{"id":36623,"date":"2016-04-02T00:15:35","date_gmt":"2016-04-02T07:15:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=36623"},"modified":"2023-06-25T20:13:06","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T03:13:06","slug":"black-coffee-the-yes-and-no-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id36623-black-coffee-the-yes-and-no-edition.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: The &#8216;Yes &#8230; and No&#8217; Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-23820\" title=\"black coffee\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"187\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee.jpg 500w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/black-coffee-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe<\/em> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Off we go &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> As financial analyst Dave Kranzler pointed out this week, &#8220;What&#8217;s been billed as &#8216;economic growth&#8217; since 2008 is <a href=\"http:\/\/investmentresearchdynamics.com\/its-worse-than-bad-were-on-the-cusp-of-global-economic-depression\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">nothing more than debt-fueled inflation<\/a> in the form of &#8216;nominal&#8217; economic growth.&#8221; He&#8217;s right, you know.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> It may seem preposterous, but those capital-consuming negative interest rates being imposed by an increasing number of central banks are a desperate last-ditch effort to keep the global economy from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/negative-interest-rates-put-the-global-economy-on-a-razors-edge-2016-03-29\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">falling into the abyss<\/a>. Yes, negative rates may buy a little time &#8230; No, they won&#8217;t fix things.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In fact, capital consumption is akin to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economicnoise.com\/2009\/12\/08\/burning-the-furniture-and-eating-the-seed-corn-to-survive\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">burning the furniture to heat your home<\/a>. It might work for awhile, but eventually you&#8217;re forced to burn the walls, floorboards and the rest of the house. No, that&#8217;s not my analogy: it&#8217;s from economist Ludwig von Mises &#8230; Yes, he&#8217;s brilliant.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> In other news, US employment was better than expected last month, as the Bureau of Labor reported more than <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2016-04-01\/payrolls-in-u-s-increased-215-000-in-march-as-wages-picked-up\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">215,000 new jobs were created<\/a> in March. Even better: the labor participation rate finally ticked up after years of steady declines. Yes, <em>up &#8230;<\/em>No, really. Hooray!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Now for the reality check: As MarketWatch reports, a closer look at the data indicates that most of those jobs are due to a shift in hiring toward <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/part-timers-might-account-for-labor-force-surge-2016-04-01\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">lower-paying part-time jobs<\/a> with fewer hours. No, I didn&#8217;t make that up &#8230; Yes, I&#8217;m being a party-pooper. Again.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Even worse, there are now 29,000 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-04-01\/waiters-and-bartenders-rise-record-manufacturing-workers-drop-most-2009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">fewer manufacturing jobs<\/a> today than there were in the previous month. The &#8220;good&#8221; news is those lost high-paying jobs were almost completely offset by the creation of 25,000 new waiter and bartender positions. Forward!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Despite the rising labor participation rate, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-03-28\/23-americans-their-prime-working-years-are-unemployed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">23% of Americans<\/a> between the ages of 25 and 54 are currently unemployed. Wow. Yes, that&#8217;s their prime working years &#8230; No, that&#8217;s not good.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Yes, considering that 62% of all Americans have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/most-americans-have-less-than-1000-in-savings-2015-10-06\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">less than $1000 in savings<\/a>, it&#8217;s understandable if you wonder how all of those unemployed workers are getting by. On second thought &#8230; No, it&#8217;s not. (Psst. Three letters for you: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newsmax.com\/Newsfront\/aid-medicaid-food-stamps-census-bureau\/2015\/07\/08\/id\/654041\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EBT<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, home prices in Portland, Seattle and San Francisco have officially <a href=\"http:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-03-29\/case-shiller-home-prices-jump-driven-west-coast-chinese-buyers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">passed their highs<\/a> from the 2007 housing market bubble. I know. Then again, if real wages &#8212; which have been <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/fact-tank\/2014\/10\/09\/for-most-workers-real-wages-have-barely-budged-for-decades\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">depressed for decades<\/a> &#8212; don&#8217;t make a huge and miraculous comeback, those new highs won&#8217;t be around for very long.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Prices in &#8220;Frisco&#8221; are so ridiculous that the median rent for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zumper.com\/blog\/2015\/11\/zumper-national-rent-report-november-2015\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">one-bedroom apartment there is $3670<\/a>. Yes, that&#8217;s per month &#8230; No, I didn&#8217;t add an extra zero.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, if you&#8217;re willing to live in an 8-foot long by 3.5-foot wide box, you can actually make a go of it in San Fran for only $400 per month. Don&#8217;t get too excited though: <a href=\"http:\/\/gizmodo.com\/live-in-a-box-inside-a-san-francisco-apartment-for-400-1767811696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">it&#8217;s just 4.5 feet tall<\/a>. Yes, that&#8217;s kind of cramped &#8230; No, that ain&#8217;t so bad &#8212; if you&#8217;re a midget.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Were your parents good financial role models?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Yes (40%)<\/li>\n<li>No (32%)<\/li>\n<li>Yes &#8230; and no (28%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 900 Len Penzo dot Com readers responded to last week&#8217;s question and 2 in 5 said their parents were good financial role models, thank you very much. On the other hand, one-third believed their folks set a poor example for the kids. The good news is, when it comes to money management, we&#8217;re all given the opportunity to learn from our parents &#8212; regardless of whether or not they&#8217;re paragons of financial responsibility.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"107\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Insider Notes: Why Service Industry, Banking, and Government Jobs Don&#8217;t Create Wealth<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Hey! You need to be an Insider to view this section! If you&#8217;d like to join, please click &#8220;Insider Membership&#8221; at the top of my blog page.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Charting the automation risk of potential US jobs. The following numbers represent the estimated percentage of human jobs that can be eventually replaced via automation:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>74%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of America&#8217;s 3 million fast food workers whose jobs are currently at risk from automated kiosks and robots.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>72%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of commercial pilot activities that will eventually fly away.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>69%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of heavy truck driving jobs that will hit the road.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>47%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of pharmacists who will be replaced by robo-pill-dispensers.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>29%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of doctors whose jobs will be performed by mechanical medicos.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>22%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of all janitors who will eventually be trashed by robotic cleaning crews.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>7%<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of current manual labor jobs that can be automated.<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/charting-automation-potential-of-u-s-jobs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">VisualCapitalist<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Programming note: Unlike most blogs, I&#8217;m always open for the weekend here at Len Penzo dot Com. There&#8217;s a fresh new article waiting for you every Saturday afternoon. At least there should be. If not, somebody call 9-1-1.<\/p>\n<p>Hey! If you happen to enjoy what you&#8217;re reading &#8212; or not &#8212; please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. Don&#8217;t forget to <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">subscribe via email<\/a> too! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading my article explaining <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id16567-15-reasons-why-waterbeds-are-for-suckers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">why waterbeds are for suckers<\/a>, <strong>Etep<\/strong> wrote in to dispute my claim that they&#8217;re overrated as a platform for sex:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>What are you talking about? They&#8217;re great! Push once and coast for two!<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Right. I bet you&#8217;re a riot on the dance floor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: brendan-c<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Off we go &#8230; Credits and Debits Credit: As financial analyst Dave Kranzler pointed out this week, &#8220;What&#8217;s been billed as &#8216;economic growth&#8217; since 2008 is nothing more than debt-fueled inflation in the form of &#8216;nominal&#8217; economic growth.&#8221; He&#8217;s right, you know. Debit: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":31075,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-36623","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: The &#039;Yes ... and No&#039; Edition<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id36623-black-coffee-the-yes-and-no-edition.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: The &#039;Yes ... and No&#039; Edition\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Off we go &#8230; Credits and Debits Credit: As financial analyst Dave Kranzler pointed out this week, &#8220;What&#8217;s been billed as &#8216;economic growth&#8217; since 2008 is nothing more than debt-fueled inflation in the form of &#8216;nominal&#8217; economic growth.&#8221; He&#8217;s right, you know. 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Off we go &#8230; Credits and Debits Credit: As financial analyst Dave Kranzler pointed out this week, &#8220;What&#8217;s been billed as &#8216;economic growth&#8217; since 2008 is nothing more than debt-fueled inflation in the form of &#8216;nominal&#8217; economic growth.&#8221; He&#8217;s right, you know. Debit: [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id36623-black-coffee-the-yes-and-no-edition.html","og_site_name":"Len Penzo dot Com","article_publisher":"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo","article_published_time":"2016-04-02T07:15:35+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-06-26T03:13:06+00:00","og_image":[{"width":500,"height":375,"url":"http:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/black-coffee.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Len Penzo","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@LenPenzo","twitter_site":"@LenPenzo","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Len Penzo","Est. reading time":"7 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id36623-black-coffee-the-yes-and-no-edition.html#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id36623-black-coffee-the-yes-and-no-edition.html"},"author":{"name":"Len Penzo","@id":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/3968bb46693d14b2ae2ab4958aa41dfd"},"headline":"Black Coffee: The &#8216;Yes &#8230; 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