&#8221; That&#8217;s easy: By increasing the drip rate on the economy&#8217;s heroin IV. Duh.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, if Luongo is correct, then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-08-17\/12-reasons-why-negative-rates-will-devastate-world\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">outright deflation<\/a> is dead ahead. Unfortunately, at a time when western economies have piled debt sky high, deflation is the <em><strong>last<\/strong><\/em> thing they need because our debt-based monetary system isn&#8217;t designed to handle it; it&#8217;s like trying to run a car on water. Which is why the central bankers&#8217; final desperate act will be to inflate away the debt &#8212; along with your life&#8217;s savings.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> According to Sven Henrich, 2019 will be known as &#8220;the year when <a href=\"https:\/\/northmantrader.com\/2019\/08\/17\/confidence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">central banks began to choke<\/a> at the absurd market structure they&#8217;ve imposed on the world: Ten years of intervention with little growth to show for it except rampant debt expansion, ever-expanding wealth inequality &#8212; and absolutely no admission of failure.&#8221; Don&#8217;t hold your breath, Sven &#8230; at least not while the Fed is still clearly fishing for answers. See for yourself:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cHwFT6c0rQc?controls=0&amp;start=303;end=331\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> For his part, Dave Kranzler believes that: &#8220;At some point, as the monetary policies of the <a href=\"http:\/\/investmentresearchdynamics.com\/negative-rates-greshams-law-and-a-parabolic-move-in-gold\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">central banks become more totalitarian<\/a>, rational investors will turn to gold and silver rather than chase bond prices into even more negative territory.&#8221; He&#8217;s right. The question is: Will precious metals still be available to buy when the somnambulant masses finally wake up?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Unfortunately, the powers-that-be continue to act as if the stock market <em><strong>is<\/strong><\/em> the economy. But if that&#8217;s true, then what does that say about <em><strong>real<\/strong><\/em> economic activity &#8212; everyday commerce, manufacturing and technological innovation that made the US a world superpower? If that&#8217;s no longer important, then it&#8217;s time to start handing out monthly $1000 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/06\/27\/free-cash-handouts-what-is-universal-basic-income-or-ubi.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">universal basic income checks<\/a> to everyone. At least until the dollar dies.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>According to LendingTree, personal loans are the fastest growing form of consumer lending. Here are a few more numbers around personal loans, based on the latest data:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>18<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage growth in personal loans last year.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>60<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of borrowers who take out personal loans to consolidate debt or refinance credit cards.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>353<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Average dollar amount of monthly payments.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>9722<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Average dollar amount of loans taken out by Gen X, which is the generation that takes out the biggest loans.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>11,700<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Average dollar amount of personal loans taken out in the first quarter of 2019.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>34,300,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> People who have a personal loan in the United States.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbva.com\/en\/personal-loans-by-the-numbers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">BBVA<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Do you think Social Security will still be able to pay promised benefits in 2035?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>No (41%)<\/li>\n<li>Yes (38%)<\/li>\n<li>I&#8217;m not sure (22%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1700 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that slightly less than 2 in 5 believe Social Security will still be paying out benefits 15 short years from now. As for me, I have no doubt the checks will still be coming in 2035; the big unknown is whether they&#8217;ll still have enough purchasing power to buy a cup of coffee.<\/p>\n<p>If <strong><em>you<\/em><\/strong> have a question you&#8217;d like me to ask the readers here, send it to me at <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong> &#8212; and be sure to put &#8220;Question of the Week&#8221; in the subject line.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"282\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: The Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A father was worried about his 22 year-old son because he was still unable to decide about his future career. So he decided to do a small test. He took a ten-dollar bill, a bible, and a bottle of whiskey, and put them on the front hall table. The father took his wife aside and explained the plan: &#8220;If our son takes the money, he will be a businessman; if he takes the bible, he will be a priest; but if he takes the bottle of whiskey, I&#8217;m afraid our son will be a drunkard.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>And with that, the parents waited nervously, hiding in the nearby closet.<\/p>\n<p>Peeping through the keyhole, the parents finally saw their son arrive. The son immediately went to the table and picked up the 10-dollar bill; he looked at it against the light, and then slid it into his pocket. After that, he took the bible, and flicked through it. Then, he grabbed the bottle, opened it and took a whiff, to get assured of the quality.<\/p>\n<p>The son then left for his room, carrying all three items.<\/p>\n<p>The wife looked to her husband and asked, &#8220;So &#8230; What does <strong><em>that<\/em><\/strong> mean?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The husband said, &#8220;It means our son is going to be a politician.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Sam I Am)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top five articles viewed by my <strong>27,222<\/strong> RSS feed, weekly email subscribers, and other followers over the past 30 days (excluding Black Coffee posts):<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>My 11th Annual Cost Survey of 10 Brown Bag Sandwiches<\/li>\n<li>Old Wives&#8217; Tales Masquerading as Financial Rules of Thumb<\/li>\n<li>8 Powerful Ways You Can Invest In Yourself<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id12187-does-birth-order-influence-financial-behavior-2.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Does Birth Order Influence Your Financial Behavior?<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id55292-how-i-live-on-less-than-40000-annually-randy-from-missouri.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">How I Live on Less Than $40,000 Annually: Randy from Missouri<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Hey, while you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading my recent Len Penzo dot Com article explaining how to avoid paying a mandatory gratuity for bad service, <strong>Samantha<\/strong> left this comment:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>What really irks me is take-out restaurants like Denny&#8217;s that guilt you into leaving an 18%+ tip &#8230; Then you get back to your hotel to find out they forgot to give you your onion rings. Grrrr.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Well &#8230; it&#8217;s still better than forgetting the Moons Over My Hammy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: brendan-c<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend. I know I am &#8230; so let&#8217;s get this show on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-56472","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: It&#039;s Almost Time to Fish or Cut Bait<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id56472-black-coffee-24-aug-2019.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: It&#039;s Almost Time to Fish or Cut Bait\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend. I know I am &#8230; so let&#8217;s get this show on [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id56472-black-coffee-24-aug-2019.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-08-24T09:15:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-25T17:33:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"375\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta 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