{"id":34204,"date":"2015-10-31T00:15:55","date_gmt":"2015-10-31T07:15:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/?p=34204"},"modified":"2020-03-07T16:54:22","modified_gmt":"2020-03-08T00:54:22","slug":"black-coffee-the-halloween-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id34204-black-coffee-the-halloween-edition.html","title":{"rendered":"Black Coffee: The Halloween Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/black-coffee-halloween1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-34312\" src=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/black-coffee-halloween1.jpg\" alt=\"black coffee halloween\" width=\"251\" height=\"188\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/black-coffee-halloween1.jpg 640w, https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/black-coffee-halloween1-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 251px) 100vw, 251px\" \/><\/a><em>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe<\/em> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s get right to it this week &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Credits and Debits<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Last month, Warren <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2015\/09\/08\/warren-buffett-economy-growing-at-a-steady-but-not-booming-rate.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Buffett noted<\/a> that the US economy was &#8220;not booming,&#8221; but &#8220;not bad&#8221; either. And a recent headline in the Columbus Dispatch proclaimed that the current economy &#8220;reflects <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dispatch.com\/content\/stories\/business\/2015\/10\/30\/gdp-reflects-buoyant-consumer-business-spending.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">buoyant consumer<\/a> (and) business spending.&#8221; Hooray! I think.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> For its part, the Commerce Department announced this week that the US GDP <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2015\/10\/29\/us-q3-gross-domestic-product-oct-29.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">climbed 1.5%<\/a> last quarter. One word: meh.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Then again, who can be sure anymore? As the Economist notes, the evidence clearly shows that government GDP statistics are becoming <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/finance-and-economics\/21676830-americas-gdp-statistics-are-becoming-less-reliable-funny-numbers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">less reliable<\/a>. (Psst. It&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/nypost.com\/2013\/11\/18\/census-faked-2012-election-jobs-report\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">not just the GDP stats<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> If the economy <em>isn&#8217;t<\/em> on death&#8217;s door, then somebody needs to tell Janet Yellen, because this week the Fed <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/10\/29\/business\/economy\/fed-interest-rates.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">declined to abandon<\/a> its seven-year-old zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) crutch that continues to punish savers and retirees at the expense of borrowers. You know &#8230; borrowers like the US government.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> And while Ms. Yellen suggests a gradual return to &#8220;normal&#8221; interest rates &#8212; 5% to 6%, historically &#8212; is coming, financial analyst and author Bill Bonner says, &#8220;Don&#8217;t believe it. The entire <a href=\"http:\/\/dailyreckoning.com\/the-latest-and-dumbest-central-bank-fraud\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">system depends on abnormality<\/a>: ZIRP, quantitative easing (QE), and negative interest rates.&#8221; He&#8217;s right, you know.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Speaking of retirees, for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/seattle-news\/data\/no-social-security-raise-as-prices-climb-data-backs-local-seniors-worries\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">only the third time<\/a> since 1985, Social Security recipients won&#8217;t be getting a cost of living allowance (COLA) next year &#8212; despite increasing rent, utility, healthcare and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.news-leader.com\/story\/news\/business\/2015\/10\/03\/food-costs-continue-rise-happening\/73237954\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">grocery bills<\/a>. No, really.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Oh, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fool.com\/retirement\/general\/2015\/10\/25\/dont-expect-a-big-social-security-increase-in-2017.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">if the Motley Fool is correct<\/a>, then Social Security recipients shouldn&#8217;t expect much of a COLA increase in 2017 either. Hey &#8230; don&#8217;t shoot me: I&#8217;m only the messenger.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Seniors aren&#8217;t the only ones frustrated with declining purchasing power: A Georgia man was arrested last week after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thesmokinggun.com\/buster\/biscuits\/waffle-house-biscuit-rage-890421\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">going into a rage<\/a> at a local Waffle House because they raised the price of their sausage biscuits from $1 to $1.50. The good news for him is food at the county jail is free.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> According to the Senior Citizen&#8217;s League, over the past 15 years, Social Security recipients have lost 25% of their purchasing power due to rising healthcare costs. And because Social Security is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thenewamerican.com\/usnews\/politics\/item\/21780-social-security-defaulting-again-on-its-promises-no-cola-for-2016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a Ponzi scheme on its last legs<\/a>, there will be no significant relief.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> By the way, wasn&#8217;t Obamacare supposed to magically fix our &#8220;broken&#8221; healthcare system, lower premiums by an average of up to $2500 per family per year, and ensure that everyone lived happily ever after? I know &#8212; but I&#8217;m sure <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_o65vMUk5so\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">I heard that somewhere<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Unfortunately, Obamacare is a political illusion that made things worse &#8212; yet another <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-decline-of-obamacare-1445807092\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">failing government boondoggle<\/a> plagued by increasing costs, declining enrollment, and rising loss ratios. Other than that, it&#8217;s been a wild success. Forward!<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Meanwhile, a bill that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/2015\/10\/30\/us-usa-fiscal-vote-idUSKCN0SO0FB20151030\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">extends US government borrowing authority<\/a> through March 2017 was passed by Congress this week. In other words, the country is no longer broke because it just found another box of blank checks.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Yes, yes &#8212; the &#8220;official&#8221; US debt is already more than $18 trillion and greater than 100% of GDP. But all of the &#8220;really smart people&#8221; say &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/mises.ca\/posts\/blog\/paul-krugman-and-the-myth-of-we-owe-it-to-ourselves\/\">we owe it ourselves!<\/a>&#8221; &#8212; so why worry? Right. Let the bread and circuses continue. Er, for now.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> Of course, the higher debt limit will only exacerbate <a href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/2015\/10\/14\/news\/economy\/us-treasury-debt-selloff-2015\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the greatest selloff of US debt holdings<\/a> by other countries in 15 years that is going on <em>right now<\/em>. But that&#8217;s what happens when foreign nations get tired of trading real goods and services for America&#8217;s increasingly-worthless dollars.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> Maybe somebody should tell our global trading partners that we owe the debt to ourselves.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>Credit:<\/strong><\/span> But seriously, America&#8217;s continued abuse of the exorbitant privilege that comes with owning the world&#8217;s primary reserve currency is why China is demanding <a href=\"http:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Business\/story?id=7168919&amp;page=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">a new global currency<\/a>. When that day comes, the bread and circuses will end, and the <a href=\"http:\/\/charleshughsmith.blogspot.com\/2015\/10\/untangling-america-from-american-empire.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">US will have to produce more than it consumes<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Debit:<\/strong><\/span> On a related note, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.clickorlando.com\/news\/man-camps-out-for-black-friday-33-days-early\/36048996\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">first Black Friday moron<\/a> of the year set up a tent outside a Florida Best Buy store on October 26th so he can snatch a deal on a new television. Yes, that&#8217;s 33 days before the big sale day arrives. With that much free time, wouldn&#8217;t it be easier to just get a second job?<\/p>\n<p><strong>By the Numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hey! Amaze your family at the dinner table tonight with these fun facts about Halloween:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>72<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of Americans who hand out Halloween candy.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>46<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of American adults who carve pumpkins on Halloween.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>6<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Number of major pumpkin producing states. (Illinois, California, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Michigan.)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>1810<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Weight, in pounds, of the largest known pumpkin. It was grown in 2010.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>500<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Number of seeds in the average pumpkin.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>120,000,000<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Americans who dress up for Halloween.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>11.5<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of Americans who dress their pets up for Halloween.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"font-size: x-large;\"><strong>90<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Percentage of American parents who admit to sneaking candy from their kids&#8217; trick-or-treat bags.<\/p>\n<p><em>Sources: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.history.com\/topics\/halloween\/history-of-halloween\/infographics\/halloween-by-the-numbers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">History Channel<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Question of the Week<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><code>[poll id=\"86\"]<\/code><\/p>\n<p><strong>Last Week&#8217;s Poll Results<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Given a choice, which would you choose?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A 50% chance of winning $10,000 (50%)<\/li>\n<li>$1000 guaranteed (50%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>More than 800 people responded to last week&#8217;s question and the result was an exact tie! Yes, <em>exact<\/em>&#8212; at press time, there were 428 people on each side of the debate. As many people said they would take the sure-thing as those who said they would be willing to flip a coin for the chance to win 10 times as much cash. Count me among the &#8220;bird in the hand&#8221; group &#8212; although, on a pure risk-reward basis, the math says the smarter choice in this case (by far) would be to take a chance and flip the coin.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Insider Notes: The Fed, the Free Market, and the Wisdom of Crowds<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Hey! You need to be an Insider to view this section! If you&#8217;d like to join, please click &#8220;Insider Membership&#8221; at the top of my blog page.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Other Useless News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While you&#8217;re here, please don&#8217;t forget to:<\/p>\n<p>1. Click on that <strong>Like<\/strong> button in the sidebar to your right and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\">become a fan of Len Penzo dot Com on Facebook<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>2. Make sure you <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/LenPenzo\">follow me on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>3. <a href=\"mailto:lenpenzolist@aweber.com\">Subscribe via email<\/a> too!<\/p>\n<p>And last, but not least &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>4. Consider becoming a <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/membership-account\">Len Penzo dot Com Insider<\/a>! Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Letters, I Get Letters <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Every week I feature the most interesting question or comment &#8212; assuming I get one, that is. And folks who are lucky enough to have the only question in the mailbag get their letter highlighted here whether it&#8217;s interesting or not! You can reach out to me at: <strong>Len@LenPenzo.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After reading one of my most popular articles, <a href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id1223-your-big-fat-expensive-wedding-stupid-is-as-stupid-does.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Your Big Fat Expensive Wedding: Stupid Is As Stupid Does<\/a>, <b>Ellis<\/b> shared this:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>There&#8217;s an old saying that politics is show business for ugly people.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">True. But despite being more than qualified, I have no intention to run for office.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m Len Penzo and I approved this message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"font-size: smaller;\">Photo Credit: basepoint.co.uk<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Let&#8217;s get right to it this week &#8230; Credits and Debits Credit: Last month, Warren Buffett noted that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34312,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","pmpro_default_level":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[472],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-34204","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-commentary","8":"pmpro-has-access","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.8 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Black Coffee: The Halloween Edition<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id34204-black-coffee-the-halloween-edition.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Black Coffee: The Halloween Edition\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#8217;s time to sit back, relax and enjoy a little joe &#8230; Welcome to another rousing edition of Black Coffee, your off-beat weekly round-up of what&#8217;s been going on in the world of money and personal finance. Let&#8217;s get right to it this week &#8230; Credits and Debits Credit: Last month, Warren Buffett noted that [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/id34204-black-coffee-the-halloween-edition.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Len Penzo dot Com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/LenPenzo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-10-31T07:15:55+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-03-08T00:54:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lenpenzo.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/black-coffee-halloween1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"480\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Len Penzo\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" 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