{"id":55712,"date":"2019-07-13T02:15:49","date_gmt":"2019-07-13T09:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=55712"},"modified":"2024-09-17T15:24:28","modified_gmt":"2024-09-17T22:24:28","slug":"black-coffee-13-july-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id55712-black-coffee-13-july-2019.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Like Taking Candy from a Baby"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31075\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-31075 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"black coffee\" width=\"275\" height=\"206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee-50x38.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 275px) 100vw, 275px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend! In the meantime, let&#8217;s get this show on the road so I can start mine &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Once you believe things are permanent, you&#8217;re trapped in a world without doors.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Neil Andrew Megson<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Curiouser and curiouser!<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Lewis Carroll, <em>Alice Through the Looking Glass<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? The median-wage American worker in eight of America&#8217;s largest ten occupations can&#8217;t afford <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theorganicprepper.com\/americans-cant-pay-rent-eat-food-buy-stuff-or-get-sick\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a one-bedroom apartment<\/a>. Employees earning the federal minimum wage have to work 127 hours per week to afford a two-bedroom apartment. And the ten jobs expected to see the largest demand through 2030 pay less than the wage needed to afford housing. Other than that, the US economy has never been better!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news, this week, Rabobank&#8217;s chief researcher, Michael Every said, &#8220;For a perfect example of the mess we&#8217;re in, look at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-07-08\/rabobank-if-one-ever-wanted-perfect-example-mess-we-are-just-look-what-happened\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">market reaction to the (positive) June payroll data<\/a>. US Treasury yields naturally went up; and yet US equities went <em><strong>down<\/strong><\/em>. So it seems the stock market would rather have juicy rate cuts than a healthy US economy.&#8221; Why? Because cheap money is the only way to keep the illusion going.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, with the global monetary system not only hopelessly broken, but also in its death throes, it&#8217;s getting tougher with each passing day to keep that illusion going, as evidenced by a growing number of extremely risky &#8220;junk&#8221; bonds with <em><strong>negative<\/strong><\/em> yields being offered to the public by dubious entities &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Negative-Yielding Junk Bonds Have Arrived in Europe: What causes junk bonds to have a negative yield is not some kind of magic but benighted investors whose brain is malfunctioning after years of NIRP<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1FPe81aiqO\">https:\/\/t.co\/1FPe81aiqO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Wolf Richter (@wolfofwolfst) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wolfofwolfst\/status\/1148733006477086720?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 9, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> In fact, there are now <em><strong>14<\/strong><\/em> euro-denominated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-07-09\/sub-zero-yields-start-taking-hold-in-europe-s-junk-bond-market\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">junk bonds trading with a negative yield<\/a>; six months ago there were &#8230; <em><strong>zero<\/strong><\/em>. Then again, thanks to the European Central Bank&#8217;s (ECB) negative interest rate policy, the absurdity of a high-risk negative-yield junk bond &#8212; where an investor who holds it to maturity is <strong><em>guaranteed to lose money<\/em><\/strong> &#8212; is par for the course these days. Welcome to Wonderland:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/OnB1TgxgwEA?controls=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of Wonderland, Bill Holter points out that no pension plan, bank, or insurance company can survive to pay out benefits with negative-yielding bonds because any capital invested will <em><strong>lose<\/strong><\/em> interest over the life of investment. &#8220;We&#8217;re told that 2+2 can &#8212; and does &#8212; equal more than 4,&#8221; says Holter, &#8220;when, in fact, current monetary policy <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsmineset.com\/2019\/07\/05\/when-does-22-not-equal-4\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mathematically guarantees systemic insolvency<\/a>.&#8221; Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> By pricing in so much easing, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-07-08\/even-goldman-admits-fed-has-lost-control\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the stock market has trapped the Fed<\/a>. According to Goldman Sachs, if the Fed doesn&#8217;t lower interest rates by 0.50% soon, the market will fall sharply, and force the Fed to cut rates anyway to avoid a crash. And if the Fed <em><strong>doesn&#8217;t<\/strong><\/em> cut rates? Well &#8230; the current stock market bubble will grow even larger until it finally bursts, taking the entire financial system with it. So there&#8217;s that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Frankly, the Fed is trapped in other ways: It&#8217;s also firmly <a href=\"https:\/\/realinvestmentadvice.com\/shelton-the-fed-the-realization-of-a-liquidity-trap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">stuck in the same liquidity trap<\/a> that Japan has endured for 30 years: not even <em><strong>free<\/strong><\/em> credit is enough anymore to stimulate the economy. As a result, additional monetary interventions will, at best, do nothing more than continue financial asset boom\/bust cycles and increase the wealth gap between rich and poor. As for the worst case: it increases the odds of a revolution.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, Poland has shocked the gold market &#8212; not to mention the European Union &#8212; by announcing that it bought 100 metric tons of the yellow metal earlier this year; Poland also announced plans to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bullionstar.com\/blogs\/ronan-manly\/poland-joins-hungary-with-huge-gold-purchase-and-repatriation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">repatriate almost half of its strategic gold reserves<\/a> from the Bank of England to the National Bank of Poland in Warsaw. Meh. I&#8217;m sure there&#8217;s nothing to worry about &#8212; especially when you know <em><strong>why<\/strong><\/em> central banks hold gold:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2Dj9v9s9buk?rel=0&amp;controls=0&amp;showinfo=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Whether you believe the banksters or not, something bad in the financial world seems to be happening behind the scenes, as Deutsche Bank announced a major restructuring of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-07-07\/deutsche-bank-you-know-it-no-more-db-exits-global-equities-84-billion-overhaul\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">its floundering business<\/a> including the creation of a so-called &#8220;bad bank&#8221; to offload their upside-down investments. Heh. Do you think we could get away with dumping <em><strong>our<\/strong><\/em> unmanageable debts into a &#8220;bad account&#8221; using an alias? Yeah. Neither do I.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> For his part, Holter believes Deutsche Bank is signaling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsmineset.com\/2019\/07\/08\/into-the-twilight-zone\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">something far more ominous<\/a> than a failing bank: &#8220;Confidence in all things financial has been paramount, just as it is for Ponzi schemes. Laugh all you want, but confidence in <em><strong>everything<\/strong><\/em> will be broken: The world will find the entire system is, and has been, a &#8216;bad bank&#8217; for most of our lifetimes.&#8221; Yep. It&#8217;s all fun and games until someone loses an eye, Bill. Or their life savings.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Thankfully, Peter Schiff reminds us that there <em><strong>is<\/strong><\/em> a silver lining to the upheaval that will result from the demise of our dying fraudulent debt-based monetary system: Nations left the gold standard for the dollar standard because US dollars were convertible into gold. And just as &#8220;the US led the world <em><strong>off<\/strong><\/em> the gold standard, <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/gold-surges-20-peter-schiff-says-collapse-of-the-us-dollar-will-lead-world-back-to-gold-standard\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the collapse of the dollar will lead it back<\/a>&#8221; &#8212; thereby allowing us to escape from this dreaded financial rabbit hole in the process.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here is a summary of price inflation\/deflation rates between 1996 and 2016 for ten select goods and services:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-96%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Televisions<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-66%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Computer software<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-45%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Wireless telephone service<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-5%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Clothing<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-2%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Furniture<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>2%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> New automobiles<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>61%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Housing<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>64%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Food and beverages<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>105%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Healthcare<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>197%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Tuition<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/inflation-a-look-at-rising-prices-falling-prices-and-the-bottom-line\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">King World News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Result<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>When is the last time you withdrew cash from an actual ATM?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Within the last week (30%)<\/li>\n<li>More than a year ago (23%)<\/li>\n<li>Within the last month (20%)<\/li>\n<li>Within the last year (15%)<\/li>\n<li>Never (12%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1600 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that half of you have used an ATM in the past 30 days. On the other hand, slightly more than 1 in 3 readers haven&#8217;t withdrawn cash from an ATM in more than a year &#8212; it ever. Interesting.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[poll id=&#8221;276&#8243;]<\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: Six Figure Salary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>My wife clipped a job listing out of the paper for me. She said it wasn&#8217;t much to start &#8230; but came with a <em><strong>huge<\/strong><\/em> pay raise later. It read &#8230; <em>&#8220;Salary: 23k to start. 401k after first year.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Mikey)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top &#8212; and bottom &#8212; five states in terms of the average number of pages viewed per visit here at Len Penzo dot Com over the past 30 days:<\/p>\n<p>1. Vermont (2.33 pages\/visit) <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>!<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n2. North Dakota (2.03)<br \/>\n3. Arkansas (1.94)<br \/>\n4. Hawaii (1.90)<br \/>\n5. Montana (1.70)<\/p>\n<p>46. Wyoming (1.26)<br \/>\n47. Illinois (1.21)<br \/>\n48. Nebraska (1.18)<br \/>\n49. Rhode Island (1.15)<br \/>\n50. Alaska (1.13)<\/p>\n<p>Whether you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading (like my friends, Ben &amp; Jerry, in Vermont) &#8212; or not (ahem, Alaska &#8230;) &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading my article on how to find a reputable low cost pest control company, <strong>Gerri in Bangladesh<\/strong> &#8212; no, really &#8212; shared this:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Me and my boyfriend moved into our new apartment and we wanted to make sure that there were no pests in it. Unfortunately, we found out it has fleas infested with bubonic plague.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Call me a cynic, but something tells me you don&#8217;t <em><strong>really<\/strong><\/em> live in Bangladesh. Los Angeles, maybe; but Bangladesh &#8230; nope.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>If you enjoyed this, please forward it to your friends and family. I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: brendan-c<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend! In the meantime, let&#8217;s get this show on the road so [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-55712","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Like Taking Candy from a Baby<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id55712-black-coffee-13-july-2019.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Like Taking Candy from a Baby\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend! In the meantime, let&#8217;s get this show on the road so [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id55712-black-coffee-13-july-2019.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-07-13T09:15:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-09-17T22:24:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"375\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta 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