{"id":44095,"date":"2017-07-29T05:15:47","date_gmt":"2017-07-29T12:15:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=44095"},"modified":"2017-08-01T07:01:23","modified_gmt":"2017-08-01T14:01:23","slug":"black-coffee-29-july-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id44095-black-coffee-29-july-2017.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Bubble Trouble on the Double"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-23820\" title=\"black coffee\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"187\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe<\/em> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s get right to it, shall we?<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In all our quest of greatness, like wanton boys, whose pastime is their care, we follow after bubbles, blown in the air.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; John Webster<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I would as soon leave my son a curse as the almighty dollar.&#8221;<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>&#8212; Andrew Carnegie<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> As if the spate of new house-flipping shows on HGTV isn&#8217;t a big enough sign that we&#8217;re in the middle of a housing bubble, here&#8217;s another: reports of a <a href=\"https:\/\/mishtalk.com\/2017\/07\/23\/13-year-old-kid-buys-552000-home\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">13-year-old buying his own home<\/a>. Uh huh. For $552,000, no less. I strongly suspect he didn&#8217;t actually use his own money &#8212; but the story itself is <a href=\"https:\/\/mhanson.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a sure sign<\/a> another home-buying mania is upon us. <em>(click to enlarge)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-44162\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0-1014x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"656\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0-1014x1024.jpg 1014w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0-297x300.jpg 297w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0-768x775.jpg 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/housing-bubble-2.0.jpg 1039w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of bubbles, I see the S&amp;P 500 hit <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2017\/07\/25\/us-stocks-earnings-fed-caterpillar-mcdonalds.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">another all-time high<\/a> on Tuesday. Hey &#8230; why not? It doesn&#8217;t really seem to matter whether the economic news is good or bad &#8212; with few exceptions, stocks only travel in one direction anymore: up. Thanks, Fed!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> In fact, today&#8217;s stock market is so <a href=\"http:\/\/kingworldnews.com\/legend-says-price-gold-will-skyrocket-75-within-18-months\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">unhinged from reality<\/a> that Facebook has become the world&#8217;s largest publisher, Netflix is worth twice as much as CBS, and Tesla&#8217;s value is supposedly on par with General Motors. No, really.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> On Thursday, Amazon&#8217;s soaring stock price vaulted CEO Jeff Bezos over Bill Gates to become the world&#8217;s richest man. The feat <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2017\/07\/27\/jeff-bezos-is-set-to-become-the-worlds-richest-man.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">didn&#8217;t last long<\/a>, however &#8212; before the day was over, Amazon&#8217;s stock price retreated, dropping Bezos back to number two. Heh. Loser.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Sadly, Mr. Bezos&#8217; climb to the top of the world&#8217;s-richest list is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2017-07-27\/jeff-bezos-surpasses-bill-gates-becomes-worlds-richest-man\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">more a testament<\/a> to the central banks&#8217; easy-money policies than his business acumen. Behold:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/amazon-fed.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-44183\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/amazon-fed-1024x555.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"533\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/amazon-fed-1024x555.png 1024w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/amazon-fed-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/amazon-fed-768x416.png 768w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/amazon-fed.png 1650w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 533px) 100vw, 533px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, Bezos&#8217; wealth accumulation isn&#8217;t the <em>only<\/em> sign of the Fed&#8217;s easy-money policy. As David Stockman points out, &#8220;The Fed and its crew of traveling central banks around the world have <a href=\"https:\/\/dailyreckoning.com\/chuck-prince-market-redux-dangerous\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gutted honest price discovery<\/a> entirely, turning global financial markets into outright gambling dens of unchecked speculation.&#8221; Well &#8230; yeah.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> That&#8217;s not all Stockman had to say about the Fed; he also noted that, &#8220;The combined $15 trillion of central bank balance sheet expansion since 2007 amounts to monetary fraud of epic proportions.&#8221; Frankly, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2017-02-12\/fed-insider-exposes-evils-us-monetary-policy-making\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">it&#8217;s hard to disagree<\/a> with him; take another look at the chart above.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> It&#8217;s too bad those trillions of dollars conjured out of thin air by the Fed <a href=\"https:\/\/economix.blogs.nytimes.com\/2013\/11\/15\/yellen-impresses-but-feds-powers-are-finite\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">haven&#8217;t found their way to Main St.<\/a> &#8212; instead, almost all of it continues to be fed to Wall St. and the crony capitalists in Washington DC. If you&#8217;re looking for the primary reason why the wealth gap between the rich and poor is larger than ever, you can start right there.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, the US economy is <a href=\"http:\/\/charleshughsmith.blogspot.com\/2017\/07\/the-two-charts-that-dictate-future-of.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">doomed to secular stagnation<\/a> and never-ending recession as long as real income for all segments continues to stagnate or decline. The trouble is, that won&#8217;t change until our dying dollar-based international monetary system re-anchors itself to gold. Or implodes beforehand.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> The Fed also <a href=\"http:\/\/investmentresearchdynamics.com\/economic-reports-used-as-propaganda\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pushes the mantra<\/a> that a low level of inflation is a good thing. It&#8217;s not. Consider this: even an annual inflation rate of 2% will halve a currency&#8217;s purchasing power in just 34 years. Now you know why it&#8217;s so difficult to save enough for retirement. It also illustrates why you should think about keeping at least <em>a portion<\/em> of your long-term savings in <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id16252-silver-and-gold-the-superheroes-of-wealth-preservation.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the ultimate store of wealth<\/a>: gold and silver.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Since 99 out of every 100 Americans save only constantly-depreciating US dollars, maybe it&#8217;s a good thing that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pasadenastarnews.com\/social-affairs\/20170725\/more-than-a-third-of-california-households-have-virtually-no-savings-are-at-risk-of-financial-ruin-report-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">37% of California households have no savings<\/a>. Okay &#8230; maybe not. But it&#8217;s probably why so many clueless Californians continue to be hoodwinked by statist politicians who offer to take care of their every need &#8212; with earnings from the state&#8217;s dwindling producers, of course.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In another socialist bastion, Venezuela&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-07-21\/the-meltdown-in-venezuela-s-currency-is-deepening\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">currency meltdown is getting worse<\/a>. This week, the black-market rate for the bolivar fell to 8700 per dollar; it was 1000 last year. Five years ago, it was just nine bolivars to the dollar. I know it&#8217;s hard to believe, but the same fate awaits the US dollar. After all, <em>every<\/em> fiat currency eventually returns to its intrinsic value: zero. The math proves it &#8212; and history confirms it.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Unfortunately, thanks to the reckless monetary policies of the Fed and the world&#8217;s other colluding central banks, the <a href=\"https:\/\/dailyreckoning.com\/dollar-demise-continues\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dollar&#8217;s demise is happening<\/a> in plain sight &#8212; but 99.9% of the American public remain blissfuly unaware. Sadly, most will remain that way until it is too late.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a refreshing change: Foxconn is bringing a $10 billion electronics plant to Wisconsin as the company takes its first step into America. Here&#8217;s a closer look at the deal:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>11<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Number of football fields that will fit within the plant&#8217;s 20 million square feet.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>2020<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Year the Foxconn plant will become operational.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>3000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Number of workers who will be employed initially.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>13,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Workers expected to be eventually employed at the plant.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>$53,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Average salary that the workers will be paid.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>$700,000,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Expected annual payroll once the plant is fully staffed.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>$7,000,000,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Expected annual impact to the Wisconsin economy.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tmj4.com\/news\/local-news\/by-the-numbers-foxconn-heads-to-wisconsin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TMJ4<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Have you ever been fired for cause from a job?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>No (83%)<\/li>\n<li>Yes (17%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1100 people responded to last week&#8217;s question and, I&#8217;m happy to say, fewer than 1 in 5 Len Penzo dot Com readers have been fired for cause by an employer. That&#8217;s actually somewhat higher than both reader Oscar and myself expected. After doing a Google search, our suspicions seen to be well-founded &#8212; according to a 2014 BLS study, the total <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnsnews.com\/news\/article\/ali-meyer\/workers-3x-more-likely-get-fired-private-sector-govt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">employee discharge rate was 1.4%<\/a> &#8212; and that included layoffs and dismissals for cause. I am certain the vast majority of those discharges were layoff-related.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"174\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id508-the-coke-rewards-program-is-for-suckers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">why Coke Rewards are for suckers<\/a>, <b>Mike<\/b> left this comment:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>When I had 4000 points I tried to make a deal: I would relinquish all 4000 points for two Coke Zero 400 tickets at Daytona. Well, I never got a reply back. Maybe they didn&#8217;t want to answer me, but at a buck a Coke that&#8217;s $4000! Figure that out you all! Makes no sense!<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Actually, Mike, it makes <em><strong>lots<\/strong><\/em> of sense.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: brendan-<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Let&#8217;s get right to it, shall we? &#8220;In all our quest of greatness, like wanton boys, whose pastime [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":31075,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-44095","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Bubble Trouble on the Double<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id44095-black-coffee-29-july-2017.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: Bubble Trouble on the Double\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Let&#8217;s get right to it, shall we? &#8220;In all our quest of greatness, like wanton boys, whose pastime [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id44095-black-coffee-29-july-2017.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-07-29T12:15:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2017-08-01T14:01:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"375\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta 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