{"id":39321,"date":"2016-10-01T05:15:42","date_gmt":"2016-10-01T12:15:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=39321"},"modified":"2024-01-31T08:50:37","modified_gmt":"2024-01-31T16:50:37","slug":"black-coffee-move-along-nothing-to-see-here-folks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id39321-black-coffee-move-along-nothing-to-see-here-folks.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: Move Along, Folks &#8230; There&#8217;s Nothing to See Here"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-23820\" title=\"black coffee\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"187\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe<\/em> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>And away we go &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Did you see this? Britain&#8217;s socialized medicine program, the National Health Service, is warning that their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/society\/2016\/sep\/10\/hospitals-on-brink-of-collapse-say-health-chiefs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">hospitals are on the verge of collapse<\/a>. Again.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Not coincidentally, on this side of the pond, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/2016\/09\/28\/death-spiral-obamacare-problems-making-coverage-harder-to-afford-find.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Obamacare&#8217;s death spiral<\/a> is well underway with only 6 of the original 23 &#8220;Affordable&#8221; Care Act co-op exchanges still in business after Health Republic Insurance of New Jersey announced it was shutting its doors. Forward!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of death spirals, financially-shaky Deutsche Bank (DB) saw its stock <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2016-09-26\/lenders-lead-europe-stocks-drop-as-deutsche-bank-falls-to-record\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">slump 7.5%<\/a> on Monday, closing at an all-time low, over concerns that it lacked sufficient capital to survive a $14 billion fine issued by the US Department of Justice for allegedly misleading investors about the quality of mortgage backed securities prior to the Crash of 2008. (Psst &#8230; it doesn&#8217;t.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> As the week progressed, DB&#8217;s stock continued to struggle; by Wednesday the most systemically dangerous bank in the world had a market cap that was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-09-29\/deutsche-bank-now-smaller-twitter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">smaller than Twitter<\/a>. Yes, <em>that<\/em> Twitter.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Struggling DB has seen its stock lose half its value since January alone &#8212; as a result, a growing number of people are beginning to worry about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/business\/360917-deutsche-bank-lehman-crisis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">another financial crisis<\/a> that would dwarf the one in 2008 precipitated by the failure of Lehman Brothers.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Needless to say, fear of a potential financial calamity threatened to morph into sheer panic. That, in turn, led to a growing chorus from the financial community calling for the German government to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2016\/09\/29\/pressure-seen-building-for-germany-to-rescue-deutsche-bank.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bail out the teetering banking giant<\/a> and its $42 trillion derivatives book. No, that&#8217;s not a typo &#8212; it&#8217;s trillion, with a &#8220;t.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Here&#8217;s the problem: DB&#8217;s balance sheet is about one-half the size of Germany&#8217;s GDP, making the bank <a href=\"http:\/\/fortune.com\/2016\/09\/27\/deutsche-bank\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">too big to bailout<\/a>. And even if it could be bailed out, doing so would destroy the euro. Oh, and since DB&#8217;s massive derivatives book connects it to hundreds of other financial entities, unwinding it would unleash a financial armageddon. In other words: Rock &#8230; meet hard place.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> But then a miracle happened and by Friday morning things started looking up: The stock market opened up sharply &#8212; despite depressed Euro stock markets and S&amp;P futures being down sharply on Thursday evening. Why? Because of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-09-30\/rumor-causing-spike-deutsche-bank-shares\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a rumor on Twitter<\/a> &#8212; yes, <em>that<\/em> Twitter &#8212; suggesting the DoJ was going to reduce DB&#8217;s fine by $9 billion. Or so we were told.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Wait; it get&#8217;s better. By the end of the day, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2016\/09\/30\/what-happened-in-the-stock-market-today.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DB was up 14%<\/a> (!!) and the Dow and S&amp;P gained almost 1%. Hey &#8230; Who knew avoiding a global financial disaster would be so easy?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> It&#8217;s just too bad the rumor didn&#8217;t claim that the DoJ was cutting Deutsche Bank&#8217;s fine to just $1 billion &#8212; DB&#8217;s stock would have probably climbed another 10%.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> The bottom line is that, by the end of the day on Friday, Deutsche Bank&#8217;s stock was sharply higher and the stock markets and world financial system backed away from the abyss on a mere <em>rumor<\/em> that DB will be getting a relatively small fine reduction from the DoJ. Brilliant.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, gold &#8212; which typically <em>thrives<\/em> as a safe haven during financial turmoil like that seen over the past five days &#8212; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economiccalendar.com\/2016\/09\/30\/gold-prices-fall-1-7-this-week\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lost almost 2% this week<\/a>. Heh. Uh huh. And so the financial market manipulation continues &#8212; more brazen and blatant than ever. Until it can&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk unveiled the company&#8217;s plans for colonizing Mars. Here&#8217;s a look at SpaceX&#8217;s broader Red Planet plans, by the numbers:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>$10,000,000,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The amount that it would cost per seat to send people to Mars using currently available technology.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>$200,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The amount that it will cost per seat to send people to Mars using technology now being developed by SpaceX.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>1,000,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The number of people SpaceX hopes to transport to Mars over the next 50 to 100 years.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>2024<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The year in which the first crewed flights to Mars are anticipated to begin.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>115<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The initial average length, in days, of the trip from Earth to Mars.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>100<\/strong><\/span><\/span> The minimum number of passengers to be carried aboard each ship to Mars.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>12<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Number of people who have set foot on a world beyond Earth. All 12 were Apollo astronauts who walked on the moon between 1969 and 1972.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.space.com\/34234-spacex-mars-colony-plan-by-the-numbers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Space<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Insider Notes: Why Banks Don&#8217;t Care About Inflation<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Hey! You need to be an Insider to view this section! If you&#8217;d like to join, please click &#8220;Insider Membership&#8221; at the top of my blog page.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>How old is your primary car?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>More than 10 years old (40%)<\/li>\n<li>1 to 3 years old (25%)<\/li>\n<li>6 to 10 years old (16%)<\/li>\n<li>4 to 6 years old (15%)<\/li>\n<li>Less than 1 year old (2%)<\/li>\n<li>I don&#8217;t own a car (2%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 1000 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and it turns out that 2 in 5 drive a primary car that is more than 10 years old. That is in sharp contrast to the 1 in 50 who bought a brand new car in the last year. <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id19085-i-finally-broke-down-and-bought-a-new-car-yes-new.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">My current primary vehicle<\/a> is now pushing 4 years old &#8212; and I intend to drive it another six years, at least. I drove my previous primary car for almost 15 years before I finally cracked and bought my current ride.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"131\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Programming note: Unlike most blogs, I&#8217;m always open for the weekend here at Len Penzo dot Com. There&#8217;s a fresh new article waiting for you every Saturday afternoon. At least there should be. If not, somebody call 9-1-1.<\/p>\n<p>Hey! If you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading &#8212; or not &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. Don&#8217;t forget to <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">subscribe via email<\/a> too! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>From <strong>Saul<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Why are you always so negative?<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">I don&#8217;t know &#8212; but even my blood type is negative. So I&#8217;ll blame that.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: brendan-c<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. And away we go &#8230; Credits and Debits Debit: Did you see this? Britain&#8217;s socialized medicine program, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":31075,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-39321","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: Move Along, Folks ... 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