{"id":47475,"date":"2018-02-24T04:15:13","date_gmt":"2018-02-24T12:15:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=47475"},"modified":"2023-02-18T17:02:37","modified_gmt":"2023-02-19T01:02:37","slug":"black-coffee-24-february-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id47475-black-coffee-24-february-2018.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Why Hyperinflation Ain&#8217;t All Bad"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-31075\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"black coffee\" width=\"275\" height=\"206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee-50x38.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 275px) 100vw, 275px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Another glorious week comes to an end. Off we go &#8230;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;All deception in the course of life is indeed nothing else but a lie reduced to practice.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Robert Southey<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Uncertainty is no virtue when the facts are clear, and ambiguity is mere obfuscation when more precise terms are applicable.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Julian Baggini<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> For those of you who paid $19,203 at the bitcoin price peak last December, I have good news and bad news. The good news is bitcoin&#8217;s two-month slide has turned into <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/bitcoin-bounces-but-gains-could-be-limited-2018-02-23\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a bit of a bounce<\/a>, as the cryptocurrency ended the week up almost 1%. The bad news is that bitcoins are now only fetching $10,000 or so on the open market. Oops.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Last week I told you that interbank lending has dropped dramatically. In fact, after falling 80% (!) last month, interbank loans are now at their lowest level since 1973, suggesting that the banks no longer trust each other; the same phenomenon occurred prior to the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. Curiously, the Fed has now decided that they&#8217;ll <a href=\"https:\/\/www.themaven.net\/mishtalk\/economics\/interbank-loan-series-update-message-from-fred-7MGNAaQhPk-9xdm5lGw1Xg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">no longer be tracking interbank lending<\/a>. Just a coincidence, I&#8217;m sure.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> On a related note, technical analyst Clive Maund points out, &#8220;The central banks have gotten away with a rising bond market, rising stock market, and low interest rates, thanks to allowing uncontrolled expansion of debt and derivatives &#8212; but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.clivemaund.com\/article.php?id=4541\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">they&#8217;re out of time<\/a>, which is what the bond market drop and consequent plunge in stocks is signaling.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, Peter Schiff says that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.europac.com\/commentaries\/raising_rates_reflect_bigger_debt_not_faster_growth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">rising interest rates reflect bigger debt<\/a> &#8212; not faster growth. He also warns that a continued decline in both the dollar and bonds &#8212; which have been underway for more than a year now &#8212; will ignite inflation, increase mortgage rates, raise borrowing costs, and expand federal deficits. Okay. But, other than that, I&#8217;m sure the economy will be just fine. Who&#8217;s with me?<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/xRcUFvbcWCw?rel=0&amp;controls=0&amp;showinfo=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Then again, maybe I&#8217;m being too optimistic, as even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-02-21\/fed-president-sounds-panic-over-level-us-debt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Fed appears to be getting a bit antsy<\/a> over the rapidly increasing size of the US debt. Hopefully, it&#8217;s just a temporary phase. After all, everyone knows the only way to solve a debt problem is with more debt &#8212; especially since our infrastructure still needs to be fixed &#8212; otherwise the Fed wouldn&#8217;t have had their printing presses in overdrive for the past 10 years.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Last year, the American Society of Civil Engineers gave US road infrastructure a D grade, noting that 20% of all highway miles suffered from potholes, dilapidated bridges, and more, which is why some people are now advocating for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/gas-tax-vmt-toll-road\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">making all roads toll roads<\/a> by charging drivers for every mile they travel. Thankfully, today&#8217;s technology would eliminate a lot of the issues associated with the earliest US toll roads:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/SbWg-mozGsU?rel=0&amp;controls=0&amp;showinfo=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news, it used to be considered unwise to budget more than 30% of household income on housing. Not any more. Today, nearly half of the 21 million renter households in America <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2018-02-17\/there-acute-crisis-coming-apartment-developer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pay more than 30% of their income<\/a> for housing &#8212; including 11 million households that pay more than 50%. Hey &#8230; who says the Fed has done a good job containing inflation over the years? (Psst. It&#8217;s certainly not me.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> On a bright note, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/us-adds-200000-jobs-worker-pay-rises-at-fastest-pace-since-2009-2018-02-02\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">wages rose<\/a> last month at the fastest clip in nine years. However, that prompted US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to make <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-02-23\/mnuchin-says-trump-policies-will-raise-wages-without-inflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the dubious claim<\/a> that the higher wages won&#8217;t necessarily lead to increasing consumer prices. That&#8217;s <em>technically<\/em> true; but only in the presence of real economic growth. Unfortunately, <em>this<\/em> economy has been artificially-juiced by wholesale central bank currency printing.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, when it comes to the government&#8217;s economic bureaucrats, absurdity is to be expected. For example, as Jim Quinn notes, &#8220;The absurdity of (government inflation data) is almost beyond comprehension &#8212; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theburningplatform.com\/2018\/02\/19\/do-you-believe-in-bls-unicorns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">fake data<\/a> disguised to make you think you haven&#8217;t been reamed for the last 20 years by Fed-created inflation exceeding 5% per year.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of high inflation, it turns out that people who claim nothing good comes from hyperinflation are wrong &#8212; behold: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-venezuela-food\/venezuelans-report-big-weight-losses-in-2017-as-hunger-hits-idUSKCN1G52HA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Hyperinflation Diet<\/a>. That&#8217;s right; thanks to the rampant food shortages that typically manifest in nations with a dying currency, Venezuelans reported losing on average 24 lbs. in body weight last year. Then again, that weight loss comes at a steep price, as almost 90% now live in poverty.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? According to the IRS, one must have an adjusted gross income of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irs.gov\/statistics\/soi-tax-stats-soi-bulletin-winter-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$480,930 to be a member<\/a> of the &#8220;top 1%.&#8221; In case you&#8217;re wondering, 1.4 million Americans belonged to this elite club in 2015, the most recent year for which statistics are available. In 2009 the price of admission was $351,968.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> I know what you&#8217;re thinking &#8212; and I have the answer: In 2015, the adjusted gross income threshold for the top 50% of all individual income tax returns was $39,275. But rest assured that eventually, when the US finally succeeds in its mindless quest to kill the dollar, even the <em>bottom<\/em> 50% will have million-dollar incomes. The trouble is, by then a million bucks won&#8217;t buy a cup of coffee &#8212; whether it&#8217;s Starbucks <em>or<\/em> Folgers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here is the percentage price increase (or decrease) for ten grocery staples compared to their price a decade ago:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-15%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Eggs<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-7%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Milk<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>-6%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Boneless chicken breast<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>16%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Wheat bread<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>21%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Sugar<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>31%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> White rice<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>43%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Creamy peanut butter<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>44%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Flour<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>45%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Ground beef<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>58%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Bacon<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Visual Capitalist<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"203\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you could visit only one country in South America, which one would it be?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Argentina (23%)<\/li>\n<li>Brazil (21%)<\/li>\n<li>Chile (19%)<\/li>\n<li>Peru (15%)<\/li>\n<li>Ecuador (12%)<\/li>\n<li>Somewhere else. (9%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1400 people responded to last week&#8217;s question, and almost 1 in 4 say that, if they could only visit one South American nation, Argentina would be their destination of choice. Exactly 15% agree with my choice of Peru, where I&#8217;d love to explore the Incan ruins at Machu Picchu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here are the top five articles viewed by my <strong>20,005<\/strong> RSS feed, weekly email subscribers, and other followers over the past 30 days (excluding Black Coffee posts):<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>8 Ways to Make Money on Your Morning Commute<\/li>\n<li>How Choosing Credit or Debit is Like Picking Salad Dressing<\/li>\n<li>You Can Call Me Almost Anything, But Don&#8217;t Call Me Cheap<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id46989-6-ways-to-avoid-becoming-a-pickpocket-victim-2.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">6 Ways to Avoid Becoming a Pickpocket Victim<\/a><\/li>\n<li>7 Awesome Reasons Why You Should Use a Roth IRA for Retirement Savings<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Hey, while you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">(The Best of)<\/span> Letters, I Get Letters <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Michelle<\/strong> had a suggestion regarding my article highlighting 19 things your suburban <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id1151-19-things-the-millionaire-next-door-wont-tell-you-2.html\">millionaire neighbor<\/a> won&#8217;t tell you:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You forgot #20: He&#8217;s a cheap bastard who doesn&#8217;t tip well or pay his service tradesmen what they worked for.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Sounds to me like somebody needs a hug.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: brendan-c<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Another glorious week comes to an end. Off we go &#8230; &#8220;All deception in the course of life [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-47475","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Why Hyperinflation Ain&#039;t All Bad<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id47475-black-coffee-24-february-2018.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Why Hyperinflation Ain&#039;t All Bad\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. 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Off we go &#8230; &#8220;All deception in the course of life [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id47475-black-coffee-24-february-2018.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-02-24T12:15:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-02-19T01:02:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/black-coffee.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"375\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta 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