{"id":49563,"date":"2018-06-30T04:15:14","date_gmt":"2018-06-30T11:15:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=49563"},"modified":"2022-01-22T12:55:53","modified_gmt":"2022-01-22T20:55:53","slug":"black-coffee-30-june-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id49563-black-coffee-30-june-2018.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: It Crawls, It Creeps &#8230; It Eats You Alive"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-46694 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"251\" height=\"188\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 251px) 100vw, 251px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s get right to it, shall we?<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Everyone wants to live at the expense of the state. They forget that the state lives at the expense of everyone.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Frederic Bastiat<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings; the inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\">&#8211;<strong>&#8211; Winston Churchill<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> This week the Supreme Court said states can require <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thedailybell.com\/all-articles\/news-analysis\/get-ready-for-online-sales-tax-as-supreme-court-screws-small-online-businesses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">online retailers to charge sales tax<\/a>, even if the business has no physical presence in your state. I know. As a result, consumers could end up paying more, but the impact isn&#8217;t as big as many think; after all, as many big online retailers already charge sales tax on items they sell directly.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Still &#8230; mandatory state online-sales taxes were inevitable; the ever-growing government beast is very real and must be fed at all costs. Believe it or not, they actually made a docudrama warning about this a long <em>long<\/em> time ago &#8212; although most people just laughed:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/TdUsyXQ8Wrs?start=0&amp;end=102;rel=0&amp;controls=0&amp;showinfo=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">&#65279;<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> As Egon Von Greyerz reminds us, the government&#8217;s relentless pursuit of revenue is driven by the fact that, &#8220;The US <a href=\"https:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/greyerz-russia-china-and-india-are-making-historic-moves-ahead-of-the-global-reset\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">hasn&#8217;t had a real budget surplus for almost 60 years<\/a>, running deficits every year since 1975. A country that lives above its means for over half a century is economically bankrupt; its debt and currency should have zero value.&#8221; It should. But it won&#8217;t &#8212; at least until the dollar loses its reserve currency status.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, the financial charades continue. This week, after more than 100 years as a Dow component, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2018\/06\/20\/general-electric-shareholders-should-rejoice-at-the-dow-removal.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">General Electric was replaced<\/a> by Walgreens. As one observer recently noted, this is simply <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsmineset.com\/2018\/06\/20\/jims-mailbox-2171\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">par for the course<\/a>. Replacing any company from the index that doesn&#8217;t help the Dow keep its upward momentum is no different than the government removing any product from the CPI that pushes prices higher.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of the stock market, bank shares recorded <a href=\"https:\/\/palisade-research.com\/the-growing-fragile-markets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">their longest losing streak<\/a> ever this week. On Thursday the S&amp;P 500 Financials Index mercifully ended a run of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/view\/articles\/2018-06-28\/good-bank-stress-test-grades-don-t-impress-investors\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">13 consecutive down days<\/a>. Despite Thursday&#8217;s &#8220;recovery,&#8221; shares of the big banks are down an average of 9.3% this year &#8212; compare that to a gain of nearly 1% for the S&amp;P 500. Is this is the financial-system coal-mine canary? Time will tell.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Bank shares aren&#8217;t the only thing that&#8217;s down; Social Security benefits have lost <a href=\"http:\/\/www.investmentnews.com\/article\/20180621\/BLOG05\/180629976\/social-security-benefits-lost-34-of-their-buying-power-since-2000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">more than one-third of their buying power<\/a> since 2000 &#8212; and the decline is accelerating. In fact, Social Security bennies lost 4% of their purchasing power in just the last year alone. (Psst. If you&#8217;re under 60, I hope you&#8217;re paying attention &#8212; especially if you&#8217;re expecting Social Security to cover <em>all<\/em> of your retirement expenses.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> You can bet the withering sustenance supplied by Social Security is one reason why a Fed survey this week found that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-06-21\/inflation-fears-spike-30-year-highs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">inflation fears are at a 30-year high<\/a>. Apparently, people are now more worried about inflation in the next six months than at any time since 1988. Imagine that.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> It&#8217;s probably not a coincidence that inflation fears are peaking at the same time that US oil prices are at their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/crude-rises-as-traders-fret-over-potential-supply-worries-linked-to-iran-2018-06-27\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">highest level in four years<\/a>. The spike is primarily due to sharply-falling crude supplies which, in turn, have translated to higher prices at the gas pump. The US national average price for gasoline is $2.90. Then again, here in California, my local gas station is charging $3.79. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/politics\/la-pol-ca-usc-poll-gas-tax-20180524-story.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Thanks, tax man<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> It&#8217;s not just gasoline prices that are climbing. By one estimate, asset markets are <a href=\"https:\/\/macromon.wordpress.com\/2018\/06\/25\/asset-prices-divorced-from-economic-reality-more-than-ever\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">40% higher than they should be<\/a>; you can blame the central banks&#8217; quantitative easing policy, which has artificially boosted profits and consumer demand. Now, asset prices are at extreme levels relative to the actual economy &#8212; just as they were in 2008 &#8212; thereby setting the stage for another major financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Prices are so out of whack right now that San Francisco, Marin, and San Mateo county households making $117,000 actually <a href=\"https:\/\/sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com\/2018\/06\/26\/hud-117000-low-income-san-mateo-san-francisco-marin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">qualify to live in low-income housing<\/a> projects. Heh. No, I didn&#8217;t add an extra zero to that figure. Oh &#8230; and if that wasn&#8217;t bad enough, the Bay Area&#8217;s &#8220;poverty&#8221; line is 10% higher than last year. Yes, it&#8217;s really quite absurd &#8212; but not as absurd as <em>this<\/em>:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MPolRUz3_qo?start=0&amp;end=60;rel=0&amp;controls=0&amp;showinfo=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> With economic reality so thoroughly twisted, it&#8217;s almost no wonder that a recent poll found that 58% of Australian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenleft.org.au\/content\/poll-shows-58-%E2%80%98millennials%E2%80%99-australia-favourable-socialism\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">millennials prefer socialism or communism<\/a> to capitalism. The trouble is, it isn&#8217;t capitalism that has failed society &#8212; it&#8217;s <em>crony<\/em> capitalism, led by Big Government politicians, Wall Street and the rest of the financial industry who, in turn, are aided and abetted by the world&#8217;s central banks.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Maybe all of those millennial revolutionaries got excited when they heard that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-06-28\/venezuela-hyperinflation-index-reaches-the-one-million-mark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">minimum-wage workers in Venezuela<\/a> earn 5 million bolivars per month. What they apparently <em>don&#8217;t<\/em> know is 5 million bolivars is enough cash to buy five cups of coffee in that South American workers&#8217; paradise &#8212; or two cups of joe and one Che Guevara t-shirt (hurry! <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etsy.com\/listing\/509869134\/che-guevara\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">there&#8217;s only one left!<\/a>) &#8212; but nothing else. Forward, amigos!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, every good socialist believes in &#8220;free&#8221; water too. It&#8217;s subsidized in Venezuela, costing pennies a month. Unfortunately, despite what Che said, there are no free lunches. So the pipes have been badly neglected &#8212; which is why <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloombergquint.com\/business\/2018\/06\/25\/thirsty-venezuelans-forced-to-pay-for-water-as-army-takes-over\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the military now distributes the nation&#8217;s scarce water supply<\/a>; mainly to its cronies. I can only imagine how much a cup of coffee in Caracas will cost when the water supply dries up.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"221\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>When was the last time you drank a glass of tap water?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Within the last week (67%)<\/li>\n<li>More than a year ago (17%)<\/li>\n<li>Within the last year (11%)<\/li>\n<li>Within the last month (5%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1300 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that 1 in 6 of them have gone more than a year without a glass of tap water. Wow!!! I guess that&#8217;s to be expected now since so many people have been conditioned to drink bottled water. Maybe I should have asked for the last time folks took a drink from a garden hose.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Most people think hyperinflation is a rare event, but that&#8217;s not historically true:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>55<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The number of hyperinflation events worldwide during the 20th century.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>3<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The average number of years between hyperinflation events since the 1921 hyperinflation event in Weimar Germany.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>617<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The number of fiat currencies that became completely worthless since 1500.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>25%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of fiat currencies since 1500 that became worthless as a direct result of hyperinflation.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>50%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The minimum monthly inflation rate economists say is required for a currency to be officially in a state of hyperinflation.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>41<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The approximate number of days it takes prices to double when the monthly inflation rate is 50%.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/goldsilver.com\/blog\/gold-as-a-hedge-against-hyperinflation-does-it-really-work\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GoldSilver<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Useless News: Guys and Gals<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A woman comes home one morning about 9 a.m. after having been gone all night. Her husband wants to know why she did not come home the night before and she responds, &#8220;Some of us girls were playing bridge last night and it got so late that I did not want to come in and awaken you.&#8221; The husband gets on the phone and calls her 10 best friends asking them if she had spent the night there after playing bridge the night before. Each of them said, &#8220;No, I haven&#8217;t seen her.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>A man comes home one morning about 9 a.m. after having been gone all night. His wife wants to know why he did n0t come home the night before and he responds, &#8220;Some of us guys were playing poker last night and it got so late that I did not want to come in and awaken you.&#8221; The wife gets on the phone and calls his 10 best friends asking them if he had spent the night there after playing poker the night before. Eight of them said, &#8220;Yes, he stayed here last night.&#8221; The other two said, &#8220;Yes, and he&#8217;s still sleeping upstairs.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em>(h\/t: Ozymandias)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>More Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In case you missed it, I published a sponsored post on <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id49373-save-extra-money-at-amazon-by-using-this-simple-chrome-extension.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">how to save extra money on every item you buy at Amazon<\/a> with a simple Chrome extension. Please check it out if you like to save money! I use the extension and I can honestly say it has already saved me a significant amount of cash.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hey, while you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading this week&#8217;s featured article explaining why I run my household like a business, <b>Eric Bowlin<\/b> left this comment:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This is a really interesting take. I often look at my household in military terms.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Eric, if I did that I&#8217;d be the private on KP.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit:Teresa Whitaker<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Let&#8217;s get right to it, shall we? &#8220;Everyone wants to live at the expense of the state. They [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-49563","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: It Crawls, It Creeps ... 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